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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

Totals 56.5–64.5 ✕

When did they go over?

775 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 56.5–64.5 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games775100%By halftime111%In Q39512%In Q424832%In OT71%Stayed under41453%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands719%Over cashed11615%Leader lost the game486%
47% went over. Of the 361 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 29% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 19% of games.

All 775 games

2023–2026 · Totals 56.5–64.5 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 8
 JMU -12.5 56.5 724346265 Q4 APP Q1 31–34
2026 · Week 7
 HOU -4 62.5 10174567 Q4 OKST Q4
Late cover flip Late over
 32–35
2026 · Week 7
 LOU -14.5 56.5 24515160 Q4 SYR Q1 34–26
2026 · Week 7
 MIA -20.5 57.5 728355678 OT FSU Q1
Late over
 35–43
2026 · Week 7
 ARST -5.5 61.5 6232336 U ARST Q1 23–13
2026 · Week 7
 MISS -4 57.5 10242434 U MISS Q2 3–31
CIT @ TA&M
2026 · Week 7
 TA&M -46.5 56.5 7283441 U CIT Q1 0–41
2026 · Week 7
 LSU -17.5 56.5 14213131 U LSU Q2 0–31
2026 · Week 7
 WVU -1.5 64.5 7354987 Q4 WVU Q4
Late cover flip Lead lost
 42–45
2026 · Week 7
 JMU -7.5 57.5 21455871 Q3 JMU Q2 22–49
2026 · Week 6
 MRSH -4.5 57.5 3133448 U CCU Q1 27–21
2026 · Week 6
 OSU -31.5 56.5 17415461 Q4 MD Q1
Late over
 16–45
2026 · Week 6
 ORE -10 57.5 9161632 U UCLA Q1 17–15
2026 · Week 6
 UNT -27.5 58.5 13505760 Q4 UNT Q2 10–50
2026 · Week 6
 FLA -10.5 59.5 14274457 U SC Q1 38–19
2026 · Week 6
 ARIZ -3.5 61.5 17416283 Q3 ARIZ Q1 52–31
2026 · Week 6
 WAKE -4 56.5 14244552 U WAKE Q3 38–14
2026 · Week 6
 LOU -4 60.5 14284264 Q4 LOU Q3 20–44
2026 · Week 6
 ARST -3 60.5 216284105 Q2 USA Q1 56–49
2026 · Week 6
 MOST -1.5 56.5 10273747 U WKU Q1 13–34
2026 · Week 5
 ARIZ -7 56.5 7102441 U ARIZ Q2 7–34
2026 · Week 5
 TXST -10 57.5 13204160 Q4 SDSU Q3
Late over
 29–31
2026 · Week 5
 IU -24.5 56.5 10234462 Q4 IU Q3 47–15
MCN @ LSU
2026 · Week 5
 LSU -53.5 62.5 14356377 Q3 MCN Q1 14–63
2026 · Week 5
 USC -7.5 58.5 10244346 U WASH Q1 21–25
2026 · Week 5
 UTSA -11.5 56.5 13232330 U RICE Q1 16–14
2026 · Week 5
 USA -12.5 57.5 28457387 Q3 USA Q1 35–52
2026 · Week 5
 ORST -7 60.5 21496282 Q3 ORST Q2 56–26
TXSO @ FAU
2026 · Week 5
 FAU -47.5 62.5 31596976 Q3 FAU Q3 10–66
2026 · Week 5
 ILL -9.5 62.5 3202341 U PUR Q1 24–17
2026 · Week 5
 FLA -5.5 57.5 6304062 Q4 MIZ Q1
Late over
 17–45
2026 · Week 5
 LOU -5.5 56.5 3204959 Q4 NCSU Q1 28–31
2026 · Week 5
 ALA -5.5 62.5 21456579 Q3 ALA Q1 56–23
2026 · Week 5
 UNT -3 56.5 327557689 Q4 TLSA Q4
Late cover flip
 45–44
2026 · Week 4
 SMU -30.5 60.5 10243158 U MOST Q1 24–34
2026 · Week 4
 ORST -11.5 56.5 17203440 U ORST Q1 33–7
2026 · Week 4
 FAU -11.5 58.5 14525962 Q3 FAU Q2 45–17
2026 · Week 4
 MSST -3.5 58.5 14244155 U MSST Q4
Late cover flip
 24–31
2026 · Week 4
 ORE -3.5 60.5 3234768 Q4 ORE Q3 41–27
HCU @ UNT
2026 · Week 4
 UNT -38.5 60.5 21496377 Q3 UNT Q4 14–63
2026 · Week 4
 NCSU -12.5 56.5 14384872 Q4 APP Q4 31–41
2026 · Week 4
 WVU -1.5 60.5 10275265 Q4 OKST Q2 41–24
MERC @ WKU
2026 · Week 4
 WKU -39.5 58.5 10315259 Q4 WKU Q4 7–52
2026 · Week 4
 HOU -17.5 56.5 14425670 Q4 GASO Q1 42–28
NCCU @ ECU
2026 · Week 4
 ECU -37.5 58.5 10454551 U NCCU Q4
Late cover flip
 9–42
2026 · Week 4
 FLA -4 58.5 10235280 Q4 FLA Q1 28–52
W&M @ DUKE
2026 · Week 4
 DUKE -43.5 61.5 21455569 Q4 DUKE Q4 7–62
GWEB @ MRSH
2026 · Week 4
 MRSH -24.5 56.5 24485571 Q4 GWEB Q1
Lead lost
 35–36
CARK @ FSU
2026 · Week 4
 FSU -45.5 62.5 14314141 U CARK Q1 7–34
2026 · Week 4
 ND -27.5 57.5 7353859 Q4 ND Q2
Late over
 49–10
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 775

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 52% 400
Q2 16% 121
Q3 13% 102
Q4 19% 145
OT 0% 1
Push 1% 6
The team leading at halftime won 86% and covered 68% of 722 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 70% of 746 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over106100% 106
1–34098% 39
4–75090% 45
8–105279% 41
11–148662% 53
15–175954% 32
18–218224% 20
22+3008% 25
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.