CFSB Center · at Murray St · Conference game
Closing line
BEL -1.5✓ BEL covered by 15.5
BEL -1.5✓ BEL covered by 15.5Closing total166.5Under by 9.5
| BEL | This season | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| 22-4 | Record | 19-8 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 15-11 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BEL 84–84 MUR · ✗ MUR (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 24 | 63 | 87 |
| MUR | 39 | 31 | 70 |
1st half: BEL 24, MUR 39 (MUR by 15). The model had MUR by 0.2 and a total of 78.5 (actual 63).
Team stats
| BEL | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-58 52% | Field goals | 23-60 38% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 11-32 34% |
| 17-20 85% | Free throws | 13-21 62% |
| 34 6 off | Rebounds | 35 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 9 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 36 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Sam Orme F | 26 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah West G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 17 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 12 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eoin Dillon F | 26 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Jack Smiley G | 22 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 7-10 | 2-4 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 19 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Noyes F | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Keith Robbins G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Graydon Lemke F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jake Dykstra G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Haynes G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Win Miller, Nic McClain
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Jackson G | 32 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 7-17 | 1-5 |
| Roman Domon G | 29 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1-11 | 1-7 |
| JJ Traynor F | 27 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Fredrick King C | 19 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Layne Taylor G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KJ Tenner G | 23 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 7-10 | 5-7 |
| Mason Miller F | 23 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Mathis Courbon G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brock Vice F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Shtolzberg, Tristian Ford, Lachlan Crate, Dillon Butler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -1.5
ModelMUR -0.6
Model edgeMUR +2.1
L BEL covered
Total
Market166.5
Model168.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
L Under
Projected score
BEL 83.7 · MUR 84.3
BEL 87 · MUR 70
Win probability
MUR 52%
1st half
Spread
MUR -0.2
MUR -15.0
Total
78.5
63 points
Projected score
BEL 39.1 · MUR 39.4
BEL 24 · MUR 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMUR -1.5
3 → BEL
CloseBEL -1.5
3 pts toward BEL
Total
Open171.5
▼ 5
Close166.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
BEL -122 · MUR +102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MUR -1.5 · closed BEL -1.5 · moved 3 toward BELmodel MUR -0.5
model MUR -0.5
Opened 171.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 5 downmodel 168
model 168
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| MUR | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
BEL 6–3 MURBEL leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · BEL has won the last 5 meetings · BEL 7-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | MUR 86 @ BEL 103 | BEL -3.5 | BEL W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | MUR 60 @ BEL 70 | BEL -2.5 | BEL W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | BEL 95 @ MUR 77 | MUR -4.5 | BEL W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | BEL 83 @ MUR 61 | MUR -2.5 | BEL W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | MUR 64 @ BEL 69 | BEL -2.5 | BEL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Belmont
26 games played
Straight up
22-4
85% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg +3.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vs BRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs SIU | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 7 | @ UNI | W 78-65 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | @ DRKE | W 78-76 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 13 | vs VAL | W 78-74 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 17 | @SIU | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILST | W 80-69 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 28 | @VAL | W 78-77 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsMUR | W 103-86 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 3 | vsDRKE | W 103-90 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 6 | @UIC | W 68-62 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | @BRAD | L 84-95 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 12 | vsUNI | W 91-86 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−7.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+15.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
−2.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
−7.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
+1.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
+5.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
−4.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+13.5
3
vsDRKE
DRKEW 103-90
+3.5
6
@UIC
UICW 68-62
+4.5
9
@BRAD
BRADL 84-95
−12.5
12
vsUNI
UNIW 91-86
+0.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−23.5
7
@UNI
UNIW 78-65
+5.5
10
@DRKE
DRKEW 78-76
+5.5
13
vsVAL
VALW 78-74
+5.5
17
@SIU
SIUW 73-68
−10.5
24
vsILST
ILSTW 80-69
−1.5
28
@VAL
VALW 78-77
+9.5
31
vsMUR
MURW 103-86
+25.5
3
vsDRKE
DRKEW 103-90
+38.5
6
@UIC
UICW 68-62
−21.5
9
@BRAD
BRADL 84-95
+26.5
12
vsUNI
UNIW 91-86
+38.5
over 15under 11avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Murray St
27 games played
Straight up
19-8
70% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OMA | W 85-77 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MVSU | W 108-60 | -38.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMU | L 91-102 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs NICH | W 99-79 | -14.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 18 | vs LR | W 89-68 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 23 | vsMTSU | L 87-90 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs MCN | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs GW | W 96-95 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | vs MORE | W 84-52 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs BELL | W 81-68 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs AKR | W 115-100 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
| Dec 18 | vsDRKE | W 81-72 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 21 | @VAL | W 85-79 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | vsSIU | W 84-81 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | U 165 |
| Jan 1 | @UIC | W 81-77 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 4 | vsBRAD | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 7 | @EVAN | W 79-69 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsVAL | W 92-79 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vsINST | W 85-81 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 21 | @DRKE | L 90-101 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 24 | @UNI | L 76-81 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | vsILST | L 65-70 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @BEL | L 86-103 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 3 | vsUIC | W 81-74 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 6 | @SIU | W 91-81 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 9 | vsUNI | L 60-89 | -4.5 | L −33.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 12 | @INST | W 74-72 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+7.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−9.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−10.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+8.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
+15.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−3.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+19.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
+1.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+0.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−3.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
+14.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
+1.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+0.5
17
vsINST
INSTW 85-81
−7.5
21
@DRKE
DRKEL 90-101
−15.5
24
@UNI
UNIL 76-81
−6.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-70
−8.5
31
@BEL
BELL 86-103
−13.5
3
vsUIC
UICW 81-74
+0.5
6
@SIU
SIUW 91-81
+8.5
9
vsUNI
UNIL 60-89
−33.5
12
@INST
INSTW 74-72
−1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+15.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−25.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+23.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
−22.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−8.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+46.5
18
vsDRKE
DRKEW 81-72
−3.5
21
@VAL
VALW 85-79
+8.5
29
vsSIU
SIUW 84-81
−0.5
1
@UIC
UICW 81-77
−1.5
4
vsBRAD
BRADW 86-66
−10.5
7
@EVAN
EVANW 79-69
−5.5
10
vsVAL
VALW 92-79
+18.5
17
vsINST
INSTW 85-81
−1.5
21
@DRKE
DRKEL 90-101
+34.5
24
@UNI
UNIL 76-81
+11.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-70
−24.5
31
@BEL
BELL 86-103
+25.5
3
vsUIC
UICW 81-74
−2.5
6
@SIU
SIUW 91-81
+14.5
9
vsUNI
UNIL 60-89
+3.5
12
@INST
INSTW 74-72
−17.5
over 15under 12avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Belmont
22-4 overall · 13-3 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northern Iowa91–86
- L@ Bradley84–95
- W@ UIC68–62
- Wvs Drake103–90
- Wvs Murray St103–86
3 days since their last game.
Murray St
19-8 overall · 11-5 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Indiana St74–72
- Lvs Northern Iowa60–89
- W@ S Illinois91–81
- Wvs UIC81–74
- L@ Belmont86–103
3 days since their last game.