UW-Milwaukee Panther Arena · at Milwaukee · Conference game
Closing line
YSU -1.5✓ MILW covered by 14.5
YSU -1.5✓ MILW covered by 14.5Closing total147.5Under by 4.5
| YSU | This season | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| 12-14 | Record | 10-19 |
| 10-16 | ATS | 10-19 |
| 14-12 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: YSU 75–75 MILW · ✗ YSU (52%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 35 | 30 | 65 |
| MILW | 39 | 39 | 78 |
1st half: YSU 35, MILW 39 (MILW by 4). The model had YSU by 0.5 and a total of 70.1 (actual 74).
Team stats
| YSU | MILW | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 8-31 26% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 7-9 78% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 32 5 off |
| 16 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 6 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Rolf F | 33 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 4-13 | 3-9 |
| Cris Carroll F | 28 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 28 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Jason Nelson G | 22 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Cam Polak G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tae Blackshear G | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Drew King G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jaiden Haynes G | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Derrick Anderson, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider, Tyler Robinett
| MILW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevie Elam G | 35 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 6-12 | 4-8 |
| Esyah Pippa-White G | 33 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-2 |
| Aaron Franklin G | 33 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 6-7 | 2-2 |
| Amar Augillard G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Faizon Fields F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Jackson F | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-8 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Dorceus G | 19 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Josh Dixon G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Sekou Konneh F | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: John Lovelace Jr., Austin Villarreal, Ned Renfree, Simeon Murchison, Tate Mackenzie, Danilo Jovanovich, Seth Hubbard
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYSU -1.5
ModelYSU -0.7
Model edgeMILW +0.8
W MILW covered
Total
Market147.5
Model149.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
L Under
Projected score
YSU 75.3 · MILW 74.6
YSU 65 · MILW 78
Win probability
YSU 52%
1st half
Spread
YSU -0.5
MILW -4.0
Total
70.1
74 points
Projected score
YSU 35.3 · MILW 34.8
YSU 35 · MILW 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYSU -1.5
no move
CloseYSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
YSU -115 · MILW -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel YSU -0.5
model YSU -0.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| YSU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| MILW | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
YSU 5–4 MILWYSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MILW has won the last 3 meetings · YSU 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2025-26 | MILW 65 @ YSU 64 | YSU -6.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 21, 2024-25 | MILW 84 @ YSU 74 | YSU -1.5 | MILW W |
| Jan 17, 2024-25 | YSU 64 @ MILW 79 | MILW -5.5 | MILW W |
| Feb 23, 2023-24 | YSU 84 @ MILW 80 | MILW +3.5 | YSU W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | MILW 85 @ YSU 97 | YSU -8.5 | YSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Youngstown St
26 games played
Straight up
12-14
46% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @ GCU | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ SBU | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ TOL | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCG | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs GASO | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHST | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs WRST | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ IUIN | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ RMU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs UPST | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs DETM | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vs OAK | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | @ NKU | L 79-94 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | vs PFW | L 69-71 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | @WRST | L 83-93 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 17 | @ CLE | L 78-80 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vs GB | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsMILW | L 64-65 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | vsIUIN | W 85-76 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 4 | @PFW | W 90-61 | +2.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | vsRMU | L 66-72 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 12 | @OAK | W 86-82 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 15 | @DETM | L 70-76 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 18 | vsCLE | W 106-82 | -11.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 22 | vsNKU | W 64-58 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+5.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
−15.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−11.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
+4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+8.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−2.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
+16.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
−0.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
+2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−14.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
−3.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
−10.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−6.5
