Cassell Coliseum · at Virginia Tech · Conference game
Closing line
VT -5.5✓ CAL covered by 2.5
VT -5.5✓ CAL covered by 2.5Closing total148.5Over by 4.5
 CAL | This season | VT |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 12-4 |
| 7-8 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 6-9 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CAL 75–79 VT · ✓ VT (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | 37 | 38 | 75 |
| VT | 37 | 41 | 78 |
1st half: CAL 37, VT 37 (tied). The model had VT by 1.9 and a total of 71.9 (actual 74).
Team stats
| CAL | VT | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 23-53 43% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 19-21 90% | Free throws | 27-31 87% |
| 31 12 off | Rebounds | 28 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 28 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Pippen G | 31 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-18 | 1-8 |
| Dai Dai Ames G | 29 | 21 | 0 | 2 | 8-12 | 2-2 |
| Lee Dort F | 27 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| John Camden F | 22 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Chris Bell F | 20 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Semetri Carr G | 19 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Milos Ilic C | 16 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Kocanas C | 15 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| DeJuan Campbell G | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Nolan Dorsey G | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Luke Butler, Jorell Clark, BJ Fisher, Stephon Marbury II, Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut, Rytis Petraitis, Sammie Yeanay, Jovani Ruff
| VT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Schutt G | 34 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Neo Avdalas G | 33 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Amani Hansberry F | 30 | 15 | 9 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Christian Gurdak C | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jailen Bedford G | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ben Hammond G | 29 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 23 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Antonio Dorn, Solomon Davis, Shamarius Peterkin, Brett Freeman, Sin'Cere Jones, Izaiah Pasha, Tyler Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVT -5.5
ModelVT -3.4
Model edgeCAL +2.1
W CAL covered
Total
Market148.5
Model153.6
Model edgeOver 5.1
W Over
Projected score
CAL 75.1 · VT 78.5
CAL 75 · VT 78
Win probability
VT 62%
1st half
Spread
VT -1.9
tied
Total
71.9
74 points
Projected score
CAL 35 · VT 36.9
CAL 37 · VT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVT -5.5
no move
CloseVT -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
▲ 3
Close148.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CAL +205 · VT -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VT -5.5 · unchangedmodel VT -3.5
model VT -3.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 3 upmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| VT | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CAL 1–1 VTSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · CAL 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2024-25 | CAL 82 vs VT 73 | VT +4.5 | CAL W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | VT 71 @ CAL 68 | CAL -6.5 | VT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
California
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
7-8
47% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CSUB | W 87-60 | -15.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 6 | vs WRST | W 77-67 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 10 | vs CSUF | W 93-65 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 13 | @ KSU | L 96-99 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 18 | vs PRES | W 67-57 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 124.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vs SAC | W 91-67 | -21.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs UCLA | W 80-72 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs UTAH | W 79-72 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs PAC | W 67-61 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs NWST | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 19 | vs MORG | W 97-50 | -26.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | vs COLU | W 74-56 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 30 | vs LOU | L 70-90 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | vs ND | W 72-71 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 7 | @ UVA | L 60-84 | +14.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
+11.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
+5.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+3.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+2.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+15.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−0.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−1.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
−10.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
+20.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
+9.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
−12.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
−2.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 8avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-60
−0.5
6
vsWRST
WRSTW 77-67
−4.5
10
vsCSUF
CSUFW 93-65
−4.5
13
@KSU
KSUL 96-99
+30.5
18
vsPRES
PRESW 67-57
−0.5
21
vsSAC
SACW 91-67
+3.5
25
vsUCLA
UCLAW 80-72
+8.5
2
vsUTAH
UTAHW 79-72
−1.5
6
vsPAC
PACW 67-61
−16.5
13
vsNWST
NWSTW 79-70
+3.5
19
vsMORG
MORGW 97-50
−4.5
21
vsCOLU
COLUW 74-56
−23.5
30
vsLOU
LOUL 70-90
+0.5
2
vsND
NDW 72-71
+4.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 60-84
−4.5
over 6under 9avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia Tech
16 games played
Straight up
12-4
75% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CHSO | W 98-67 | -18.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 8 | vs PROV | W 107-101 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 12 | vs JOES | W 94-59 | -12.5 | W +22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 16 | vs CLT | W 84-76 | -18.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | vs BRY | W 78-61 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 26 | vs CSU | W 66-64 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs SMC | L 66-77 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 28 | vs VCU | L 68-86 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | @ SC | W 86-83 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs GMU | W 73-62 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 11 | vs WCU | W 96-74 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 14 | vs UMES | W 82-53 | -27.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs ELON | W 82-81 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 31 | vsUVA | W 95-85 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ WAKE | L 78-81 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vs STAN | L 68-69 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+12.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+8.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
+22.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
−10.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−7.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−2.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−5.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
−15.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+5.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
+6.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+1.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
+1.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
−11.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+15.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+2.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCHSO
CHSOW 98-67
+18.5
8
vsPROV
PROVW 107-101
+50.5
12
vsJOES
JOESW 94-59
−5.5
16
vsCLT
CLTW 84-76
+14.5
19
vsBRY
BRYW 78-61
−12.5
26
vsCSU
CSUW 66-64
−23.5
27
vsSMC
SMCL 66-77
−1.5
28
vsVCU
VCUL 68-86
+0.5
2
@SC
SCW 86-83
+19.5
6
vsGMU
GMUW 73-62
−9.5
11
vsWCU
WCUW 96-74
+17.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 82-53
−4.5
20
vsELON
ELONW 82-81
+4.5
31
vsUVA
UVAW 95-85
+26.5
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 78-81
+5.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 68-69
−11.5
over 9under 7avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
California
12-3 overall · 1-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Virginia60–84
- Wvs Notre Dame72–71
- Lvs Louisville70–90
- Wvs Columbia74–56
- Wvs Morgan St97–50
3 days since their last game.
Virginia Tech
12-4 overall · 1-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Stanford68–69
- L@ Wake Forest78–81
- Wvs Virginia95–85
- Wvs Elon82–81
- Wvs MD Eastern82–53
3 days since their last game.