XFINITY Center · at Maryland · Conference game
Closing line
IU -7.5✓ IU covered by 10.5
IU -7.5✓ IU covered by 10.5Closing total147.5Over by 2.5
| IU | This season | MD |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3 | Record | 7-7 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 9-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IU 79–72 MD · ✓ IU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 36 | 48 | 84 |
| MD | 31 | 35 | 66 |
1st half: IU 36, MD 31 (IU by 5). The model had IU by 4.7 and a total of 70.6 (actual 67).
Team stats
| IU | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 25-61 41% |
| 8-25 32% | 3-pointers | 5-26 19% |
| 22-26 85% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 41 14 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 13 | Assists | 7 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 39 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 9-17 | 3-7 |
| Conor Enright G | 37 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 33 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Sam Alexis F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reed Bailey F | 28 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Trent Sisley F | 17 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Nick Dorn G | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Andrej Acimovic, Aleksa Ristic, Tryce Grensing, Drew Snively, Josh Harris, Ian Stephens, Jasai Miles, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington F | 38 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Andre Mills G | 32 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 32 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-7 |
| Darius Adams G | 19 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Coit G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Myles Rice G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Aleks Alston F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Blake, Jaziah Harper, Guillermo Del Pino, Lukas Sotell, Collin Metcalf, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIU -7.5
ModelIU -7.6
Model edgeIU +0.1
W IU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model150.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
W Over
Projected score
IU 79.2 · MD 71.6
IU 84 · MD 66
Win probability
IU 75%
1st half
Spread
IU -4.7
IU -5.0
Total
70.6
67 points
Projected score
IU 37.6 · MD 33
IU 36 · MD 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -8.5
1 → MD
CloseIU -7.5
1 pt toward MD
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
IU -375 · MD +295
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -8.5 · closed IU -7.5 · moved 1 toward MDmodel IU -7.5 matches the line
model IU -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| MD | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
IU 5–2 MDIU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · IU 6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024-25 | MD 79 @ IU 78 | IU +2.5 | IU W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | IU 83 @ MD 78 | MD -8.5 | IU W |
| Dec 1, 2023-24 | MD 53 @ IU 65 | IU -2.5 | IU W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | MD 60 vs IU 70 | IU -2.5 | IU W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | IU 55 @ MD 66 | MD -2.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 9 | vs PSU | W 113-72 | -14.5 | W +26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | @ UK | L 60-72 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs CHST | W 78-58 | -38.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs SIE | W 81-60 | -21.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 4 | vs WASH | W 90-80 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+26.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−8.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−18.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−0.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
9
vsPSU
PSUW 113-72
+32.5
13
@UK
UKL 60-72
−24.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-58
−16.5
22
vsSIE
SIEW 81-60
−4.5
4
vsWASH
WASHW 90-80
+17.5
over 7under 7avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
14 games played
Straight up
7-7
50% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-5
64% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs GONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORE | L 54-64 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
2
vsORE
OREL 54-64
−28.5
over 9under 5avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana
11-3 overall · 2-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Washington90–80
- Wvs Siena81–60
- Wvs Chicago St78–58
- L@ Kentucky60–72
- Wvs Penn State113–72
3 days since their last game.
Maryland
7-7 overall · 0-3 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oregon54–64
- Wvs Old Dominion73–58
- L@ Virginia72–80
- Lvs Michigan83–101
- L@ Iowa64–83
5 days since their last game.