UTSA Convocation Center · at UTSA · Conference game
Closing line
ECU -4.5✓ UTSA covered by 3.5
ECU -4.5✓ UTSA covered by 3.5Closing total153.5Over by 9.5
| ECU | This season | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| 8-18 | Record | 3-22 |
| 10-16 | ATS | 8-17 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 12-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ECU 77–73 UTSA · ✓ ECU (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 34 | 48 | 82 |
| UTSA | 43 | 38 | 81 |
1st half: ECU 34, UTSA 43 (UTSA by 9). The model had ECU by 2.6 and a total of 70.4 (actual 77).
Team stats
| ECU | UTSA | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-56 50% | Field goals | 31-54 57% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 9-10 90% |
| 29 14 off | Rebounds | 25 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 19 |
| 11 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| ECU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley G | 39 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 7-16 | 3-5 |
| Corey Caulker G | 38 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Giovanni Emejuru C | 35 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Eli DeLaurier C | 29 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| Demitri Gardner G | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Mbeng G | 16 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Reid Cason F | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Patrick D'Arcy G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luke Davis F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vito Perkovic F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Daithi Quinn, Jake Baker, Ladontae Felton, Trevion LaBeaux, Tybo Bailey, Jayshayne Woodard, Grant Smith
| UTSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Hayes G | 40 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 4-6 |
| Jamir Simpson G | 40 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 8-11 | 1-3 |
| Daniel Akitoby F | 39 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 8-11 | 1-2 |
| Brent Moss G | 33 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Matheo Coffi F | 27 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Baboucarr Njie F | 21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Fazande, Vasean Allette, Macaleab Rich, Kaidon Rayfield, LJ Brown, Mo Njie, Stanley Borden, Austin Nunez, Pierce Spencer
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketECU -4.5
ModelECU -4.2
Model edgeUTSA +0.3
W UTSA covered
Total
Market153.5
Model150.5
Model edgeUnder 3.0
L Over
Projected score
ECU 77.4 · UTSA 73.2
ECU 82 · UTSA 81
Win probability
ECU 64%
1st half
Spread
ECU -2.6
UTSA -9.0
Total
70.4
77 points
Projected score
ECU 36.5 · UTSA 33.9
ECU 34 · UTSA 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenECU -4.5
no move
CloseECU -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 3
Close153.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
ECU -198 · UTSA +164
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ECU -4.5 · unchangedmodel ECU -4
model ECU -4
Opened 150.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| UTSA | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ECU 5–0 UTSAECU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · ECU has won the last 5 meetings · ECU 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | UTSA 72 @ ECU 88 | ECU -10.5 | ECU W |
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | UTSA 65 vs ECU 70 | ECU -4.5 | ECU W |
| Feb 23, 2024-25 | UTSA 89 @ ECU 96 | ECU -8.5 | UTSA W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | ECU 80 @ UTSA 79 | UTSA +1.5 | UTSA W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | ECU 84 @ UTSA 73 | UTSA +1.5 | ECU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
East Carolina
26 games played
Straight up
8-18
31% wins
Against the spread
10-16
38% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs GASO | W 92-89 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | @ RICH | L 72-87 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNCW | L 60-85 | +6.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs CHSO | L 65-77 | -13.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSU | L 56-89 | +19.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs SBU | L 58-67 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 2 | vs UMES | W 68-56 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCG | L 78-82 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 11 | vs APP | L 54-67 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs BUF | W 73-70 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRES | W 74-53 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 22 | @ UNC | L 51-99 | +25.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 31 | vs TULN | L 70-79 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 7 | @ TEM | L 67-75 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | vs UAB | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | @ USF | L 71-82 | +18.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vs CLT | L 70-73 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 21 | @ WICH | L 60-77 | +12.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 23 | @ UNT | W 63-59 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 28 | vs RICE | L 77-83 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 1 | @ FAU | W 76-75 | +10.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 7 | vsTEM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 11 | vsUTSA | W 88-72 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @RICE | W 85-75 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 18 | vsWICH | L 89-92 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 21 | @CLT | L 56-68 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
−2.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
−9.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−18.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−25.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
−13.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
+1.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−0.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
