Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · at SC State · Conference game
Closing line
NCCU -2.5✓ SCST covered by 15.5
NCCU -2.5✓ SCST covered by 15.5Closing total136.5Over by 20.5
| NCCU | This season | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| 6-14 | Record | 4-18 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NCCU 73–71 SCST · ✗ NCCU (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 30 | 42 | 72 |
| SCST | 36 | 49 | 85 |
1st half: NCCU 30, SCST 36 (SCST by 6). The model had NCCU by 1.2 and a total of 67.8 (actual 66).
Team stats
| NCCU | SCST | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-52 48% | Field goals | 30-56 54% |
| 8-20 40% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 14-24 58% | Free throws | 15-17 88% |
| 27 9 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 24 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| NCCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelechi Okworogwo F | 39 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Gage Lattimore G | 39 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 5-9 | 4-6 |
| Jae Slack F | 34 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 4-11 | 0-3 |
| Dionte Johnson G | 33 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 5-12 | 4-8 |
| Kyric Davis G | 33 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Archey G | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Tekao Carpenter G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Gbenga Olubi F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Camren Daniels, Khouri Carvey, Justin Edwards, Khalil Arnold, Ramondo Battle II, Caleb Ellison, Jonathan Dunn
| SCST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Johnson G | 33 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| James Morrow G | 29 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Clark F | 26 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Florian Tenebay G | 20 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Derwin Hodge Jr. F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Parker F | 27 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Obie Bronston Jr. G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Noah Treadwell G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Rayniel Wright G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Teon Tindal F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamal Miles G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tim Okojie C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: D'Shay Knights Wright, Colin McKenzie
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNCCU -2.5
ModelNCCU -1.8
Model edgeSCST +0.7
W SCST covered
Total
Market136.5
Model144.7
Model edgeOver 8.2
W Over
Projected score
NCCU 73.3 · SCST 71.4
NCCU 72 · SCST 85
Win probability
NCCU 56%
1st half
Spread
NCCU -1.2
SCST -6.0
Total
67.8
66 points
Projected score
NCCU 34.5 · SCST 33.3
NCCU 30 · SCST 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNCCU -3.5
1 → SCST
CloseNCCU -2.5
1 pt toward SCST
Total
Open139.5
▼ 3
Close136.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NCCU -155 · SCST +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NCCU -3.5 · closed NCCU -2.5 · moved 1 toward SCSTmodel NCCU -2
model NCCU -2
Opened 139.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 3 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NCCU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| SCST | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
NCCU 5–4 SCSTNCCU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SCST has won the last 2 meetings · NCCU 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | NCCU 67 vs SCST 88 | SCST -7.5 | SCST W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | NCCU 71 @ SCST 87 | SCST -9.5 | SCST W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | SCST 77 @ NCCU 82 | NCCU -1.5 | NCCU W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | SCST 68 @ NCCU 79 | NCCU -7.5 | NCCU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | NCCU 68 @ SCST 71 | SCST +3.5 | SCST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NC Central
20 games played
Straight up
6-14
30% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NCSU | L 66-114 | +31.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | @ UVA | L 62-81 | +34.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ APP | L 54-76 | +10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNC | L 53-97 | +34.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 22 | @ DAY | L 55-74 | +29.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 25 | @ UPST | L 67-82 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 3 | @ JMU | L 62-67 | +14.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 6 | vs NCAT | L 54-69 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 9 | @ UK | L 67-103 | +42.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs LONG | L 72-74 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 29 | @ PSU | L 67-90 | +23.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs NORF | W 69-67 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 10 | @ COPP | W 88-77 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 12 | @ MORG | W 89-78 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vs HOW | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 2 | vs UMES | W 65-63 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 7 | @NORF | L 68-75 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 9 | vs DSU | W 72-63 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | O 135 |
