When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

54 games · 2024 · Week 4 · pick one to list those games
61% went over. Of the 33 overs, 6% had cashed by halftime and 42% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.

All 54 games

2024 · Week 4 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
UNI @ HAW
2024 · Week 4
HAW -10.5 46.5 15293643 U HAW Q1 7–36
2024 · Week 4
KSU -7.5 48.5 3234047 U BYU Q1 9–38
2024 · Week 4
FRES -11.5 62.5 11353859 U FRES Q2 38–21
2024 · Week 4
ORST -1.5 49.5 7243159 Q4 ORST Q1 21–38
2024 · Week 4
TEX -41.5 53.5 21314054 Q4 TEX Q4 3–51
2024 · Week 4
BC -4.5 45.5 3193242 U MSU Q1 19–23
2024 · Week 4
COLO -2.5 54.5 1041486269 Q4 COLO OT
Late cover flip Lead lost
31–38
2024 · Week 4
MISS -35.5 68.5 17314865 U MISS Q4 13–52
2024 · Week 4
TENN -5.5 56.5 13222540 U TENN Q1 25–15
2024 · Week 4
SC -22.5 40.5 15293657 Q4 SC Q4 7–50
2024 · Week 4
IOWA -2.5 34.5 7213845 Q3 IOWA Q3 31–14
2024 · Week 4
MIA -15.5 63.5 23375165 Q4 MIA Q3
Late over
50–15
2024 · Week 4
FAU -0.5 45.5 3173462 Q4 CONN Q1 14–48
2024 · Week 4
FSU -2.5 44.5 7131623 U FSU Q4 9–14
FAMU @ TROY
2024 · Week 4
TROY -21.5 48.5 13233346 U TROY Q4 12–34
2024 · Week 4
LT -1.5 55.5 717244043 U TLSA Q1 23–20
2024 · Week 4
SHSU -14.5 43.5 17242442 U SHSU Q2 11–31
2024 · Week 4
TOL -2.5 60.5 0213347 U WKU Q4 21–26
2024 · Week 4
UNT -7.5 55.5 10445861 Q3 UNT Q2 17–44
MONM @ FIU
2024 · Week 4
FIU -12.5 59.5 21497087 Q3 MONM Q1 45–42
2024 · Week 4
LIB -7.5 54.5 14244559 Q4 LIB Q4
Late cover flip Late over
24–35
2024 · Week 4
CSU -8.5 48.5 7173444 U CSU Q2
Late cover flip
17–27
2024 · Week 4
MIZ -18.5 52.5 1423404057 OT VAN Q1
Late over
27–30
2024 · Week 4
UTAH -0.5 53.5 3131641 U UTAH Q2 22–19
2024 · Week 4
DUKE -14.5 50.5 38455562 Q3 DUKE Q1 45–17
2024 · Week 4
USC -4.5 43.5 7173751 Q4 MICH Q1
Lead lost
24–27
2024 · Week 4
ND -27.5 43.5 0172431 U M-OH Q1 3–28
2024 · Week 4
LOU -8.5 55.5 14314150 U LOU Q4 19–31
2024 · Week 4
NIU -12.5 42.5 717244043 OT BUFF Q1
Late over
23–20
2024 · Week 4
AUB -2.5 53.5 072138 U ARK Q1 24–14
2024 · Week 4
VT -3.5 44.5 14233049 Q4 RUTG Q1
Late over
26–23
CCSU @ MASS
2024 · Week 4
MASS -19.5 51.5 7425666 Q3 CCSU Q1 31–35
YSU @ PITT
2024 · Week 4
PITT -29.5 59.5 21526990 Q3 PITT Q2 17–73
2024 · Week 4
TTU -4.5 57.5 14274052 U TTU Q1 22–30
2024 · Week 4
MEM -8.5 46.5 214565100 Q3 NAVY Q1 44–56
HCU @ UTSA
2024 · Week 4
UTSA -36.5 55.5 10384552 U UTSA Q4 7–45
2024 · Week 4
JXST -6.5 60.5 14285151 U JXST Q1 7–44
EWU @ NEV
2024 · Week 4
NEV -13.5 54.5 14243865 Q4 NEV Q1 16–49
2024 · Week 4
ISU -18.5 52.5 14313859 Q4 ISU Q2
Late over
7–52
2024 · Week 4
UVA -3.5 52.5 17375467 Q3 UVA Q1 43–24
2024 · Week 4
USU -6.5 53.5 0384574 Q4 TEM Q1 29–45
SFPA @ EMU
2024 · Week 4
EMU -25.5 45.5 10132936 U EMU Q3 0–36
2024 · Week 4
CMU -5.5 49.5 10404771 Q4 BALL Q3 34–37
2024 · Week 4
UK -21.5 41.5 3172747 Q4 UK Q3
Late over
6–41
2024 · Week 4
OSU -38.5 55.5 14425663 Q3 MRSH Q1 14–49
2024 · Week 4
CLEM -17.5 44.5 28527394 Q2 CLEM Q1 35–59
2024 · Week 4
IU -28.5 50.5 10455966 Q3 IU Q3 14–52
VILL @ MD
2024 · Week 4
MD -22.5 46.5 17244158 Q4 VILL Q3
Late cover flip
20–38
2024 · Week 4
UNC -11.5 48.5 397498120 Q2 JMU Q1 70–50
2024 · Week 4
WVU -1.5 56.5 7213860 Q4 WVU Q4
Late cover flip Late over Lead lost
28–32

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 27
Q2 17% 9
Q3 13% 7
Q4 19% 10
OT 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 81% and covered 77% of 53 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 83% of 48 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over14100% 14
1–31100% 1
4–74100% 4
8–10560% 3
11–14757% 4
15–17850% 4
18–21838% 3
22+70% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.