When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
61 games · 2025 · Week 4 · pick one to list those games
56% went over. Of the 34 overs, 3% had cashed by halftime and 47% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 30% of games.
All 61 games
2025 · Week 4 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 · Week 4 |
FRES -2.5 | 47.5 | 0162844 | U | HAW Q1 Late cover flip |
23–21 |
2025 · Week 4 |
USC -18.5 | 55.5 | 17345576 | Q4 | MSU Q1 | 31–45 |
2025 · Week 4 |
CAL -13.5 | 45.5 | 0132734 | U | SDSU Q1 | 0–34 |
2025 · Week 4 |
COLO -12.5 | 45.5 | 0244157 | Q4 | COLO Q2 Late over |
20–37 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UTSA -5.5 | 58.5 | 0131333 | U | CSU Q4 | 17–16 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UTEP -5.5 | 46.5 | 21314156 | Q4 | ULM Q1 | 31–25 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TEX -39.5 | 51.5 | 14314855 | Q4 | TEX Q3 | 0–55 |
 MCN @  USU2025 · Week 4 |
USU -23.5 | 62.5 | 13415555 | U | USU Q2 | 7–48 |
 NICH @  TXST2025 · Week 4 |
TXST -32.5 | 56.5 | 10313838 | U | NICH Q1 | 3–35 |
 SELA @  LSU2025 · Week 4 |
LSU -48.5 | 60.5 | 7354966 | Q4 | SELA Q1 Late cover flip |
10–56 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MIA -8.5 | 51.5 | 7132033 | U | MIA Q4 Late cover flip |
7–26 |
2025 · Week 4 |
IU -7.5 | 50.5 | 21455973 | Q3 | IU Q2 | 10–63 |
2025 · Week 4 |
VAN -26.5 | 52.5 | 24517191 | Q3 | VAN Q2 | 21–70 |
2025 · Week 4 |
WASH -20.5 | 52.5 | 14345583 | Q3 | WASH Q4 | 59–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UVA -16.5 | 49.5 | 28425868 | Q3 | UVA Q3 | 20–48 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BAY -1.5 | 61.5 | 6202351 | U | ASU Q1 | 27–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BYU -5.5 | 49.5 | 6162647 | U | BYU Q2 | 34–13 |
2025 · Week 4 |
LT -3.5 | 50.5 | 27404350 | U | LT Q1 | 20–30 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MIZ -10.5 | 48.5 | 0263849 | Q4 | SC Q1 Late over |
20–29 |
 MUR @  JXST2025 · Week 4 |
JXST -35.5 | 60.5 | 10274855 | U | MUR Q1 | 10–45 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MRSH -2.5 | 45.5 | 35414970 | Q3 | MRSH Q4 | 42–28 |
 UTM @  MOST2025 · Week 4 |
MOST -14.5 | 54.5 | 21354252 | U | MOST Q1 | 10–42 |
2025 · Week 4 |
WKU -7.5 | 54.5 | 6132347 | U | WKU Q4 Late cover flip |
16–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BOIS -11.5 | 51.5 | 21355986 | Q3 | BOIS Q4 | 49–37 |
 ME @  GASO2025 · Week 4 |
GASO -20.5 | 57.5 | 14314862 | Q4 | GASO Q4 | 17–45 |
2025 · Week 4 |
USA -14.5 | 52.5 | 0213858 | Q4 | CCU Q1 Late over |
38–20 |
2025 · Week 4 |
KU -13.5 | 54.5 | 7233751 | U | KU Q2 | 10–41 |
2025 · Week 4 |
FIU -5.5 | 54.5 | 10314154 | U | DEL Q1 | 38–16 |
