Wisdom Gym · at Tarleton St · Conference game
Closing line
TAR -1.5✓ UTA covered by 6.5
TAR -1.5✓ UTA covered by 6.5Closing total136.5Under by 11.5
 UTA | This season | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| 13-13 | Record | 10-16 |
| 13-13 | ATS | 14-12 |
| 7-19 | O/U | 14-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTA 70–71 TAR · ✗ TAR (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 29 | 36 | 65 |
| TAR | 28 | 32 | 60 |
1st half: UTA 29, TAR 28 (UTA by 1). The model had TAR by 0.8 and a total of 65.9 (actual 57).
Team stats
| UTA | TAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-44 41% | Field goals | 19-47 40% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 3-11 27% |
| 24-28 86% | Free throws | 19-31 61% |
| 33 10 off | Rebounds | 29 13 off |
| 7 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UTA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lowery G | 36 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Raysean Seamster F | 31 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Cash Chavis G | 29 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 8-13 | 2-3 |
| Marcell McCreary G | 20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Miles Goodman F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron Jackson F | 24 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bahsil Laster G | 24 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Amari Reed F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyran Mason G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
Did not play: Augustine Youssef, Jayden Smoot, Alex Bossinakis, Stoney Hadnot
| TAR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mizell G | 32 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Dior Johnson G | 30 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 8-16 | 2-4 |
| Chris Mpaka F | 23 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ocypher Owens F | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Kaia Isaac G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Freddy Hicks G | 34 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Leroy Kelly IV G | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Kade Douglas G | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Daniel Dormu G | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joseph Martinez, Jaden Jinks, Damion Porter Jr., Cam McDowell, Cameron Thomas, AJ Dent, Matyas Vrabel, Andy Sigiscar, Roy Marom, Malek Archie
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTAR -1.5
ModelTAR -1.6
Model edgeTAR +0.1
L UTA covered
Total
Market136.5
Model140.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
L Under
Projected score
UTA 69.6 · TAR 71.2
UTA 65 · TAR 60
Win probability
TAR 55%
1st half
Spread
TAR -0.8
UTA -1.0
Total
65.9
57 points
Projected score
UTA 32.6 · TAR 33.4
UTA 29 · TAR 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTAR -1.5
no move
CloseTAR -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open136.5
no move
Close136.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UTA +100 · TAR -120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TAR -1.5 · unchangedmodel TAR -1.5 matches the line
model TAR -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 136.5 · unchangedmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTA | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| TAR | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UTA 3–6 TARTAR leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UTA 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | TAR 64 @ UTA 71 | UTA -3.5 | UTA W |
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | TAR 69 @ UTA 63 | UTA -2.5 | TAR W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | TAR 57 @ UTA 67 | UTA -6.5 | UTA W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | UTA 74 @ TAR 77 | TAR +5.5 | TAR W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | UTA 87 vs TAR 84 | TAR +1.5 | UTA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Arlington
26 games played
Straight up
13-13
50% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-19
27% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ UNM | L 56-74 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs MOST | W 67-49 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 18 | @ EVAN | W 84-76 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs CAM | L 67-71 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 22 | @ WEB | W 74-73 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 29 | vs SFA | W 66-61 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 2 | @ ARST | L 63-83 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 11 | @ RGV | W 58-50 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 17 | @ STAN | L 60-76 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ ORU | W 69-57 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vsTAR | L 63-69 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs CBU | W 63-51 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 3 | @ SUU | W 86-77 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs ACU | W 82-72 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 134.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 15 | @ UTU | W 56-52 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 17 | @ UVU | L 74-86 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 21 | vsTAR | W 71-64 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsSUU | W 80-61 | -9.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vsCBU | L 77-87 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 134.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 5 | @UTU | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | @UVU | L 60-81 | +12.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ACU | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 14 | vsSUU | L 73-78 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 19 | vsUTU | W 63-50 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 21 | vsUVU | L 54-66 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 26 | @CBU | L 56-68 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@UNM
UNML 56-74
−4.5
15
vsMOST
MOSTW 67-49
+14.5
18
@EVAN
EVANW 84-76
+10.5
