Pauley Pavilion · at UCLA · Conference game
Closing line
UCLA -7.5✓ NU covered by 0.5
UCLA -7.5✓ NU covered by 0.5Closing total143.5Under by 8.5
 NU | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 9-10 | Record | 13-6 |
| 8-11 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 9-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NU 69–76 UCLA · ✓ UCLA (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NU | 31 | 33 | 64 |
| UCLA | 41 | 30 | 71 |
1st half: NU 31, UCLA 41 (UCLA by 10). The model had UCLA by 3.6 and a total of 68.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| NU | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-53 38% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 11-21 52% |
| 32 8 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 37 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 8-19 | 0-4 |
| Tre Singleton F | 32 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Max Green G | 30 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Jake West G | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Clayton G | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Arrinten Page F | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Reid G | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Justin Mullins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gus Hurlburt, Blake Smith, Cade Bennerman, K.J. Windham, Phoenix Gill
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Perry G | 35 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 6-12 | 0-4 |
| Donovan Dent G | 33 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 5-10 | 1-1 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 31 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 7-11 | 4-8 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 30 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Xavier Booker C | 24 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamar Brown G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Eric Freeny G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Williams F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Skyy Clark, Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian, Christian Horry, Anthony Peoples Jr., Markell Alston
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -7.5
ModelUCLA -6.3
Model edgeNU +1.2
W NU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model145.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
NU 69.4 · UCLA 75.7
NU 64 · UCLA 71
Win probability
UCLA 71%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -3.6
UCLA -10.0
Total
68.0
72 points
Projected score
NU 32.2 · UCLA 35.8
NU 31 · UCLA 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -6.5
1 → UCLA
CloseUCLA -7.5
1 pt toward UCLA
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
NU +285 · UCLA -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -6.5 · closed UCLA -7.5 · moved 1 toward UCLAmodel UCLA -6.5
model UCLA -6.5
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
NU 0–2 UCLAUCLA leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · UCLA has won the last 2 meetings · NU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | UCLA 73 @ NU 69 | NU +2.5 | UCLA W |
| Mar 18, 2022-23 | NU 63 vs UCLA 68 | UCLA -7.5 | NU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Northwestern
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs OSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vs JKST | W 93-53 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs VAL | W 86-70 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs BTLR | L 58-61 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 30 | vs HOW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs MINN | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 8 | @ MSU | L 66-76 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | @ RUTG | L 75-77 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 14 | vs ILL | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs NEB | L 58-77 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | @ USC | W 74-68 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
+9.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+1.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
+0.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
−10.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
+3.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
−6.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−1.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
+12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
13
vsJKST
JKSTW 93-53
−0.5
16
vsVAL
VALW 86-70
+10.5
20
vsBTLR
BTLRL 58-61
−35.5
30
vsHOW
HOWW 80-60
−8.5
3
vsMINN
MINNL 78-84
+23.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-76
−1.5
11
@RUTG
RUTGL 75-77
+7.5
14
vsILL
ILLL 68-79
−4.5
17
vsNEB
NEBL 58-77
−14.5
21
@USC
USCW 74-68
−7.5
over 10under 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs PUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
over 9under 10avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Northwestern
9-10 overall · 1-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ USC74–68
- Lvs Nebraska58–77
- Lvs Illinois68–79
- L@ Rutgers75–77
- L@ Michigan St66–76
3 days since their last game.
UCLA
13-6 overall · 5-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Purdue69–67
- L@ Ohio State74–86
- W@ Penn State71–60
- Wvs Maryland67–55
- L@ Wisconsin72–80
4 days since their last game.