LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest · Conference game
Closing line
WAKE -1.5✓ SMU covered by 13.5
WAKE -1.5✓ SMU covered by 13.5Closing total157.5Over by 12.5
 SMU | This season | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| 13-5 | Record | 11-7 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 7-11 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 10-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 81–80 WAKE · ✓ SMU (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 45 | 46 | 91 |
| WAKE | 36 | 43 | 79 |
1st half: SMU 45, WAKE 36 (SMU by 9). The model had SMU by 1.0 and a total of 75.2 (actual 81).
Team stats
| SMU | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-64 50% | Field goals | 28-64 44% |
| 14-28 50% | 3-pointers | 10-30 33% |
| 13-18 72% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 40 11 off | Rebounds | 28 8 off |
| 23 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 33 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-6 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 31 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 8-13 | 3-5 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 29 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Corey Washington F | 14 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Toombs F | 20 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Sam Walters F | 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Chance Puryear G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nigel Walls F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Trey Utter
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 38 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 10-17 | 5-7 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 35 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Myles Colvin G | 27 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 3-8 |
| Nate Calmese G | 26 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 23 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Omaha Biliew F | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 11 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Cross G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Carr G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anson Beard Jr., Dimitrije Kovacevic, Will Underwood, Vincent Ricchiuti, Marqus Marion, Owen Kmety
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWAKE -1.5
ModelSMU -1.5
Model edgeSMU +3.0
W SMU covered
Total
Market157.5
Model160.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
W Over
Projected score
SMU 81 · WAKE 79.5
SMU 91 · WAKE 79
Win probability
SMU 55%
1st half
Spread
SMU -1.0
SMU -9.0
Total
75.2
81 points
Projected score
SMU 38.1 · WAKE 37.1
SMU 45 · WAKE 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -1.5
3 → WAKE
CloseWAKE -1.5
3 pts toward WAKE
Total
Open158.5
▼ 1
Close157.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
SMU -108 · WAKE -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -1.5 · closed WAKE -1.5 · moved 3 toward WAKEmodel SMU -1.5
model SMU -1.5
Opened 158.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 downmodel 160.5
model 160.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| WAKE | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 0–1 WAKEWAKE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SMU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | WAKE 77 @ SMU 66 | SMU -6.5 | WAKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs VT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs UVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
over 10under 8avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wake Forest
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AMER | W 88-74 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MORE | W 81-65 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | vs MICH | L 84-85 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs UML | W 109-75 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 20 | vs TTU | L 83-84 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MEM | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAM | W 99-51 | -17.5 | W +30.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 28 | vs NE | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs OU | L 68-86 | -4.5 | L −22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs WVU | W 75-66 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs QUC | W 111-73 | -18.5 | W +19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | vs LONG | W 71-68 | -24.5 | L −21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vsVAN | L 67-98 | +5.5 | L −25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCSU | L 57-70 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vsVT | W 81-78 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIA | L 77-81 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @UNC | L 84-87 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @ FSU | W 69-68 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−1.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
+30.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
−4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−22.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
+11.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+19.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−21.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
−25.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−2.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
−2.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
−5.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+7.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−23.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
−9.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
+4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−5.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
−2.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+18.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−24.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
+0.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−32.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
+5.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
+0.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+16.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−31.5
over 10under 8avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
13-5 overall · 2-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Virginia68–72
- Wvs Virginia Tech77–76
- L@ Duke75–82
- L@ Clemson70–74
- Wvs North Carolina97–83
3 days since their last game.
Wake Forest
11-7 overall · 2-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Florida St69–68
- L@ North Carolina84–87
- Lvs Miami77–81
- Wvs Virginia Tech81–78
- L@ NC State57–70
3 days since their last game.