When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
71 games · 2026 · Week 4 · pick one to list those games
49% went over. Of the 35 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 14% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 26% of games.
All 71 games
2026 · Week 4 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 · Week 4 |
WASH -12.5 | 44.5 | 14313451 | Q4 | MINN Q1 Late over |
27–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
GT -3 | 48.5 | 17304761 | Q4 | STAN Q3 | 27–34 |
2026 · Week 4 |
AFA -4.5 | 50.5 | 1320305469 | Q4 | NEV Q1 Late cover flip Late over |
36–33 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FRES -12.5 | 43.5 | 7314162 | Q4 | FRES Q4 | 24–38 |
2026 · Week 4 |
SMU -30.5 | 60.5 | 10243158 | U | MOST Q1 | 24–34 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ORST -11.5 | 56.5 | 17203440 | U | ORST Q1 | 33–7 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MASS -6 | 49.5 | 7274141 | U | MASS Q1 | 35–6 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ARK -7 | 51.5 | 10162940 | U | ARK Q1 | 6–34 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FAU -11.5 | 58.5 | 14525962 | Q3 | FAU Q2 | 45–17 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MSST -3.5 | 58.5 | 14244155 | U | MSST Q4 Late cover flip |
24–31 |
2026 · Week 4 |
LSU -8.5 | 52.5 | 7174141 | U | LSU Q2 | 6–35 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ORE -3.5 | 60.5 | 3234768 | Q4 | ORE Q3 | 41–27 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ARIZ -11.5 | 47.5 | 21313858 | Q4 | WSU Q1 | 34–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
USU -3 | 47.5 | 14173131 | U | USU Q3 | 10–21 |
2026 · Week 4 |
UNT -38.5 | 60.5 | 21496377 | Q3 | UNT Q4 | 14–63 |
2026 · Week 4 |
NCSU -12.5 | 56.5 | 14384872 | Q4 | APP Q4 | 31–41 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ALA -12.5 | 53.5 | 14454567 | Q4 | ALA Q1 | 18–49 |
2026 · Week 4 |
KSU -6 | 55.5 | 3274157 | Q4 | CIN Q3 Late over |
26–31 |
2026 · Week 4 |
WVU -1.5 | 60.5 | 10275265 | Q4 | OKST Q2 | 41–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
TULN -17.5 | 52.5 | 7283545 | U | USM Q1 | 21–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ARST -6.5 | 53.5 | 0142831 | U | KENN Q1 | 14–17 |
2026 · Week 4 |
WKU -39.5 | 58.5 | 10315259 | Q4 | WKU Q4 | 7–52 |
2026 · Week 4 |
JXST -7 | 50.5 | 3173336 | U | JXST Q4 Late cover flip |
13–23 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MIA -41.5 | 52.5 | 10384555 | Q4 | MIA Q4 | 3–52 |
2026 · Week 4 |
UL -9.5 | 49.5 | 3172441 | U | UL Q3 | 34–7 |
2026 · Week 4 |
UVA -19.5 | 52.5 | 7313845 | U | UVA Q2 | 3–42 |
2026 · Week 4 |
TXST -30.5 | 66.5 | 35525273 | Q4 | TXST Q2 Late over |
10–63 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FIU -37.5 | 54.5 | 7172023 | U | LIU Q1 | 3–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
JMU -7 | 44.5 | 24475366 | Q2 | JMU Q1 | 46–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
PSU -9.5 | 43.5 | 3243044 | Q4 | WIS Q4 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
24–20 |
2026 · Week 4 |
NEB -6 | 48.5 | 10343744 | U | NEB Q2 | 31–13 |
2026 · Week 4 |
USF -17.5 | 48.5 | 36620 | U | BGSU Q1 | 14–6 |
2026 · Week 4 |
AUB -10 | 54.5 | 10173036 | U | VAN Q4 | 15–21 |
2026 · Week 4 |
HOU -17.5 | 56.5 | 14425670 | Q4 | GASO Q1 | 42–28 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ECU -37.5 | 58.5 | 10454551 | U | NCCU Q4 Late cover flip |
9–42 |
2026 · Week 4 |
UGA -11.5 | 43.5 | 7283754 | Q4 | UGA Q2 | 13–41 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FLA -4 | 58.5 | 10235280 | Q4 | FLA Q1 | 28–52 |
2026 · Week 4 |
UTAH -7.5 | 46.5 | 14273448 | Q4 | UTAH Q1 Late over |
31–17 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MICH -4.5 | 39.5 | 14172039 | U | IOWA Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
20–19 |
2026 · Week 4 |
TCU -3.5 | 48.5 | 14242734 | U | UCF Q1 | 13–21 |
2026 · Week 4 |
DUKE -43.5 | 61.5 | 21455569 | Q4 | DUKE Q4 | 7–62 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BOIS -8.5 | 50.5 | 8152539 | U | BOIS Q2 | 32–7 |
2026 · Week 4 |
M-OH -2.5 | 52.5 | 14284245 | U | M-OH Q4 Late cover flip |
21–24 |
2026 · Week 4 |
UNM -11.5 | 47.5 | 14173860 | Q4 | UNM Q3 Late over |
42–18 |
2026 · Week 4 |
BUFF -27.5 | 46.5 | 7283559 | Q4 | RMU Q1 | 28–31 |
2026 · Week 4 |
OHIO -32.5 | 53.5 | 7213542 | U | STO Q1 | 7–35 |
2026 · Week 4 |
MRSH -24.5 | 56.5 | 24485571 | Q4 | GWEB Q1 Lead lost |
35–36 |
2026 · Week 4 |
FSU -45.5 | 62.5 | 14314141 | U | CARK Q1 | 7–34 |
2026 · Week 4 |
HAW -2.5 | 44.5 | 6161637 | U | WYO Q1 | 10–27 |
2026 · Week 4 |
ND -27.5 | 57.5 | 7353859 | Q4 | ND Q2 Late over |
49–10 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 42% 30
Q2 15% 11
Q3 15% 11
Q4 25% 18
OT 0% 0
Push 1% 1
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 66% of 65 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 87% and covered 73% of 67 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 1–3 | 5 | 100% 5 |
| 4–7 | 6 | 83% 5 |
| 8–10 | 9 | 78% 7 |
| 11–14 | 13 | 54% 7 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 50% 2 |
| 18–21 | 9 | 33% 3 |
| 22+ | 20 | 5% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.