Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · at Utah State · Conference game
Closing line
USU -6.5✓ SDSU covered by 1.5
USU -6.5✓ SDSU covered by 1.5Closing total147.5Under by 10.5
 SDSU | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-5 | Record | 16-3 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 9-10 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDSU 73–79 USU · ✓ USU (71%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 34 | 32 | 66 |
| USU | 34 | 37 | 71 |
1st half: SDSU 34, USU 34 (tied). The model had USU by 3.6 and a total of 71.2 (actual 68).
Team stats
| SDSU | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-57 40% | Field goals | 26-64 41% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 6-26 23% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 13-23 57% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 46 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 21 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 33 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 3-8 |
| Miles Byrd G | 29 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-12 | 1-6 |
| BJ Davis G | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3-12 | 0-3 |
| Miles Heide F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 17 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taj DeGourville G | 24 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 21 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tae Simmons F | 21 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Thokbor Majak, Raymar Gonzales, Elzie Harrington, Cam Lawin, Latrell Davis, Magoon Gwath
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 35 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 3-14 | 2-9 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 34 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Mason Falslev G | 33 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Drake Allen G | 27 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Zach Keller F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karson Templin F | 29 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 7-10 | 2-3 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Kolby King G | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Garry Clark F | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Jordy Barnes, Kingston Tosi, Luke Kearney, Brayden Boe, Tucker Anderson
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -6.5
ModelUSU -6.3
Model edgeSDSU +0.3
W SDSU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model152.1
Model edgeOver 4.6
L Under
Projected score
SDSU 72.9 · USU 79.2
SDSU 66 · USU 71
Win probability
USU 71%
1st half
Spread
USU -3.6
tied
Total
71.2
68 points
Projected score
SDSU 33.8 · USU 37.4
SDSU 34 · USU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -5.5
1 → USU
CloseUSU -6.5
1 pt toward USU
Total
Open147.5
no move
Close147.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SDSU +250 · USU -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -5.5 · closed USU -6.5 · moved 1 toward USUmodel USU -6.5
model USU -6.5
Opened 147.5 · unchangedmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| USU | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
SDSU 6–4 USUSDSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · USU has won the last 2 meetings · SDSU 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SDSU 71 @ USU 79 | USU -5.5 | USU W |
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | USU 67 @ SDSU 66 | SDSU -4.5 | USU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | SDSU 86 vs USU 70 | USU +4.5 | SDSU W |
| Feb 20, 2023-24 | SDSU 63 @ USU 68 | USU -3.5 | USU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | USU 67 @ SDSU 81 | SDSU -6.5 | SDSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego St
19 games played
Straight up
14-5
74% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs AF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARIZ | L 45-68 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 30 | @ SJSU | W 81-68 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | vs BOIS | W 110-107 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 6 | @ NEV | W 73-68 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs FRES | W 71-52 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 14 | @ WYO | W 74-57 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | vs UNM | W 83-79 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | @ GCU | L 69-70 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @ UNLV | W 82-71 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 28 | vs CSU | W 73-50 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−9.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+1.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
−1.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
+6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
+4.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
+15.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
−1.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−2.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+7.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
+13.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
20
vsARIZ
ARIZL 45-68
−40.5
30
@SJSU
SJSUW 81-68
+7.5
3
vsBOIS
BOISW 110-107
+78.5
6
@NEV
NEVW 73-68
−0.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 71-52
−23.5
14
@WYO
WYOW 74-57
−17.5
17
vsUNM
UNMW 83-79
+13.5
21
@GCU
GCUL 69-70
−6.5
24
@UNLV
UNLVW 82-71
+3.5
28
vsCSU
CSUW 73-50
−16.5
over 9under 10avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
19 games played
Straight up
16-3
84% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs VCU | W 80-77 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs WEB | W 83-73 | -22.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTEP | W 75-51 | -16.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 21 | vs TULN | W 96-75 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs DAV | W 94-60 | -9.5 | W +24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 29 | vs MTST | W 84-81 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 4 | @ USF | L 61-74 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ CLT | W 79-53 | -10.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 13 | vs ILST | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vsCSU | W 100-58 | -10.5 | W +31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | @FRES | W 72-63 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 3 | vsSJSU | W 96-78 | -22.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | @AF | W 99-62 | -22.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 10 | @BOIS | W 93-68 | -1.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 14 | vsNEV | W 71-62 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 17 | @GCU | L 74-84 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 20 | vsUNLV | L 76-86 | -15.5 | L −25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 23 | @CSU | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | vsWYO | W 94-62 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+12.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+24.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
−14.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−10.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
+15.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
−3.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+31.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−5.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
−4.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+14.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+23.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−4.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
−15.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
−25.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−1.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+18.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
21
vsTULN
TULNW 96-75
+19.5
23
vsDAV
DAVW 94-60
+6.5
29
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-81
+16.5
4
@USF
USFL 61-74
−27.5
7
@CLT
CLTW 79-53
−7.5
13
vsILST
ILSTW 83-78
+12.5
20
vsCSU
CSUW 100-58
+10.5
30
@FRES
FRESW 72-63
−19.5
3
vsSJSU
SJSUW 96-78
+22.5
6
@AF
AFW 99-62
+21.5
10
@BOIS
BOISW 93-68
+11.5
14
vsNEV
NEVW 71-62
−14.5
17
@GCU
GCUL 74-84
+7.5
20
vsUNLV
UNLVL 76-86
+5.5
23
@CSU
CSUW 65-61
−23.5
28
vsWYO
WYOW 94-62
+7.5
over 11under 8avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego St
14-5 overall · 9-1 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colorado St73–50
- W@ UNLV82–71
- L@ Grand Canyon69–70
- Wvs New Mexico83–79
- W@ Wyoming74–57
3 days since their last game.
Utah State
16-3 overall · 8-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wyoming94–62
- W@ Colorado St65–61
- Lvs UNLV76–86
- L@ Grand Canyon74–84
- Wvs Nevada71–62
3 days since their last game.