McKenzie Arena · at Chattanooga · Conference game
Closing line
UTC -4.5✓ UNCG covered by 9.5
UTC -4.5✓ UNCG covered by 9.5Closing total157.5Over by 7.5
 UNCG | This season | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| 10-17 | Record | 9-17 |
| 10-17 | ATS | 12-14 |
| 19-8 | O/U | 13-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCG 75–80 UTC · ✗ UTC (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 38 | 47 | 85 |
| UTC | 37 | 43 | 80 |
1st half: UNCG 38, UTC 37 (UNCG by 1). The model had UTC by 2.4 and a total of 72.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| UNCG | UTC | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-64 44% | Field goals | 27-64 42% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 12-38 32% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 37 8 off | Rebounds | 36 7 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentino Pinedo F | 35 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Justin Neely F | 34 | 18 | 17 | 0 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 34 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-8 |
| Lilian Marville G | 30 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| KJ Younger G | 30 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 16 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-3 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 15 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Assane Mandian G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chane Bynum, Antwann Jones, Landon King, Braylen Bowman, Jordan Brown, Clyde Bailey II
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Frison G | 35 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 12-17 | 2-5 |
| Tate Darner G | 33 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 32 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 25 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Makai Richards C | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Billy Smith G | 31 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 4-8 |
| Collin Mulholland F | 15 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Josh Bowman F | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Houston Holland G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Sean Cusano, Jikari Johnson, Zach Bleshoy, Sebastian Hartmann, Parker Robison, Latif Diouf, Liam Vitters, Ryan Lopez
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTC -4.5
ModelUTC -4.3
Model edgeUNCG +0.2
W UNCG covered
Total
Market157.5
Model154.8
Model edgeUnder 2.7
L Over
Projected score
UNCG 75.3 · UTC 79.5
UNCG 85 · UTC 80
Win probability
UTC 65%
1st half
Spread
UTC -2.4
UNCG -1.0
Total
72.4
75 points
Projected score
UNCG 35 · UTC 37.4
UNCG 38 · UTC 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTC -4.5
no move
CloseUTC -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
▲ 1
Close157.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNCG +164 · UTC -198
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTC -4.5 · unchangedmodel UTC -4.5 matches the line
model UTC -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 156.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| UTC | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UNCG 6–3 UTCUNCG leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNCG 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | UTC 72 @ UNCG 77 | UNCG +2.5 | UNCG W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | UTC 75 @ UNCG 63 | UNCG -1.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | UNCG 78 @ UTC 75 | UTC -3.5 | UNCG W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UTC 89 @ UNCG 61 | UNCG -4.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | UNCG 70 @ UTC 54 | UTC -0.5 | UNCG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Greensboro
27 games played
Straight up
10-17
37% wins
Against the spread
10-17
37% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-8
70% overs · avg +9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ KSU | L 64-93 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs ELON | L 90-92 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ NCSU | L 64-110 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs APSU | L 63-69 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 20 | @ QUC | L 94-101 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | vs YSU | W 68-62 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs DEL | L 60-73 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs M-OH | L 71-82 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCA | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ ECU | W 82-78 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | vs NCAT | L 65-71 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 1 | vsUTC | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs SAM | W 89-82 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @ WOF | L 85-97 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 10 | @ ETSU | L 60-86 | +11.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 15 | vs CIT | W 69-66 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | vs MER | L 92-102 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Jan 21 | @ VMI | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 23 | vs FUR | L 66-89 | +4.5 | L −18.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 29 | @MER | L 77-95 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | @CIT | L 66-71 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | vs WCU | W 81-78 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 8 | @FUR | W 67-64 | +10.5 | W +13.5 | 149.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vsVMI | W 92-71 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | vsWOF | W 99-89 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 18 | @WCU | L 77-91 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 21 | vsETSU | L 75-87 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