21
vsCAM
CAML 67-71
−2.5
22
@WEB
WEBW 74-73
+3.5
29
vsSFA
SFAW 66-61
+3.5
2
@ARST
ARSTL 63-83
−14.5
11
@RGV
RGVW 58-50
+12.5
17
@STAN
STANL 60-76
−5.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 69-57
+8.5
29
vsTAR
TARL 63-69
−8.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 63-51
+14.5
3
@SUU
SUUW 86-77
+3.5
10
vsACU
ACUW 82-72
+6.5
15
@UTU
UTUW 56-52
+5.5
17
@UVU
UVUL 74-86
−0.5
21
vsTAR
TARW 71-64
+3.5
29
vsSUU
SUUW 80-61
+9.5
31
vsCBU
CBUL 77-87
−8.5
5
@UTU
UTUL 84-87
−1.5
7
@UVU
UVUL 60-81
−8.5
12
@ACU
ACUL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSUU
SUUL 73-78
−13.5
19
vsUTU
UTUW 63-50
+8.5
21
vsUVU
UVUL 54-66
−5.5
26
@CBU
CBUL 56-68
−5.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UNM
UNML 56-74
−15.5
15
vsMOST
MOSTW 67-49
−27.5
18
@EVAN
EVANW 84-76
+21.5
21
vsCAM
CAML 67-71
−13.5
22
@WEB
WEBW 74-73
−2.5
29
vsSFA
SFAW 66-61
−11.5
2
@ARST
ARSTL 63-83
−5.5
11
@RGV
RGVW 58-50
−37.5
17
@STAN
STANL 60-76
−3.5
22
@ORU
ORUW 69-57
−10.5
29
vsTAR
TARL 63-69
−4.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 63-51
−20.5
3
@SUU
SUUW 86-77
+24.5
10
vsACU
ACUW 82-72
+19.5
15
@UTU
UTUW 56-52
−33.5
17
@UVU
UVUL 74-86
+16.5
21
vsTAR
TARW 71-64
−7.5
29
vsSUU
SUUW 80-61
−3.5
31
vsCBU
CBUL 77-87
+29.5
5
@UTU
UTUL 84-87
+31.5
7
@UVU
UVUL 60-81
−0.5
12
@ACU
ACUL 63-67
−4.5
14
vsSUU
SUUL 73-78
+7.5
19
vsUTU
UTUW 63-50
−27.5
21
vsUVU
UVUL 54-66
−17.5
26
@CBU
CBUL 56-68
−10.5
over 7under 19avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tarleton St
26 games played
Straight up
10-16
38% wins
Against the spread
14-12
54% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SMU | L 76-96 | +21.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 5 | @ LSU | L 60-96 | +15.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 8 | vs AMCC | W 85-77 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs MRMK | W 76-62 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ BAY | L 81-94 | +23.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 20 | @ RICE | W 90-74 | +4.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | @ CIN | L 58-76 | +24.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | @ MVSU | W 88-64 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 19 | vs FAMU | W 78-54 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 29 | @UTA | W 69-63 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vsUVU | L 85-91 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 3 | vsCBU | W 81-76 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 8 | vsACU | L 80-84 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 15 | @SUU | L 105-106 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | O 211 |
| Jan 17 | @UTU | L 71-75 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | @UTA | L 64-71 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vsUVU | L 55-83 | +6.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 31 | vsUTU | L 59-65 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 5 | @CBU | L 55-56 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 7 | @SUU | W 62-59 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 14 | @ACU | L 59-73 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | vsACU | W 65-62 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 19 | vsSUU | W 78-74 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 21 | vsUTU | L 72-80 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 26 | @UVU | L 72-79 | +17.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | @CBU | L 67-82 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+1.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
−20.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+4.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
+9.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+10.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+20.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
+6.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+6.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
+9.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
+8.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
−0.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+3.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
−8.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
−4.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−0.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−3.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−21.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−7.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
+9.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
+1.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−10.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
+4.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 78-74
−0.5
21
vsUTU
UTUL 72-80
−9.5
26
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+10.5
28
@CBU
CBUL 67-82
−6.5
covered 14didn’t cover 12avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SMU
SMUL 76-96
+27.5
5
@LSU
LSUL 60-96
+7.5
8
vsAMCC
AMCCW 85-77
+19.5
11
vsMRMK
MRMKW 76-62
−4.5
14
@BAY
BAYL 81-94
+25.5
20
@RICE
RICEW 90-74
+17.5
1
@CIN
CINL 58-76
−8.5
16
@MVSU
MVSUW 88-64
+9.5
19
vsFAMU
FAMUW 78-54
−13.5
29
@UTA
UTAW 69-63
−4.5
1
vsUVU
UVUL 85-91
+31.5
3
vsCBU
CBUW 81-76
+9.5
8
vsACU
ACUL 80-84
+23.5
15
@SUU
SUUL 105-106
+60.5
17
@UTU
UTUL 71-75
−4.5
21
@UTA
UTAL 64-71
−7.5
29
vsUVU
UVUL 55-83
−16.5
31
vsUTU
UTUL 59-65
−25.5
5
@CBU
CBUL 55-56
−27.5
7
@SUU
SUUW 62-59
−28.5
14
@ACU
ACUL 59-73
−2.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 65-62
−7.5
19
vsSUU
SUUW 78-74
+7.5
21
vsUTU
UTUL 72-80
+11.5
26
@UVU
UVUL 72-79
+9.5
28
@CBU
CBUL 67-82
+9.5
over 14under 12avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Arlington
13-13 overall · 7-9 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CA Baptist56–68
- Lvs Utah Valley54–66
- Wvs Utah Tech63–50
- Lvs Southern Utah73–78
- L@ Abilene Chrstn63–67
A week or more of rest.
Tarleton St
10-16 overall · 5-12 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CA Baptist67–82
- L@ Utah Valley72–79
- Lvs Utah Tech72–80
- Wvs Southern Utah78–74
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn65–62
5 days since their last game.