Worthington Arena · at Montana St · Conference game
Closing line
MTST -2.5✓ MTST covered by 12.5
MTST -2.5✓ MTST covered by 12.5Closing total140.5Over by 12.5
 PRST | This season | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| 15-8 | Record | 12-13 |
| 17-6 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 8-15 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PRST 69–72 MTST · ✓ MTST (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRST | 34 | 35 | 69 |
| MTST | 43 | 41 | 84 |
1st half: PRST 34, MTST 43 (MTST by 9). The model had MTST by 1.1 and a total of 65.9 (actual 77).
Team stats
| PRST | MTST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 29-56 52% |
| 9-18 50% | 3-pointers | 15-30 50% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 24 3 off |
| 9 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| PRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson G | 36 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 7-19 | 2-5 |
| Terri Miller Jr. F | 31 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 10-15 | 5-7 |
| Tre-Vaughn Minott C | 28 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. G | 26 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Kelcy Phipps G | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brycen Long G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Alex Dupre G | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Williams G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Tidor G | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Samuel Stewart IV G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Brayden Barron F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Colt Ness G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Charles Chukwu F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt Beatty, Isaac Brice, Kean Webb
| MTST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller G | 38 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 7-15 | 4-8 |
| Christian King F | 31 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| Chris Hodges F | 28 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Davis G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Patrick McMahon G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Howie Keene G | 30 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Seth Amunrud G | 29 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 8-11 | 6-8 |
| Jaden Steppe F | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: James Steward, Cavin Holden, CJ Purdie, Waka Mbatch, Davian Brown, Grayson Gaddis, Calum Rutherfurd
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTST -2.5
ModelMTST -2.1
Model edgePRST +0.4
L MTST covered
Total
Market140.5
Model140.8
Model edgeOver 0.3
W Over
Projected score
PRST 69.3 · MTST 71.5
PRST 69 · MTST 84
Win probability
MTST 57%
1st half
Spread
MTST -1.1
MTST -9.0
Total
65.9
77 points
Projected score
PRST 32.4 · MTST 33.5
PRST 34 · MTST 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTST -2.5
no move
CloseMTST -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open137.5
▲ 3
Close140.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
PRST +110 · MTST -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTST -2.5 · unchangedmodel MTST -2
model MTST -2
Opened 137.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 3 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRST | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| MTST | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PRST 3–6 MTSTMTST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PRST has won the last 2 meetings · PRST 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | MTST 54 @ PRST 63 | PRST -4.5 | PRST W |
| Feb 27, 2024-25 | MTST 52 @ PRST 69 | PRST -2.5 | PRST W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | PRST 73 @ MTST 74 | MTST -3.5 | PRST W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | PRST 67 @ MTST 72 | MTST -2.5 | MTST W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | MTST 91 @ PRST 94 | PRST -3.5 | MTST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland St
23 games played
Straight up
15-8
65% wins
Against the spread
17-6
74% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-15
35% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ STAN | L 79-89 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ SF | L 70-80 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 17 | vs CSUB | W 93-80 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | @ UTU | W 68-63 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 3 | @ SDAK | W 77-71 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs OMA | L 55-60 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ COLO | L 73-84 | +16.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | @ TULN | L 61-63 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 1 | @ WEB | W 95-90 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | @ IDST | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs SAC | W 96-69 | -9.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 15 | vs UNCO | W 76-73 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs NAU | W 63-52 | -11.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ EWU | W 65-61 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 24 | @ IDHO | W 69-66 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 29 | vs MONT | L 60-64 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | vsMTST | W 63-54 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 2 | vsIDST | W 88-65 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 7 | @SAC | W 74-73 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 12 | @NAU | W 77-68 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 14 | @UNCO | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 19 | vsIDHO | W 77-67 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 21 | vsEWU | L 55-67 | -6.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@STAN