−10.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
−6.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
−15.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−7.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+0.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
+11.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−14.5
26
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-82
−0.5
2
vsUNCA
UNCAL 77-82
−0.5
6
@ECU
ECUW 82-78
+11.5
16
vsNCAT
NCATL 65-71
−12.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 77-72
+7.5
3
vsSAM
SAMW 89-82
+9.5
7
@WOF
WOFL 85-97
−4.5
10
@ETSU
ETSUL 60-86
−14.5
15
vsCIT
CITW 69-66
−6.5
17
vsMER
MERL 92-102
−4.5
21
@VMI
VMIW 85-78
+4.5
23
vsFUR
FURL 66-89
−18.5
29
@MER
MERL 77-95
−7.5
31
@CIT
CITL 66-71
−7.5
4
vsWCU
WCUW 81-78
+4.5
8
@FUR
FURW 67-64
+13.5
11
vsVMI
VMIW 92-71
+12.5
14
vsWOF
WOFW 99-89
+12.5
18
@WCU
WCUL 77-91
−8.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-87
−5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 17avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
+8.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
+39.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
+20.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−13.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+44.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
−22.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−9.5
26
vsM-OH
M-OHL 71-82
+2.5
2
vsUNCA
UNCAL 77-82
+15.5
6
@ECU
ECUW 82-78
+20.5
16
vsNCAT
NCATL 65-71
−11.5
1
vsUTC
UTCW 77-72
+1.5
3
vsSAM
SAMW 89-82
+19.5
7
@WOF
WOFL 85-97
+28.5
10
@ETSU
ETSUL 60-86
−2.5
15
vsCIT
CITW 69-66
−13.5
17
vsMER
MERL 92-102
+38.5
21
@VMI
VMIW 85-78
+11.5
23
vsFUR
FURL 66-89
+4.5
29
@MER
MERL 77-95
+13.5
31
@CIT
CITL 66-71
−10.5
4
vsWCU
WCUW 81-78
+3.5
8
@FUR
FURW 67-64
−18.5
11
vsVMI
VMIW 92-71
+12.5
14
vsWOF
WOFW 99-89
+33.5
18
@WCU
WCUL 77-91
+12.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-87
+13.5
over 19under 8avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Chattanooga
26 games played
Straight up
9-17
35% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs AUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @ BELL | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ AAMU | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 1 | @UNCG | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @VMI | L 71-79 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | vsFUR | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 10 | vsSAM | W 88-79 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | @WOF | W 76-67 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @WCU | W 90-82 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | vsETSU | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @SAM | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsWOF | L 55-81 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 1 | @FUR | L 70-75 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 5 | vsMER | W 79-75 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 7 | vsCIT | L 71-78 | -9.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | @ETSU | L 61-73 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vsWCU | L 76-81 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 19 | @MER | W 94-90 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 21 | @CIT | W 93-72 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−16.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+4.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
−7.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
−14.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−8.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+7.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
+14.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+9.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
+3.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−6.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 55-81
−27.5
1
@FUR
FURL 70-75
+2.5
5
vsMER
MERW 79-75
+8.5
7
vsCIT
CITL 71-78
−16.5
11
@ETSU
ETSUL 61-73
−1.5
14
vsWCU
WCUL 76-81
−6.5
19
@MER
MERW 94-90
+14.5
21
@CIT
CITW 93-72
+16.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−3.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+0.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
+1.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
+0.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−1.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+18.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
−11.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+21.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
−10.5
24
@SAM
SAML 64-75
−13.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 55-81
−14.5
1
@FUR
FURL 70-75
−1.5
5
vsMER
MERW 79-75
−1.5
7
vsCIT
CITL 71-78
+6.5
11
@ETSU
ETSUL 61-73
−11.5
14
vsWCU
WCUL 76-81
+5.5
19
@MER
MERW 94-90
+32.5
21
@CIT
CITW 93-72
+20.5
over 13under 13avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Greensboro
10-17 overall · 8-8 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs ETSU75–87
- L@ W Carolina77–91
- Wvs Wofford99–89
- Wvs VMI92–71
- W@ Furman67–64
5 days since their last game.
Chattanooga
9-17 overall · 6-10 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ The Citadel93–72
- W@ Mercer94–90
- Lvs W Carolina76–81
- L@ ETSU61–73
- Lvs The Citadel71–78
5 days since their last game.