2025 · Week 4 |
ARST -4.5 | 58.5 | 21284249 | U | KENN Q1 | 21–28 |
 DUQ @  AKR2025 · Week 4 |
AKR -10.5 | 51.5 | 10385258 | Q3 | AKR Q2 | 7–51 |
2025 · Week 4 |
GT -24.5 | 52.5 | 21284969 | Q4 | TEM Q1 Late cover flip |
24–45 |
 IDHO @  SJSU2025 · Week 4 |
SJSU -13.5 | 51.5 | 7284259 | Q4 | IDHO Q1 | 28–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MSST -24.5 | 48.5 | 10243448 | U | MSST Q4 Late cover flip |
10–38 |
2025 · Week 4 |
DUKE -3.5 | 57.5 | 14416178 | Q3 | DUKE Q3 | 33–45 |
2025 · Week 4 |
FSU -45.5 | 56.5 | 42526676 | Q3 | FSU Q3 | 10–66 |
2025 · Week 4 |
OU -6.5 | 47.5 | 6202341 | U | OU Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
17–24 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MISS -11.5 | 61.5 | 10262655 | U | MISS Q2 | 10–45 |
2025 · Week 4 |
MICH -1.5 | 48.5 | 10344457 | Q4 | MICH Q3 Late over |
30–27 |
2025 · Week 4 |
ND -24.5 | 51.5 | 21587986 | Q2 | ND Q3 | 30–56 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UCF -7.5 | 45.5 | 10233643 | U | UCF Q1 | 9–34 |
2025 · Week 4 |
CONN -20.5 | 53.5 | 10172756 | Q4 | BALL Q1 Late over |
25–31 |
2025 · Week 4 |
JMU -7.5 | 46.5 | 6203044 | U | JMU Q4 | 31–13 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UL -1.5 | 51.5 | 14384565 | Q4 | EMU Q4 | 31–34 |
2025 · Week 4 |
BUFF -6.5 | 43.5 | 771438 | U | TROY Q4 Lead lost |
21–17 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TOL -11.5 | 48.5 | 031927 | U | WMU Q1 Lead lost |
13–14 |
 GWEB @  OHIO2025 · Week 4 |
OHIO -29.5 | 54.5 | 17525987 | Q3 | GWEB Q1 | 35–52 |
2025 · Week 4 |
ORE -34.5 | 58.5 | 14283848 | U | ORST Q1 | 7–41 |
 WAG @  CMU2025 · Week 4 |
CMU -30.5 | 46.5 | 14385259 | Q3 | CMU Q2 | 10–49 |
2025 · Week 4 |
TENN -38.5 | 68.5 | 21497380 | Q3 | UAB Q4 Late cover flip |
24–56 |
2025 · Week 4 |
UTAH -3.5 | 58.5 | 7131344 | U | TTU Q1 | 34–10 |
FRES
HAW
MSU
USC
CAL
SDSU
WYO
COLO
UTSA
CSU
ULM
UTEP
SHSU
TEX
FLA
MIA
ILL
IU
GAST
VAN
WASH
WSU
STAN
UVA
ASU
BAY
BYU
ECU
USM
LT
SC
MIZ
MRSH
MTSU
NEV
WKU
BOIS
AFA
CCU
USA
WVU
KU
DEL
FIU
ARST
KENN
TEM
GT
NIU
MSST
NCSU
DUKE
KENT
FSU
AUB
OU
TULN
MISS
MICH
NEB
PUR
ND
UNC
UCF
BALL
CONN
JMU
LIB
UL
EMU
TROY
BUFF
TOL
WMU
ORST
ORE
UAB
TENN
TTU
UTAHWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 43% 26
Q2 15% 9
Q3 13% 8
Q4 28% 17
OT 2% 1
The team leading at halftime won 85% and covered 69% of 55 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 85% and covered 69% of 59 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 16 | 100% 16 |
| 1–3 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 4–7 | 8 | 100% 8 |
| 8–10 | 5 | 40% 2 |
| 11–14 | 6 | 50% 3 |
| 15–17 | 4 | 25% 1 |
| 18–21 | 6 | 17% 1 |
| 22+ | 14 | 7% 1 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.