Fiserv Forum · at Marquette · Conference game
Closing line
MARQ -3.5✓ MARQ covered by 11.5
MARQ -3.5✓ MARQ covered by 11.5Closing total155.5Under by 30.5
 BTLR | This season | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| 13-10 | Record | 8-15 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 7-16 |
| 13-10 | O/U | 12-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BTLR 81–81 MARQ · ✗ MARQ (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTLR | 28 | 27 | 55 |
| MARQ | 32 | 38 | 70 |
1st half: BTLR 28, MARQ 32 (MARQ by 4). The model had BTLR by 0.1 and a total of 75.6 (actual 60).
Team stats
| BTLR | MARQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-61 33% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 14-31 45% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 6-10 60% |
| 43 17 off | Rebounds | 30 4 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 12 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| BTLR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finley Bizjack G | 40 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 8-12 | 5-7 |
| Michael Ajayi F | 38 | 8 | 19 | 2 | 3-15 | 0-4 |
| Evan Haywood G | 28 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-9 | 1-7 |
| Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor G | 25 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Drayton Jones C | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Yohan Traore F | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Keith F | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Yame Butler G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jalen Jackson, Kevin Ndzie, Bryson Cardinal, Azavier Robinson, Jack McCaffery, Ethan McComb
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Stevens G | 37 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 6-11 | 6-9 |
| Chase Ross G | 33 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 7-10 | 4-5 |
| Nigel James Jr. G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 6-15 | 0-5 |
| Royce Parham F | 25 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Ben Gold F | 23 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Damarius Owens SF | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tre Norman G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Joshua Clark F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nash Walker, Braeden Brenn, Sheek Pearson, Ian Miletic, Zaide Lowery, Casey O'Malley, Sean Jones, Jonah Lucas
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMARQ -3.5
ModelPK
Model edgeBTLR +3.5
L MARQ covered
Total
Market155.5
Model161.6
Model edgeOver 6.1
L Under
Projected score
BTLR 80.8 · MARQ 80.8
BTLR 55 · MARQ 70
Win probability
MARQ 50%
1st half
Spread
BTLR -0.1
MARQ -4.0
Total
75.6
60 points
Projected score
BTLR 37.9 · MARQ 37.7
BTLR 28 · MARQ 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMARQ -2.5
1 → MARQ
CloseMARQ -3.5
1 pt toward MARQ
Total
Open157.5
▼ 2
Close155.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
BTLR +136 · MARQ -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MARQ -2.5 · closed MARQ -3.5 · moved 1 toward MARQmodel PK
model PK
Opened 157.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 2 downmodel 161.5
model 161.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTLR | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| MARQ | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
BTLR 3–6 MARQMARQ leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · BTLR 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025-26 | MARQ 76 @ BTLR 87 | BTLR -5.5 | BTLR W |
| Jan 28, 2024-25 | MARQ 78 @ BTLR 69 | BTLR +8.5 | MARQ W |
| Dec 18, 2024-25 | BTLR 70 @ MARQ 80 | MARQ -13.5 | BTLR W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | MARQ 78 @ BTLR 72 | BTLR +3.5 | MARQ W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | BTLR 69 @ MARQ 62 | MARQ -11.5 | BTLR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Butler
23 games played
Straight up
13-10
57% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-10
57% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs USI | W 88-58 | -22.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 8 | vs IUIN | W 112-80 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 192.5 | U 192 |
| Nov 11 | vs CHST | W 98-66 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 15 | @ SMU | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | vs SC | W 79-72 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs UVA | W 80-73 | +6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs WRST | W 94-69 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 2 | vs EMU | W 84-68 | -17.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 6 | vs BOIS | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs PROV | W 113-110 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 16 | @ CONN | L 60-79 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | vs NU | W 61-58 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 22 | vs NJIT | W 101-52 | -32.5 | W +16.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | @ CREI | L 85-89 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 3 | vs VILL | L 67-85 | -2.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 6 | vs SJU | L 70-84 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 14 | @ XAV | L 75-89 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | @ HALL | W 77-66 | +6.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 20 | vs DEP | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 23 | vsMARQ | W 87-76 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 28 | @SJU | L 70-92 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 158.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs GTWN | L 64-77 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 4 | @PROV | L 87-97 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | O 184 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