| Feb 14 | vsCOPP | L 56-58 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 16 | vsMORG | W 80-76 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
−16.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
+15.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−11.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
+10.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
−7.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
+9.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−12.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+6.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
+1.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+0.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
+3.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+4.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+7.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
−11.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 65-63
−0.5
7
@NORF
NORFL 68-75
−2.5
9
vsDSU
DSUW 72-63
+1.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPL 56-58
−12.5
16
vsMORG
MORGW 80-76
−1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NCSU
NCSUL 66-114
+34.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 62-81
−8.5
9
@APP
APPL 54-76
−6.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 53-97
−9.5
22
@DAY
DAYL 55-74
−17.5
25
@UPST
UPSTL 67-82
+0.5
3
@JMU
JMUL 62-67
−14.5
6
vsNCAT
NCATL 54-69
−19.5
9
@UK
UKL 67-103
+21.5
20
vsLONG
LONGL 72-74
−0.5
29
@PSU
PSUL 67-90
+6.5
3
vsNORF
NORFW 69-67
−5.5
10
@COPP
COPPW 88-77
+21.5
12
@MORG
MORGW 89-78
+25.5
17
vsHOW
HOWL 69-83
+10.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 65-63
−6.5
7
@NORF
NORFL 68-75
−5.5
9
vsDSU
DSUW 72-63
+0.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPL 56-58
−29.5
16
vsMORG
MORGW 80-76
+9.5
over 9under 11avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
SC State
22 games played
Straight up
4-18
18% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ LOU | L 45-104 | +35.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 7 | @ SAM | L 72-82 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 10 | @NCAT | L 62-85 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ COFC | L 61-88 | +18.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 19 | vs UTC | L 66-78 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | @ SDAK | L 81-82 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | @ MIZ | L 66-98 | +34.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 29 | @ WIN | L 79-101 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 5 | @ BCU | L 59-80 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 8 | @ CHSO | L 44-84 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 12 | @ QUC | L 78-102 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 16 | vsUPST | L 72-78 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | @ SC | L 70-95 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 30 | @ TENN | L 54-105 | +44.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | vsHOW | W 58-57 | +8.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | @MORG | L 67-72 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | @COPP | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vsNORF | L 82-89 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 26 | vsDSU | W 70-64 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 4 | vsUMES | W 63-54 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 7 | @HOW | L 57-85 | +14.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 16 | vsCOPP | L 57-59 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@LOU
LOUL 45-104
−23.5
7
@SAM
SAML 72-82
+4.5
10
@NCAT
NCATL 62-85
−20.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 61-88
−8.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 66-78
−0.5
23
@SDAK
SDAKL 81-82
+14.5
25
@MIZ
MIZL 66-98
+2.5
29
@WIN
WINL 79-101
−1.5
5
@BCU
BCUL 59-80
−7.5
8
@CHSO
CHSOL 44-84
−27.5
12
@QUC
QUCL 78-102
−5.5
16
vsUPST
UPSTL 72-78
+4.5
22
@SC
SCL 70-95
+6.5
30
@TENN
TENNL 54-105
−6.5
3
vsHOW
HOWW 58-57
+9.5
10
@MORG
MORGL 67-72
−0.5
12
@COPP
COPPW 74-72
+3.5
17
vsNORF
NORFL 82-89
−1.5
26
vsDSU
DSUW 70-64
+4.5
4
vsUMES
UMESW 63-54
+12.5
7
@HOW
HOWL 57-85
−13.5
16
vsCOPP
COPPL 57-59
−6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@LOU
LOUL 45-104
−10.5
7
@SAM
SAML 72-82
−0.5
10
@NCAT
NCATL 62-85
−12.5
14
@COFC
COFCL 61-88
−7.5
19
vsUTC
UTCL 66-78
−10.5
23
@SDAK
SDAKL 81-82
+2.5
25
@MIZ
MIZL 66-98
+3.5
29
@WIN
WINL 79-101
+22.5
5
@BCU
BCUL 59-80
−9.5
8
@CHSO
CHSOL 44-84
−28.5
12
@QUC
QUCL 78-102
+22.5
16
vsUPST
UPSTL 72-78
+2.5
22
@SC
SCL 70-95
+15.5
30
@TENN
TENNL 54-105
+11.5
3
vsHOW
HOWW 58-57
−29.5
10
@MORG
MORGL 67-72
−8.5
12
@COPP
COPPW 74-72
+5.5
17
vsNORF
NORFL 82-89
+31.5
26
vsDSU
DSUW 70-64
−1.5
4
vsUMES
UMESW 63-54
−16.5
7
@HOW
HOWL 57-85
+0.5
16
vsCOPP
COPPL 57-59
−22.5
over 10under 12avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NC Central
6-14 overall · 6-3 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Morgan St80–76
- Lvs Coppin St56–58
- Wvs Delaware St72–63
- L@ Norfolk St68–75
- Wvs MD Eastern65–63
2 days since their last game.
SC State
4-18 overall · 4-4 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Coppin St57–59
- L@ Howard57–85
- Wvs MD Eastern63–54
- Wvs Delaware St70–64
- Lvs Norfolk St82–89
2 days since their last game.