Convocation Center (OH) · at Ohio · Conference game
Closing line
OHIO -10.5✓ OHIO covered by 9.5
OHIO -10.5✓ OHIO covered by 9.5Closing total155.5Over by 6.5
 WMU | This season | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| 7-12 | Record | 10-11 |
| 12-7 | ATS | 8-13 |
| 11-8 | O/U | 11-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WMU 75–83 OHIO · ✓ OHIO (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 28 | 43 | 71 |
| OHIO | 44 | 47 | 91 |
1st half: WMU 28, OHIO 44 (OHIO by 16). The model had OHIO by 4.6 and a total of 74.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| WMU | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 30-58 52% |
| 7-15 47% | 3-pointers | 13-32 41% |
| 10-25 40% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 39 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| WMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Brewer G | 30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 9-15 | 0-1 |
| Brady Swartz G | 26 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Justice Williams G | 23 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Max Burton F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| EJ Ryans G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Griffith G | 35 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 4-4 |
| Declan Peterson C | 18 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Carson Vis G | 15 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-2 |
| Trey Lewis G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Michael Sulaka F | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sharod Barnes G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camden Thompson, Nicholas Errica, Junior Sileu, Hudson Ward
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 36 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 29 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 29 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7-10 | 1-4 |
| Javan Simmons F | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| JJ Kelly G | 25 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jesse Burris G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Dior Conners G | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Jalen Breath F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Jordan Fisher, Carter Reese, Zay Mosley, Chase Boals, Elijah Elliott, Ayden Evans
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOHIO -10.5
ModelOHIO -7.9
Model edgeWMU +2.6
L OHIO covered
Total
Market155.5
Model158.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
WMU 75.1 · OHIO 83
WMU 71 · OHIO 91
Win probability
OHIO 75%
1st half
Spread
OHIO -4.6
OHIO -16.0
Total
74.0
72 points
Projected score
WMU 34.7 · OHIO 39.3
WMU 28 · OHIO 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -8.5
2 → OHIO
CloseOHIO -10.5
2 pts toward OHIO
Total
Open156.5
▼ 1
Close155.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
WMU +440 · OHIO -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -8.5 · closed OHIO -10.5 · moved 2 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -8
model OHIO -8
Opened 156.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| OHIO | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
WMU 2–5 OHIOOHIO leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · WMU 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | OHIO 73 @ WMU 82 | WMU +6.5 | WMU W |
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | WMU 69 @ OHIO 94 | OHIO -10.5 | OHIO W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | WMU 55 vs OHIO 82 | OHIO -9.5 | OHIO W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | OHIO 79 @ WMU 81 | WMU +2.5 | WMU W |
| Jan 24, 2022-23 | WMU 76 @ OHIO 88 | OHIO -9.5 | OHIO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Michigan
19 games played
Straight up
7-12
37% wins
Against the spread
12-7
63% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CCU | W 76-71 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 9 | @ CAM | L 82-91 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | vs PFW | W 83-71 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ SDAK | L 78-83 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 172.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 20 | @ OSU | L 58-91 | +26.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 23 | vs MSM | W 83-60 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 29 | @ VAL | L 55-84 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs USI | W 88-74 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ SIUE | W 83-73 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | @ IOWA | L 51-91 | +25.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUF | L 71-88 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 30 | @ TOL | L 79-84 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 6 | @ M-OH | L 76-87 | +14.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs EMU | W 79-62 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 13 | vs MASS | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ AKR | L 89-104 | +21.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 20 | vs BGSU | L 54-72 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | vs CMU | W 77-65 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 27 | @ NIU | L 65-85 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+2.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+0.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
+15.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−1.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−6.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
+21.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−24.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+8.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+15.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
−14.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
−14.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+5.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
+18.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+2.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+6.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−11.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
+6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
−18.5
covered 12didn’t cover 7avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCCU
CCUW 76-71
+0.5
9
@CAM
CAML 82-91
+20.5
12
vsPFW
PFWW 83-71
−7.5
16
@SDAK
SDAKL 78-83
−11.5
20
@OSU
OSUL 58-91
−10.5
23
vsMSM
MSMW 83-60
−7.5
29
@VAL
VALL 55-84
−7.5
3
vsUSI
USIW 88-74
+11.5
6
@SIUE
SIUEW 83-73
+16.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAL 51-91
+4.5
20
vsBUF
BUFL 71-88
+8.5
30
@TOL
TOLL 79-84
+2.5
6
@M-OH
M-OHL 76-87
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 79-62
−4.5
13
vsMASS
MASSL 82-85
+9.5
17
@AKR
AKRL 89-104
+29.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 54-72
−26.5
24
vsCMU
CMUW 77-65
−6.5
27
@NIU
NIUL 65-85
+3.5
over 11under 8avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio
21 games played
Straight up
10-11
48% wins
Against the spread
8-13
38% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs MRSH | W 88-81 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs SBU | W 88-83 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vsBGSU | L 58-68 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @CMU | W 80-64 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | @EMU | W 68-67 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | vsMASS | W 86-83 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsBUF | W 91-80 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 13 | @TOL | L 85-101 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 161.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 16 | @ BALL | L 71-76 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 20 | vsNIU | W 80-77 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 23 | vsAKR | L 65-86 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | @ KENT | L 57-72 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 31 | @BUF | W 95-83 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+3.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+11.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−8.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
+9.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−1.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
−1.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+6.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
−13.5
16
@BALL
BALLL 71-76
−10.5
20
vsNIU
NIUW 80-77
−8.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 65-86
−14.5
27
@KENT
KENTL 57-72
−9.5
31
@BUF
BUFW 95-83
+14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 13avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
6
vsMRSH
MRSHW 88-81
+11.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 88-83
+20.5
20
vsBGSU
BGSUL 58-68
−27.5
30
@CMU
CMUW 80-64
−7.5
3
@EMU
EMUW 68-67
−15.5
6
vsMASS
MASSW 86-83
+8.5
10
vsBUF
BUFW 91-80
+14.5
13
@TOL
TOLL 85-101
+24.5
16
@BALL
BALLL 71-76
−0.5
20
vsNIU
NIUW 80-77
+2.5
23
vsAKR
AKRL 65-86
−16.5
27
@KENT
KENTL 57-72
−33.5
31
@BUF
BUFW 95-83
+21.5
over 11under 10avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Michigan
7-12 overall · 2-7 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Illinois65–85
- Wvs C Michigan77–65
- Lvs Bowling Green54–72
- L@ Akron89–104
- Lvs UMass82–85
A week or more of rest.
Ohio
10-11 overall · 6-5 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Buffalo95–83
- L@ Kent State57–72
- Lvs Akron65–86
- Wvs N Illinois80–77
- L@ Ball State71–76
3 days since their last game.