STANL 79-89
+1.5
12
@SF
SFL 70-80
+3.5
17
vsCSUB
CSUBW 93-80
+4.5
25
@UTU
UTUW 68-63
+3.5
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsOMA
OMAL 55-60
−17.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 73-84
+5.5
20
@TULN
TULNL 61-63
+0.5
1
@WEB
WEBW 95-90
+3.5
3
@IDST
IDSTW 93-87
+9.5
10
vsSAC
SACW 96-69
+17.5
15
vsUNCO
UNCOW 76-73
+0.5
17
vsNAU
NAUW 63-52
−0.5
22
@EWU
EWUW 65-61
+1.5
24
@IDHO
IDHOW 69-66
+4.5
29
vsMONT
MONTL 60-64
−8.5
31
vsMTST
MTSTW 63-54
+4.5
2
vsIDST
IDSTW 88-65
+15.5
7
@SAC
SACW 74-73
−2.5
12
@NAU
NAUW 77-68
+2.5
14
@UNCO
UNCOL 65-77
−8.5
19
vsIDHO
IDHOW 77-67
+6.5
21
vsEWU
EWUL 55-67
−18.5
covered 17didn’t cover 6avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@STAN
STANL 79-89
+23.5
12
@SF
SFL 70-80
−4.5
17
vsCSUB
CSUBW 93-80
+31.5
25
@UTU
UTUW 68-63
−15.5
3
@SDAK
SDAKW 77-71
−10.5
6
vsOMA
OMAL 55-60
−29.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 73-84
+6.5
20
@TULN
TULNL 61-63
−21.5
1
@WEB
WEBW 95-90
+36.5
3
@IDST
IDSTW 93-87
+37.5
10
vsSAC
SACW 96-69
+4.5
15
vsUNCO
UNCOW 76-73
−6.5
17
vsNAU
NAUW 63-52
−25.5
22
@EWU
EWUW 65-61
−24.5
24
@IDHO
IDHOW 69-66
−10.5
29
vsMONT
MONTL 60-64
−19.5
31
vsMTST
MTSTW 63-54
−21.5
2
vsIDST
IDSTW 88-65
+16.5
7
@SAC
SACW 74-73
−3.5
12
@NAU
NAUW 77-68
+8.5
14
@UNCO
UNCOL 65-77
−7.5
19
vsIDHO
IDHOW 77-67
−1.5
21
vsEWU
EWUL 55-67
−24.5
over 8under 15avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Montana St
25 games played
Straight up
12-13
48% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @COLO | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs DEN | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 12 | @STAN | L 68-77 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 15 | @ BOIS | L 58-62 | +16.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 21 | @ LBSU | W 78-72 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | @ USU | L 81-84 | +17.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs STMN | W 82-74 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ORU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ ORST | L 57-67 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 16 | @ CP | W 83-80 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 1 | vsUNCO | W 89-75 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vsNAU | W 77-68 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | @EWU | W 68-64 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | @IDHO | L 89-92 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 17 | vsMONT | W 76-67 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 19 | @UNCO | W 73-68 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 22 | vsIDST | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vsWEB | W 91-88 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 29 | @SAC | L 80-83 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @PRST | L 54-63 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 5 | vsIDHO | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsEWU | L 71-72 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 14 | @MONT | W 82-71 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 19 | @WEB | L 79-82 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | @IDST | L 76-91 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+5.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
−9.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
+5.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
+12.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+2.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+14.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+5.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−8.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+0.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+11.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
−1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
+1.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
−1.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
+3.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
+7.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
+6.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
−3.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
−7.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−4.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
+4.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−6.5
14
@MONT
MONTW 82-71
+13.5
19
@WEB
WEBL 79-82
−1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTL 76-91
−16.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@COLO
COLOL 78-84
+13.5
9
vsDEN
DENL 73-75
+1.5
12
@STAN
STANL 68-77
−3.5
15
@BOIS
BOISL 58-62
−27.5
21
@LBSU
LBSUW 78-72
+9.5
29
@USU
USUL 81-84
+16.5
3
vsSTMN
STMNW 82-74
+8.5
6
@ORU
ORUL 68-72
−10.5
13
@ORST
ORSTL 57-67
−16.5
16
@CP
CPW 83-80
+3.5
1
vsUNCO
UNCOW 89-75
+9.5
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-68
+1.5
8
@EWU
EWUW 68-64
−24.5
10
@IDHO
IDHOL 89-92
+36.5
17
vsMONT
MONTW 76-67
−7.5
19
@UNCO
UNCOW 73-68
−12.5
22
vsIDST
IDSTW 74-62
−8.5
24
vsWEB
WEBW 91-88
+31.5
29
@SAC
SACL 80-83
+9.5
31
@PRST
PRSTL 54-63
−21.5
5
vsIDHO
IDHOW 73-66
−8.5
7
vsEWU
EWUL 71-72
−5.5
14
@MONT
MONTW 82-71
+7.5
19
@WEB
WEBL 79-82
+12.5
21
@IDST
IDSTL 76-91
+22.5
over 14under 11avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland St
15-8 overall · 12-3 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs E Washington55–67
- Wvs Idaho77–67
- L@ N Colorado65–77
- W@ N Arizona77–68
- W@ Sacramento St74–73
5 days since their last game.
Montana St
12-13 overall · 9-6 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Idaho St76–91
- L@ Weber St79–82
- W@ Montana82–71
- Lvs E Washington71–72
- Wvs Idaho73–66
5 days since their last game.