15
@WRST
WRSTL 83-93
−5.5
17
@CLE
CLEL 78-80
−10.5
22
vsGB
GBW 88-81
−0.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 64-65
−7.5
30
vsIUIN
IUINW 85-76
−1.5
4
@PFW
PFWW 90-61
+31.5
7
vsRMU
RMUL 66-72
−9.5
12
@OAK
OAKW 86-82
+7.5
15
@DETM
DETML 70-76
−10.5
18
vsCLE
CLEW 106-82
+12.5
22
vsNKU
NKUW 64-58
+3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+17.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
+6.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−22.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
−35.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+4.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−7.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
−38.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
+16.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
−2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−5.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
+10.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
+26.5
7
vsPFW
PFWL 69-71
−5.5
15
@WRST
WRSTL 83-93
+34.5
17
@CLE
CLEL 78-80
+5.5
22
vsGB
GBW 88-81
+29.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 64-65
−22.5
30
vsIUIN
IUINW 85-76
+7.5
4
@PFW
PFWW 90-61
+3.5
7
vsRMU
RMUL 66-72
−5.5
12
@OAK
OAKW 86-82
+12.5
15
@DETM
DETML 70-76
−5.5
18
vsCLE
CLEW 106-82
+30.5
22
vsNKU
NKUW 64-58
−30.5
over 14under 12avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Milwaukee
29 games played
Straight up
10-19
34% wins
Against the spread
10-19
34% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HAMP | W 90-86 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 8 | @ WOF | L 76-86 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 10 | vs LR | W 92-72 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ IU | L 70-101 | +24.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 14 | @ TTU | L 63-80 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AKR | L 81-105 | +12.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | vsRMU | W 74-72 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 14 | vs INST | L 68-70 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs SDST | W 88-87 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 21 | @CLE | W 81-71 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 29 | vsPFW | W 77-55 | -3.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 30 | @ WIS | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 1 | @WRST | L 70-76 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 5 | @GB | L 76-79 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 9 | vsNKU | L 67-85 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | vsIUIN | W 95-83 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | vsOAK | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 18 | @PFW | L 82-100 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 22 | @RMU | L 76-88 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | @YSU | W 65-64 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 30 | vsWRST | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 1 | vsCLE | L 88-90 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 4 | vsDETM | L 63-76 | -6.5 | L −19.5 | 155.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | @NKU | L 62-67 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 10 | @IUIN | W 92-88 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 15 | vsGB | W 75-72 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 20 | @DETM | L 86-91 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 22 | @OAK | L 70-81 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
−1.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
−13.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+16.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
−6.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
+10.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−6.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
−11.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−2.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−4.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+2.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
+3.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
+18.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−0.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−2.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
−6.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−19.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+3.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−10.5
18
@PFW
PFWL 82-100
−14.5
22
@RMU
RMUL 76-88
−7.5
24
@YSU
YSUW 65-64
+7.5
30
vsWRST
WRSTL 69-76
−4.5
1
vsCLE
CLEL 88-90
−11.5
4
vsDETM
DETML 63-76
−19.5
7
@NKU
NKUL 62-67
+1.5
10
@IUIN
IUINW 92-88
+1.5
15
vsGB
GBW 75-72
+0.5
20
@DETM
DETML 86-91
−6.5
22
@OAK
OAKL 70-81
−5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 19avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 90-86
+29.5
8
@WOF
WOFL 76-86
+11.5
10
vsLR
LRW 92-72
+7.5
12
@IU
IUL 70-101
+5.5
14
@TTU
TTUL 63-80
−22.5
22
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−25.5
29
@AKR
AKRL 81-105
+19.5
6
vsRMU
RMUW 74-72
−7.5
14
vsINST
INSTL 68-70
−21.5
19
vsSDST
SDSTW 88-87
+23.5
21
@CLE
CLEW 81-71
−8.5
29
vsPFW
PFWW 77-55
−24.5
30
@WIS
WISL 60-80
−17.5
1
@WRST
WRSTL 70-76
−1.5
5
@GB
GBL 76-79
+10.5
9
vsNKU
NKUL 67-85
−5.5
11
vsIUIN
IUINW 95-83
+12.5
15
vsOAK
OAKL 60-73
−33.5
18
@PFW
PFWL 82-100
+33.5
22
@RMU
RMUL 76-88
+11.5
24
@YSU
YSUW 65-64
−22.5
30
vsWRST
WRSTL 69-76
−6.5
1
vsCLE
CLEL 88-90
+17.5
4
vsDETM
DETML 63-76
−16.5
7
@NKU
NKUL 62-67
−27.5
10
@IUIN
IUINW 92-88
+21.5
15
vsGB
GBW 75-72
+1.5
20
@DETM
DETML 86-91
+23.5
22
@OAK
OAKL 70-81
−8.5
over 14under 15avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Youngstown St
12-14 overall · 8-10 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Kentucky64–58
- Wvs Cleveland St106–82
- L@ Detroit Mercy70–76
- W@ Oakland86–82
- Lvs Robert Morris66–72
3 days since their last game.
Milwaukee
10-19 overall · 7-12 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oakland70–81
- L@ Detroit Mercy86–91
- Wvs Green Bay75–72
- W@ IU Indy92–88
- L@ N Kentucky62–67
3 days since their last game.