When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
80 games · 2023–2026 · Totals 66–74 · pick one to list those games
44% went over. Of the 35 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 31% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 26% of games.
All 80 games
2023–2026 · Totals 66–74 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 8 |
USA -1.5 | 66.5 | 3121933 | U | MRSH Q2 | 13–20 |
2026 · Week 7 |
TXST -15.5 | 69.5 | 21669393 | Q3 | TXST Q1 | 27–66 |
2026 · Week 4 |
TXST -30.5 | 66.5 | 35525273 | Q4 | TXST Q2 Late over |
10–63 |
2026 · Week 3 |
OKST -56.5 | 70.5 | 14315259 | U | OKST Q4 | 0–59 |
2026 · Week 3 |
ORE -58.5 | 71.5 | 28496384 | Q4 | ORE Q3 | 0–84 |
2026 · Week 2 |
FLA -51.5 | 66.5 | 13485555 | U | CAM Q1 | 3–52 |
2026 · Week 2 |
IU -57.5 | 67.5 | 20415555 | U | HOW Q1 | 0–55 |
2026 · Week 2 |
MIA -59.5 | 66.5 | 21497784 | Q3 | MIA Q3 | 7–77 |
2026 · Week 1 |
TENN -49.5 | 66.5 | 7285265 | U | FUR Q1 | 9–56 |
2025 · Week 15 |
UNT -1.5 | 66.5 | 14314455 | U | TULN Q1 | 21–34 |
2025 · Week 14 |
TENN -2.5 | 66.5 | 14425269 | Q4 | VAN Q1 | 45–24 |
2025 · Week 14 |
ECU -6.5 | 66.5 | 24454545 | U | ECU Q1 | 42–3 |
2025 · Week 13 |
USF -22.5 | 68.5 | 17274466 | U | USF Q3 | 48–18 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNLV -4.5 | 68.5 | 923334655 | U | USU Q1 Lead lost |
26–29 |
2025 · Week 12 |
UNT -17.5 | 69.5 | 21386477 | Q4 | UNT Q1 | 53–24 |
2025 · Week 11 |
SJSU -6.5 | 68.5 | 3192242 | U | AFA Q1 | 26–16 |
2025 · Week 11 |
USF -13.5 | 66.5 | 17556878 | Q3 | USF Q2 | 23–55 |
2025 · Week 10 |
ARK -5.5 | 66.5 | 7204973 | Q4 | MSST Q4 Late over Lead lost |
38–35 |
2025 · Week 10 |
UNT -6.5 | 68.5 | 14344848 | U | UNT Q1 | 17–31 |
2025 · Week 9 |
CIN -3.5 | 69.5 | 14303961 | U | CIN Q1 | 20–41 |
2025 · Week 8 |
USF -20.5 | 72.5 | 10274461 | U | USF Q4 | 13–48 |
2025 · Week 8 |
TCU -3.5 | 67.5 | 7314678 | Q4 | TCU Q2 Late over |
36–42 |
2025 · Week 7 |
TENN -10.5 | 68.5 | 17344465 | U | ARK Q1 | 31–34 |
2025 · Week 7 |
UNLV -7.5 | 66.5 | 14345799 | Q4 | AFA Q1 Lead lost |
48–51 |
2025 · Week 7 |
UNT -2.5 | 68.5 | 21427799 | Q3 | USF Q2 | 63–36 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TENN -38.5 | 68.5 | 21497380 | Q3 | UAB Q4 Late cover flip |
24–56 |
2025 · Week 1 |
UNLV -30.5 | 67.5 | 10314869 | Q4 | IDST Q1 | 31–38 |
2024 · Postseason |
TXST -15.5 | 66.5 | 13303758 | U | UNT Q1 | 28–30 |
2024 · Week 14 |
COLO -14.5 | 66.5 | 21213852 | U | COLO Q1 | 0–52 |
2024 · Week 13 |
UNT -2.5 | 73.5 | 14285968 | U | ECU Q3 | 40–28 |
2024 · Week 12 |
WSU -11.5 | 71.5 | 21425673 | Q4 | UNM Q3 Late over |
35–38 |
2024 · Week 12 |
UTSA -1.5 | 71.5 | 14345075 | Q4 | UTSA Q1 Late over |
27–48 |
2024 · Week 11 |
WSU -20.5 | 67.5 | 14284977 | Q4 | WSU Q3 Late over |
28–49 |
2024 · Week 11 |
TCU -10.5 | 69.5 | 10243751 | U | TCU Q2 | 13–38 |
2024 · Week 11 |
ARMY -6.5 | 66.5 | 10101017 | U | ARMY Q4 | 14–3 |
2024 · Week 9 |
TULN -7.5 | 69.5 | 24486982 | Q4 | TULN Q1 Late over |
45–37 |
2024 · Week 8 |
MEM -10.5 | 67.5 | 35526696 | Q4 | UNT Q1 Late cover flip |
44–52 |
2024 · Week 7 |
TXST -13.5 | 66.5 | 17264050 | U | TXST Q3 | 9–41 |
2024 · Week 7 |
UNLV -18.5 | 66.5 | 21486884 | Q3 | USU Q4 Late cover flip |
50–34 |
2024 · Week 6 |
BOIS -27.5 | 66.5 | 17667992 | Q3 | BOIS Q2 | 30–62 |
2024 · Week 4 |
MISS -35.5 | 68.5 | 17314865 | U | MISS Q4 | 13–52 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UNT -21.5 | 72.5 | 24384855 | U | SFA Q1 | 20–35 |
2024 · Week 2 |
UGA -54.5 | 68.5 | 14244551 | U | TNTC Q1 | 3–48 |
2024 · Week 1 |
LSU -3.5 | 67.5 | 0203047 | U | USC Q4 | 27–20 |
2023 · Postseason |
ORE -18.5 | 71 | 9374451 | U | ORE Q2 | 6–45 |
2023 · Postseason |
UCF -6 | 66 | 14343747 | U | GT Q2 | 30–17 |
2023 · Week 13 |
UNT -2 | 72 | 20425387 | Q4 | UNT Q4 | 42–45 |
2023 · Week 13 |
LSU -13 | 67 | 7314572 | Q4 | TA&M Q1 Late over |
30–42 |
2023 · Week 12 |
LSU -32.5 | 74 | 21495670 | U | LSU Q4 | 14–56 |
2023 · Week 12 |
UNT -2 | 69 | 14425663 | U | UNT Q3 | 35–28 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 41% 33
Q2 18% 14
Q3 14% 11
Q4 25% 20
OT 0% 0
Push 3% 2
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 66% of 71 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 63% of 78 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 11 | 100% 11 |
| 1–3 | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 8–10 | 3 | 67% 2 |
| 11–14 | 5 | 40% 2 |
| 15–17 | 8 | 38% 3 |
| 18–21 | 11 | 45% 5 |
| 22+ | 34 | 12% 4 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.