When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
54 games · 2024 · Week 4 · pick one to list those games
61% went over. Of the 33 overs, 6% had cashed by halftime and 42% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 20% of games.
All 54 games
2024 · Week 4 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 4 |
HAW -10.5 | 46.5 | 15293643 | U | HAW Q1 | 7–36 |
2024 · Week 4 |
KSU -7.5 | 48.5 | 3234047 | U | BYU Q1 | 9–38 |
2024 · Week 4 |
FRES -11.5 | 62.5 | 11353859 | U | FRES Q2 | 38–21 |
2024 · Week 4 |
ORST -1.5 | 49.5 | 7243159 | Q4 | ORST Q1 | 21–38 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TEX -41.5 | 53.5 | 21314054 | Q4 | TEX Q4 | 3–51 |
2024 · Week 4 |
BC -4.5 | 45.5 | 3193242 | U | MSU Q1 | 19–23 |
2024 · Week 4 |
COLO -2.5 | 54.5 | 1041486269 | Q4 | COLO OT Late cover flip Lead lost |
31–38 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MISS -35.5 | 68.5 | 17314865 | U | MISS Q4 | 13–52 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TENN -5.5 | 56.5 | 13222540 | U | TENN Q1 | 25–15 |
2024 · Week 4 |
SC -22.5 | 40.5 | 15293657 | Q4 | SC Q4 | 7–50 |
2024 · Week 4 |
IOWA -2.5 | 34.5 | 7213845 | Q3 | IOWA Q3 | 31–14 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MIA -15.5 | 63.5 | 23375165 | Q4 | MIA Q3 Late over |
50–15 |
2024 · Week 4 |
FAU -0.5 | 45.5 | 3173462 | Q4 | CONN Q1 | 14–48 |
2024 · Week 4 |
FSU -2.5 | 44.5 | 7131623 | U | FSU Q4 | 9–14 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TROY -21.5 | 48.5 | 13233346 | U | TROY Q4 | 12–34 |
2024 · Week 4 |
LT -1.5 | 55.5 | 717244043 | U | TLSA Q1 | 23–20 |
2024 · Week 4 |
SHSU -14.5 | 43.5 | 17242442 | U | SHSU Q2 | 11–31 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TOL -2.5 | 60.5 | 0213347 | U | WKU Q4 | 21–26 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UNT -7.5 | 55.5 | 10445861 | Q3 | UNT Q2 | 17–44 |
2024 · Week 4 |
FIU -12.5 | 59.5 | 21497087 | Q3 | MONM Q1 | 45–42 |
2024 · Week 4 |
LIB -7.5 | 54.5 | 14244559 | Q4 | LIB Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
24–35 |
2024 · Week 4 |
CSU -8.5 | 48.5 | 7173444 | U | CSU Q2 Late cover flip |
17–27 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MIZ -18.5 | 52.5 | 1423404057 | OT | VAN Q1 Late over |
27–30 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UTAH -0.5 | 53.5 | 3131641 | U | UTAH Q2 | 22–19 |
2024 · Week 4 |
DUKE -14.5 | 50.5 | 38455562 | Q3 | DUKE Q1 | 45–17 |
2024 · Week 4 |
USC -4.5 | 43.5 | 7173751 | Q4 | MICH Q1 Lead lost |
24–27 |
2024 · Week 4 |
ND -27.5 | 43.5 | 0172431 | U | M-OH Q1 | 3–28 |
2024 · Week 4 |
LOU -8.5 | 55.5 | 14314150 | U | LOU Q4 | 19–31 |
2024 · Week 4 |
NIU -12.5 | 42.5 | 717244043 | OT | BUFF Q1 Late over |
23–20 |
2024 · Week 4 |
AUB -2.5 | 53.5 | 072138 | U | ARK Q1 | 24–14 |
2024 · Week 4 |
VT -3.5 | 44.5 | 14233049 | Q4 | RUTG Q1 Late over |
26–23 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MASS -19.5 | 51.5 | 7425666 | Q3 | CCSU Q1 | 31–35 |
2024 · Week 4 |
PITT -29.5 | 59.5 | 21526990 | Q3 | PITT Q2 | 17–73 |
2024 · Week 4 |
TTU -4.5 | 57.5 | 14274052 | U | TTU Q1 | 22–30 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MEM -8.5 | 46.5 | 214565100 | Q3 | NAVY Q1 | 44–56 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UTSA -36.5 | 55.5 | 10384552 | U | UTSA Q4 | 7–45 |
2024 · Week 4 |
JXST -6.5 | 60.5 | 14285151 | U | JXST Q1 | 7–44 |
2024 · Week 4 |
NEV -13.5 | 54.5 | 14243865 | Q4 | NEV Q1 | 16–49 |
2024 · Week 4 |
ISU -18.5 | 52.5 | 14313859 | Q4 | ISU Q2 Late over |
7–52 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UVA -3.5 | 52.5 | 17375467 | Q3 | UVA Q1 | 43–24 |
2024 · Week 4 |
USU -6.5 | 53.5 | 0384574 | Q4 | TEM Q1 | 29–45 |
2024 · Week 4 |
EMU -25.5 | 45.5 | 10132936 | U | EMU Q3 | 0–36 |
2024 · Week 4 |
CMU -5.5 | 49.5 | 10404771 | Q4 | BALL Q3 | 34–37 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UK -21.5 | 41.5 | 3172747 | Q4 | UK Q3 Late over |
6–41 |
2024 · Week 4 |
OSU -38.5 | 55.5 | 14425663 | Q3 | MRSH Q1 | 14–49 |
2024 · Week 4 |
CLEM -17.5 | 44.5 | 28527394 | Q2 | CLEM Q1 | 35–59 |
2024 · Week 4 |
IU -28.5 | 50.5 | 10455966 | Q3 | IU Q3 | 14–52 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MD -22.5 | 46.5 | 17244158 | Q4 | VILL Q3 Late cover flip |
20–38 |
2024 · Week 4 |
UNC -11.5 | 48.5 | 397498120 | Q2 | JMU Q1 | 70–50 |
2024 · Week 4 |
WVU -1.5 | 56.5 | 7213860 | Q4 | WVU Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
28–32 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 50% 27
Q2 17% 9
Q3 13% 7
Q4 19% 10
OT 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 81% and covered 77% of 53 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 88% and covered 83% of 48 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 14 | 100% 14 |
| 1–3 | 1 | 100% 1 |
| 4–7 | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 60% 3 |
| 11–14 | 7 | 57% 4 |
| 15–17 | 8 | 50% 4 |
| 18–21 | 8 | 38% 3 |
| 22+ | 7 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.