Knott Arena · at Mount St Marys · Conference game
Closing line
MSM -6.5✓ MSM covered by 0.5
MSM -6.5✓ MSM covered by 0.5Closing total147.5Under by 10.5
 MAN | This season | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| 8-14 | Record | 8-14 |
| 8-14 | ATS | 12-10 |
| 10-12 | O/U | 7-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MAN 74–79 MSM · ✓ MSM (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 27 | 38 | 65 |
| MSM | 32 | 40 | 72 |
1st half: MAN 27, MSM 32 (MSM by 5). The model had MSM by 2.9 and a total of 71.3 (actual 59).
Team stats
| MAN | MSM | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 25-61 41% |
| 8-32 25% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 11-13 85% | Free throws | 13-14 93% |
| 32 10 off | Rebounds | 42 14 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Dinkins G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-5 |
| Jaden Winston G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 4-11 | 3-8 |
| Terrance Jones G | 30 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Fraser Roxburgh F | 29 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Marko Ljubicic F | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5-12 | 3-9 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quron Elliott G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Isaac Jr. F | 17 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Delaney G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Erik Oliver-Bush G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Louis Fairtlough, Asier Miguel, Nick Lukmann, Omari Moore, Jameson Borodawka, Brett Rumpel, Jaeden Robley, Aryan Arora, Michael Lawlor, Will Sydnor
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arlandus Keyes G | 34 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4-9 | 3-8 |
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 31 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Luke McEldon F | 23 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 21 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Justin Amadi F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Anastasios Rozakeas G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Rogers, Justin May, John Miller IV, Patrick Haigh, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSM -6.5
ModelMSM -5.0
Model edgeMAN +1.5
L MSM covered
Total
Market147.5
Model152.3
Model edgeOver 4.8
L Under
Projected score
MAN 73.6 · MSM 78.7
MAN 65 · MSM 72
Win probability
MSM 67%
1st half
Spread
MSM -2.9
MSM -5.0
Total
71.3
59 points
Projected score
MAN 34.2 · MSM 37.1
MAN 27 · MSM 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSM -6.5
no move
CloseMSM -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MAN +220 · MSM -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSM -6.5 · unchangedmodel MSM -5
model MSM -5
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MAN | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| MSM | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MAN 3–3 MSMSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MAN 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MAN 74 @ MSM 64 | MSM -3.5 | MAN W |
| Jan 10, 2024-25 | MSM 75 @ MAN 66 | MAN -1.5 | MSM W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | MAN 78 @ MSM 82 | MSM -8.5 | MAN W |
| Dec 1, 2023-24 | MSM 74 @ MAN 75 | MAN +3.5 | MAN W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | MSM 74 @ MAN 69 | MAN -2.5 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Manhattan
22 games played
Straight up
8-14
36% wins
Against the spread
8-14
36% covers · avg −4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg +5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ USC | L 83-114 | +28.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTU | W 79-75 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ HAW | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs MVSU | W 80-73 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 21 | @ TA&M | L 68-109 | +23.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs WAG | L 101-103 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 29 | @ ARMY | L 78-81 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs FAIR | W 70-66 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 7 | @ MRST | L 68-80 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | @ FOR | L 53-82 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs FUR | L 68-75 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs PRES | W 87-81 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 29 | @ RID | W 74-71 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs QUIN | W 80-79 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 4 | @ MRMK | L 66-73 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | vs CAN | L 64-70 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | vs NIA | W 79-70 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 14 | @FAIR | L 62-98 | +6.5 | L −29.5 | 158.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 17 | vs SIE | L 59-74 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | @QUIN | L 92-98 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 24 | @ IONA | L 57-66 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 30 | vsRID | W 95-90 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
−2.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
+6.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−13.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
−17.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
−4.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
−4.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
+5.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
−4.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−20.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+8.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
+0.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
+8.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−0.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−13.5
11
vsNIA
NIAW 79-70
+3.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-98
−29.5
17
vsSIE
SIEL 59-74
−8.5
19
@QUIN
QUINL 92-98
+7.5
24
@IONA
IONAL 57-66
−1.5
30
vsRID
RIDW 95-90
−0.5
covered 8didn’t cover 14avg −4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@USC
USCL 83-114
+41.5
12
vsUTU
UTUW 79-75
−4.5
14
@HAW
HAWL 56-86
−14.5
15
vsMVSU
MVSUW 80-73
−1.5
21
@TA&M
TA&ML 68-109
+14.5
26
vsWAG
WAGL 101-103
+59.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 78-81
+6.5
5
vsFAIR
FAIRW 70-66
−19.5
7
@MRST
MRSTL 68-80
+7.5
13
@FOR
FORL 53-82
−12.5
18
vsFUR
FURL 68-75
−11.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 87-81
+29.5
29
@RID
RIDW 74-71
−2.5
2
vsQUIN
QUINW 80-79
−0.5
4
@MRMK
MRMKL 66-73
−9.5
9
vsCAN
CANL 64-70
−11.5
11
vsNIA
NIAW 79-70
+8.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 62-98
+1.5
17
vsSIE
SIEL 59-74
−11.5
19
@QUIN
QUINL 92-98
+36.5
24
@IONA
IONAL 57-66
−30.5
30
vsRID
RIDW 95-90
+39.5
over 10under 12avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mount St Marys
22 games played
Straight up
8-14
36% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-15
32% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vsIONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 9 | vs SPU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 11 | vsSIE | L 50-67 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @CAN | W 78-68 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 19 | @NIA | W 68-58 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | vsQUIN | L 62-77 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | vsRID | W 71-61 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 30 | @SPU | L 58-66 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
+6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−14.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+6.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
+6.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−10.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
+0.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
−6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−22.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+10.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
−5.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−9.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
−7.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−14.5
over 7under 15avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Manhattan
8-14 overall · 5-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rider95–90
- L@ Iona57–66
- L@ Quinnipiac92–98
- Lvs Siena59–74
- L@ Fairfield62–98
2 days since their last game.
Mount St Marys
8-14 overall · 5-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Saint Peter's58–66
- Wvs Rider71–61
- Lvs Quinnipiac62–77
- W@ Niagara68–58
- W@ Canisius78–68
2 days since their last game.