+7.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
+11.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+5.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+3.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
+13.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+10.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−11.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
−0.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−3.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−0.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+16.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+1.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
−20.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−9.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 75-89
−15.5
17
@HALL
HALLW 77-66
+17.5
20
vsDEP
DEPW 87-80
−0.5
23
vsMARQ
MARQW 87-76
+5.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 70-92
−9.5
31
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-77
−18.5
4
@PROV
PROVL 87-97
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUSI
USIW 88-58
−10.5
8
vsIUIN
IUINW 112-80
−0.5
11
vsCHST
CHSTW 98-66
+5.5
15
@SMU
SMUL 85-87
+8.5
21
vsSC
SCW 79-72
+0.5
23
vsUVA
UVAW 80-73
−2.5
28
vsWRST
WRSTW 94-69
+12.5
2
vsEMU
EMUW 84-68
−1.5
6
vsBOIS
BOISL 68-77
−3.5
13
vsPROV
PROVW 113-110
+58.5
16
@CONN
CONNL 60-79
−5.5
20
vsNU
NUW 61-58
−35.5
22
vsNJIT
NJITW 101-52
+3.5
30
@CREI
CREIL 85-89
+17.5
3
vsVILL
VILLL 67-85
+2.5
6
vsSJU
SJUL 70-84
−8.5
14
@XAV
XAVL 75-89
+2.5
17
@HALL
HALLW 77-66
−1.5
20
vsDEP
DEPW 87-80
+19.5
23
vsMARQ
MARQW 87-76
+1.5
28
@SJU
SJUL 70-92
+3.5
31
vsGTWN
GTWNL 64-77
−8.5
4
@PROV
PROVL 87-97
+15.5
over 13under 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Marquette
23 games played
Straight up
8-15
35% wins
Against the spread
7-16
30% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 6 | @ WIS | L 76-96 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ PUR | L 59-79 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vsGTWN | L 69-78 | -6.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 20 | @CREI | L 63-84 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 30 | vsHALL | L 73-79 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 4 | @CONN | L 57-73 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 7 | vsXAV | W 66-65 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 157.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsVILL | L 73-76 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 13 | @SJU | L 68-92 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 16 | @DEP | L 75-80 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 19 | vsPROV | W 105-104 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 209 |
| Jan 23 | @BTLR | L 76-87 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 27 | vsCREI | W 86-62 | +1.5 | W +25.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | @HALL | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
−8.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−3.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−15.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−14.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
−7.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
+1.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−4.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+0.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 68-92
−8.5
16
@DEP
DEPL 75-80
−2.5
19
vsPROV
PROVW 105-104
−1.5
23
@BTLR
BTLRL 76-87
−5.5
27
vsCREI
CREIW 86-62
+25.5
31
@HALL
HALLL 64-69
+1.5
covered 7didn’t cover 16avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
6
@WIS
WISL 76-96
+11.5
13
@PUR
PURL 59-79
−16.5
17
vsGTWN
GTWNL 69-78
−2.5
20
@CREI
CREIL 63-84
−4.5
30
vsHALL
HALLL 73-79
+6.5
4
@CONN
CONNL 57-73
−14.5
7
vsXAV
XAVW 66-65
−26.5
10
vsVILL
VILLL 73-76
+2.5
13
@SJU
SJUL 68-92
+4.5
16
@DEP
DEPL 75-80
+9.5
19
vsPROV
PROVW 105-104
+41.5
23
@BTLR
BTLRL 76-87
+1.5
27
vsCREI
CREIW 86-62
−6.5
31
@HALL
HALLL 64-69
−10.5
over 12under 11avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Butler
13-10 overall · 4-8 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Providence87–97
- Lvs Georgetown64–77
- L@ St John's70–92
- Wvs Marquette87–76
- Wvs DePaul87–80
3 days since their last game.
Marquette
8-15 overall · 3-9 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Seton Hall64–69
- Wvs Creighton86–62
- L@ Butler76–87
- Wvs Providence105–104
- L@ DePaul75–80
A week or more of rest.