−11.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 54-67
−17.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
+1.5
17
vsPRES
PRESW 74-53
+16.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 51-99
−22.5
31
vsTULN
TULNL 70-79
−7.5
7
@TEM
TEML 67-75
−0.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 85-87
+5.5
14
@USF
USFL 71-82
+7.5
18
vsCLT
CLTL 70-73
−4.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 60-77
−4.5
23
@UNT
UNTW 63-59
+14.5
28
vsRICE
RICEL 77-83
−8.5
1
@FAU
FAUW 76-75
+11.5
7
vsTEM
TEML 73-81
−5.5
11
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-72
+5.5
14
@RICE
RICEW 85-75
+14.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 89-92
+4.5
21
@CLT
CLTL 56-68
−7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 16avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
+29.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
+15.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−0.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−15.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
+4.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
−19.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−3.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
+20.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 54-67
−9.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
−3.5
17
vsPRES
PRESW 74-53
−4.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 51-99
+5.5
31
vsTULN
TULNL 70-79
+3.5
7
@TEM
TEML 67-75
−1.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 85-87
+21.5
14
@USF
USFL 71-82
−5.5
18
vsCLT
CLTL 70-73
+3.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 60-77
−7.5
23
@UNT
UNTW 63-59
−12.5
28
vsRICE
RICEL 77-83
+19.5
1
@FAU
FAUW 76-75
−2.5
7
vsTEM
TEML 73-81
+13.5
11
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-72
+9.5
14
@RICE
RICEW 85-75
+13.5
18
vsWICH
WICHL 89-92
+31.5
21
@CLT
CLTL 56-68
−21.5
over 13under 13avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UTSA
25 games played
Straight up
3-22
12% wins
Against the spread
8-17
32% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SIUE | L 60-77 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXST | L 69-80 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ DEN | W 84-79 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 24 | vs ACU | L 50-61 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vsGASO | W 77-64 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 30 | vs USA | L 58-82 | +1.5 | L −22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | @ ALA | L 55-97 | +33.5 | L −8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | @ COLO | L 64-88 | +22.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ USC | L 70-97 | +25.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 22 | vs SEA | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | @FAU | L 70-110 | +16.5 | L −23.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @TEM | L 57-76 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 7 | vsCLT | L 58-74 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vsTULN | L 52-85 | +7.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vsRICE | L 73-89 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 18 | @ MEM | L 69-95 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 21 | @UNT | L 62-81 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 24 | vsTEM | L 64-70 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 28 | vsUAB | L 73-83 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 4 | @USF | L 88-109 | +23.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 197 |
| Feb 7 | vsUNT | L 58-81 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 11 | @ECU | L 72-88 | +10.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 15 | @CLT | W 88-79 | +13.5 | W +22.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 18 | vsFAU | L 52-60 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 112 |
| Feb 22 | @ TLSA | L 74-100 | +21.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−23.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
−8.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+9.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−8.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
+16.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−22.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−8.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−1.5
17
@USC
USCL 70-97
−1.5
22
vsSEA
SEAL 68-71
+7.5
31
@FAU
FAUL 70-110
−23.5
3
@TEM
TEML 57-76
−8.5
7
vsCLT
CLTL 58-74
−9.5
10
vsTULN
TULNL 52-85
−25.5
14
vsRICE
RICEL 73-89
−9.5
18
@MEM
MEML 69-95
−5.5
21
@UNT
UNTL 62-81
−3.5
24
vsTEM
TEML 64-70
+4.5
28
vsUAB
UABL 73-83
+2.5
4
@USF
USFL 88-109
+2.5
7
vsUNT
UNTL 58-81
−12.5
11
@ECU
ECUL 72-88
−5.5
15
@CLT
CLTW 88-79
+22.5
18
vsFAU
FAUL 52-60
+3.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-100
−4.5
covered 8didn’t cover 17avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIUE
SIUEL 60-77
−16.5
12
@TXST
TXSTL 69-80
+1.5
15
@DEN
DENW 84-79
+14.5
24
vsACU
ACUL 50-61
−33.5
25
vsGASO
GASOW 77-64
−19.5
30
vsUSA
USAL 58-82
−1.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 55-97
−19.5
13
@COLO
COLOL 64-88
−2.5
17
@USC
USCL 70-97
+9.5
22
vsSEA
SEAL 68-71
−9.5
31
@FAU
FAUL 70-110
+21.5
3
@TEM
TEML 57-76
−16.5
7
vsCLT
CLTL 58-74
−13.5
10
vsTULN
TULNL 52-85
−10.5
14
vsRICE
RICEL 73-89
+17.5
18
@MEM
MEML 69-95
+16.5
21
@UNT
UNTL 62-81
+4.5
24
vsTEM
TEML 64-70
−11.5
28
vsUAB
UABL 73-83
+0.5
4
@USF
USFL 88-109
+32.5
7
vsUNT
UNTL 58-81
−2.5
11
@ECU
ECUL 72-88
+9.5
15
@CLT
CLTW 88-79
+18.5
18
vsFAU
FAUL 52-60
−45.5
22
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-100
+14.5
over 12under 13avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
East Carolina
8-18 overall · 4-10 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Charlotte56–68
- Lvs Wichita St89–92
- W@ Rice85–75
- Wvs UTSA88–72
- Lvs Temple73–81
4 days since their last game.
UTSA
3-22 overall · 1-14 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tulsa74–100
- Lvs FAU52–60
- W@ Charlotte88–79
- L@ East Carolina72–88
- Lvs North Texas58–81
3 days since their last game.