McDermott Center · at Incarnate Word · Conference game
Closing line
UIW -6.5✓ UIW covered by 10.5
UIW -6.5✓ UIW covered by 10.5Closing total141.5Under by 12.5
 HCU | This season | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 4-6 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 6-5 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HCU 69–76 UIW · ✓ UIW (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCU | 32 | 24 | 56 |
| UIW | 36 | 37 | 73 |
1st half: HCU 32, UIW 36 (UIW by 4). The model had UIW by 4.2 and a total of 67.7 (actual 68).
Team stats
| HCU | UIW | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-60 38% | Field goals | 28-62 45% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 6-11 55% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 4 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| HCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Bartley G | 36 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-4 |
| Demari Williams G | 33 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 10-15 | 2-4 |
| Kylin Green G | 29 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Trent Johnson F | 23 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Demarco Bethea F | 23 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mambourou Mara F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| D'Aundre Samuels G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Caleb Gaston F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nehikhare Igiehon F | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Ahjany Lee F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bryson Monroe G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Obadiah Curtis, Will Wilson, Brennen Byrd, Elijah Brooks
| UIW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahj Staveskie G | 38 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 10-17 | 4-8 |
| Davion Bailey G | 36 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 9-22 | 4-13 |
| Harold Woods G | 34 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Pyke G | 29 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-4 |
| Lewis Rowe C | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Glover F | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Williams C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Esteban Mann F | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Harrison Reede G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Love Bettis G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Amani Drummond G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mihael Tomic G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Kortas, Drew Barbee, Tyler Simon
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUIW -6.5
ModelUIW -7.2
Model edgeUIW +0.7
W UIW covered
Total
Market141.5
Model144.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
L Under
Projected score
HCU 68.6 · UIW 75.8
HCU 56 · UIW 73
Win probability
UIW 74%
1st half
Spread
UIW -4.2
UIW -4.0
Total
67.7
68 points
Projected score
HCU 31.7 · UIW 35.9
HCU 32 · UIW 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUIW -8.5
2 → HCU
CloseUIW -6.5
2 pts toward HCU
Total
Open143.5
▼ 2
Close141.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
HCU +240 · UIW -298
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UIW -8.5 · closed UIW -6.5 · moved 2 toward HCUmodel UIW -7
model UIW -7
Opened 143.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| UIW | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
HCU 6–4 UIWHCU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · HCU 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | HCU 64 @ UIW 74 | UIW -3.5 | UIW W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | UIW 76 @ HCU 81 | HCU +1.5 | HCU W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UIW 83 @ HCU 86 | HCU +3.5 | HCU W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | HCU 75 @ UIW 79 | UIW -4.5 | HCU W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | HCU 84 @ UIW 78 | UIW -3.5 | HCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hou Christian
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-5
55% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ UCSD | L 60-78 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 13 | vs ULM | W 72-61 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | @ BELL | L 69-74 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | @ CIT | W 72-65 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 29 | @ GASO | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ UNT | L 75-77 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ NOLA | W 85-76 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | vs SELA | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 132.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 15 | vs MCN | L 68-78 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 17 | @ NICH | L 64-79 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 29 | @ ISU | L 61-89 | +35.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-78
−10.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 72-61
+2.5
25
@BELL
BELLL 69-74
−7.5
26
@CIT
CITW 72-65
+5.5
29
@GASO
GASOL 62-80
−10.5
2
@UNT
UNTL 75-77
+9.5
6
@NOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+13.5
13
vsSELA
SELAL 71-74
−5.5
15
vsMCN
MCNL 68-78
+4.5
17
@NICH
NICHL 64-79
−11.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 61-89
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-78
−3.5
13
vsULM
ULMW 72-61
−10.5
25
@BELL
BELLL 69-74
−1.5
26
@CIT
CITW 72-65
−0.5
29
@GASO
GASOL 62-80
−6.5
2
@UNT
UNTL 75-77
+24.5
6
@NOLA
NOLAW 85-76
+20.5
13
vsSELA
SELAL 71-74
+12.5
15
vsMCN
MCNL 68-78
+8.5
17
@NICH
NICHL 64-79
+5.5
29
@ISU
ISUL 61-89
+4.5
over 6under 5avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Incarnate Word
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CSU | L 64-98 | +10.5 | L −23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 16 | @ IU | L 61-69 | +28.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs USI | W 87-81 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 22 | vs HPU | L 80-91 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 1 | vsMCN | W 71-67 | +10.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @NICH | L 67-74 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 8 | @NOLA | L 83-84 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 15 | @ TCU | L 65-69 | +19.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs NAU | W 90-66 | -6.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | vsSELA | W 79-70 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
−23.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
+20.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
−3.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+1.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
+14.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−8.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
−2.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
+15.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+17.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CSU
CSUL 64-98
+14.5
16
@IU
IUL 61-69
−27.5
20
vsUSI
USIW 87-81
+22.5
22
vsHPU
HPUL 80-91
+10.5
1
vsMCN
MCNW 71-67
−7.5
6
@NICH
NICHL 67-74
−4.5
8
@NOLA
NOLAL 83-84
+18.5
15
@TCU
TCUL 65-69
−9.5
21
vsNAU
NAUW 90-66
+15.5
30
vsSELA
SELAW 79-70
+13.5
over 6under 4avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hou Christian
3-8 overall · 1-3 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa State61–89
- L@ Nicholls64–79
- Lvs McNeese68–78
- Lvs SE Louisiana71–74
- W@ LSU N Orleans85–76
5 days since their last game.
Incarnate Word
4-6 overall · 2-2 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SE Louisiana79–70
- Wvs N Arizona90–66
- L@ TCU65–69
- L@ LSU N Orleans83–84
- L@ Nicholls67–74
4 days since their last game.