Cintas Center · at Xavier · Conference game
Closing line
XAV -2.5✓ CREI covered by 43.5
XAV -2.5✓ CREI covered by 43.5Closing total151.5Over by 3.5
 CREI | This season | XAV |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 8-3 |
| 3-7 | ATS | 5-6 |
| 2-8 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CREI 75–75 XAV · ✓ CREI (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CREI | 49 | 49 | 98 |
| XAV | 22 | 35 | 57 |
1st half: CREI 49, XAV 22 (CREI by 27). The model had CREI by 0.5 and a total of 70.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| CREI | XAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-63 60% | Field goals | 24-66 36% |
| 16-33 48% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 6-10 60% | Free throws | 3-6 50% |
| 42 6 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 31 | Assists | 16 |
| 11 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| CREI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dix G | 29 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-6 | 3-4 |
| Isaac Traudt F | 28 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Austin Swartz G | 23 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 10-17 | 7-13 |
| Jasen Green F | 22 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Ty Davis G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nik Graves G | 20 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Blake Harper G | 19 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 3-5 | 2-2 |
| Fedor Zugic G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Owen Freeman F | 14 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Kerem Konan F | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Shane Thomas G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hudson Greer, Aleksa Dimitrijevic, Josh Townley-Thomas, Jackson McAndrew, Liam McChesney
| XAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Messina-Moore G | 34 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Filip Borovicanin F | 29 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| All Wright G | 22 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Jovan Milicevic F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-8 | 0-2 |
| Tre Carroll F | 17 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddie Anderson G | 24 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Walker G | 21 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Pape N'Diaye F | 18 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Mier Panoam G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Robinson F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kason Westphal, Gabriel Pozzato, Luke Naser, Henry Thole, Ian Sabourin, Michael Wolf
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketXAV -2.5
ModelCREI -0.5
Model edgeCREI +3.0
W CREI covered
Total
Market151.5
Model150.0
Model edgeUnder 1.5
L Over
Projected score
CREI 75.3 · XAV 74.8
CREI 98 · XAV 57
Win probability
CREI 52%
1st half
Spread
CREI -0.5
CREI -27.0
Total
70.3
71 points
Projected score
CREI 35.4 · XAV 34.9
CREI 49 · XAV 22
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenXAV -2.5
no move
CloseXAV -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CREI +136 · XAV -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened XAV -2.5 · unchangedmodel CREI -0.5
model CREI -0.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CREI | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% |
| XAV | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CREI 4–5 XAVXAV leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CREI 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | CREI 61 @ XAV 83 | XAV -1.5 | XAV W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | XAV 77 @ CREI 86 | CREI -7.5 | CREI W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | CREI 78 @ XAV 71 | XAV +1.5 | CREI W |
| Jan 23, 2023-24 | XAV 78 @ CREI 85 | CREI -7.5 | XAV W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | CREI 60 vs XAV 82 | XAV +3.5 | XAV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Creighton
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg −6.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-8
20% overs · avg −6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs SDAK | W 92-76 | -29.5 | L −13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ GONZ | L 63-90 | +12.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 14 | vs UMES | W 84-45 | -33.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs UND | W 75-60 | -29.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 24 | vs BAY | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs ISU | L 60-78 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs ORE | W 76-66 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs NICH | W 96-76 | -18.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ NEB | L 50-71 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs KSU | L 76-83 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsSDAK
SDAKW 92-76
−13.5
11
@GONZ
GONZL 63-90
−14.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 84-45
+5.5
19
vsUND
UNDW 75-60
−14.5
24
vsBAY
BAYL 74-81
−3.5
25
vsISU
ISUL 60-78
−8.5
27
vsORE
OREW 76-66
+7.5
2
vsNICH
NICHW 96-76
+1.5
7
@NEB
NEBL 50-71
−15.5
13
vsKSU
KSUL 76-83
−11.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg −6.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsSDAK
SDAKW 92-76
−1.5
11
@GONZ
GONZL 63-90
−11.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 84-45
−6.5
19
vsUND
UNDW 75-60
−20.5
24
vsBAY
BAYL 74-81
+0.5
25
vsISU
ISUL 60-78
−14.5
27
vsORE
OREW 76-66
−8.5
2
vsNICH
NICHW 96-76
+28.5
7
@NEB
NEBL 50-71
−34.5
13
vsKSU
KSUL 76-83
−0.5
over 2under 8avg −6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Xavier
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MRST | W 66-62 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 6 | vs LEM | W 74-69 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 10 | vs SCU | L 68-87 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 14 | @ IOWA | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs ODU | W 99-69 | -10.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 21 | vs UGA | L 77-78 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs WVU | W 78-68 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs AMCC | W 88-67 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs SFPA | W 96-74 | -27.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 5 | vs CIN | W 79-74 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 12 | vs MOST | W 75-57 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−8.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−19.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−22.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−3.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+19.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
+9.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+15.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+7.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
−5.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+6.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−0.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMRST
MRSTW 66-62
−11.5
6
vsLEM
LEMW 74-69
−13.5
10
vsSCU
SCUL 68-87
−0.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-81
−0.5
18
vsODU
ODUW 99-69
+17.5
21
vsUGA
UGAL 77-78
−10.5
23
vsWVU
WVUW 78-68
+5.5
28
vsAMCC
AMCCW 88-67
+8.5
1
vsSFPA
SFPAW 96-74
+17.5
5
vsCIN
CINW 79-74
+5.5
12
vsMOST
MOSTW 75-57
−19.5
over 5under 6avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Creighton
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kansas St76–83
- L@ Nebraska50–71
- Wvs Nicholls96–76
- Wvs Oregon76–66
- Lvs Iowa State60–78
4 days since their last game.
Xavier
8-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri St75–57
- Wvs Cincinnati79–74
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves96–74
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC88–67
- Wvs West Virginia78–68
5 days since their last game.