When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
52 games · 2024 · Week 3 · pick one to list those games
52% went over. Of the 27 overs, 7% had cashed by halftime and 33% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 17% of games.
All 52 games
2024 · Week 3 · newest first · showing 50
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Week 3 |
CAL -18.5 | 48.5 | 10102441 | U | CAL Q4 | 10–31 |
2024 · Week 3 |
FRES -19.5 | 48.5 | 14314848 | U | FRES Q2 | 0–48 |
2024 · Week 3 |
HOU -3.5 | 43.5 | 14202640 | U | HOU Q1 | 7–33 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TENN -49.5 | 61.5 | 37656871 | Q2 | TENN Q2 | 0–71 |
2024 · Week 3 |
FAU -3.5 | 44.5 | 14315258 | Q3 | FAU Q2 | 20–38 |
2024 · Week 3 |
UGA -21.5 | 44.5 | 391525 | U | UK Q1 | 13–12 |
2024 · Week 3 |
NEB -30.5 | 49.5 | 10243037 | U | NEB Q4 Late cover flip |
3–34 |
2024 · Week 3 |
AUB -25.5 | 58.5 | 24304464 | Q4 | AUB Q4 | 19–45 |
2024 · Week 3 |
MSST -10.5 | 56.5 | 7314558 | Q4 | TOL Q1 Late over |
41–17 |
2024 · Week 3 |
IU -3.5 | 46.5 | 14283855 | Q4 | IU Q1 | 42–13 |
2024 · Week 3 |
BAY -17.5 | 40.5 | 392634 | U | BAY Q3 | 3–31 |
2024 · Week 3 |
COLO -7.5 | 58.5 | 3172437 | U | COLO Q2 | 28–9 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TCU -2.5 | 59.5 | 14285169 | Q4 | UCF Q4 Late cover flip Lead lost |
35–34 |
2024 · Week 3 |
NU -26.5 | 38.5 | 7213138 | U | EIU Q1 | 7–31 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TEX -36.5 | 56.5 | 14354963 | Q4 | TEX Q4 Late over |
7–56 |
2024 · Week 3 |
VAN -8.5 | 45.5 | 3223268 | Q4 | GAST Q1 | 32–36 |
2024 · Week 3 |
JXST -2.5 | 53.5 | 2148516271 | Q4 | EMU Q1 | 34–37 |
2024 · Week 3 |
SJSU -16.5 | 41.5 | 3203441 | U | SJSU Q4 Late cover flip |
10–31 |
2024 · Week 3 |
WKU -10.5 | 53.5 | 14215670 | Q3 | WKU Q1 | 49–21 |
2024 · Week 3 |
MISS -20.5 | 65.5 | 23293646 | U | MISS Q3 | 40–6 |
2024 · Week 3 |
WMU -33.5 | 54.5 | 14497090 | Q3 | BCU Q1 | 31–59 |
2024 · Week 3 |
DUKE -17.5 | 46.5 | 7243847 | Q4 | CONN Q1 | 21–26 |
2024 · Week 3 |
UNC -37.5 | 57.5 | 7272755 | U | NCCU Q1 | 10–45 |
2024 · Week 3 |
VT -15.5 | 47.5 | 14243054 | Q4 | VT Q4 Late over |
37–17 |
2024 · Week 3 |
LIB -23.5 | 57.5 | 10173138 | U | UTEP Q1 | 10–28 |
2024 · Week 3 |
GASO -27.5 | 52.5 | 7284956 | Q4 | GASO Q4 Late cover flip Late over |
14–42 |
2024 · Week 3 |
AKR -13.5 | 48.5 | 24454851 | Q4 | COLG Q1 | 20–31 |
2024 · Week 3 |
UTAH -20.5 | 43.5 | 10314959 | Q3 | USU Q1 | 38–21 |
2024 · Week 3 |
IOWA -23.5 | 39.5 | 0244559 | Q3 | TROY Q1 | 21–38 |
2024 · Week 3 |
ECU -0.5 | 56.5 | 16303740 | U | APP Q3 | 21–19 |
2024 · Week 3 |
OU -13.5 | 48.5 | 7273753 | Q4 | OU Q4 Late cover flip |
19–34 |
2024 · Week 3 |
ND -7.5 | 47.5 | 14425973 | Q3 | ND Q1 | 66–7 |
2024 · Week 3 |
TA&M -3.5 | 45.5 | 10204753 | Q3 | TA&M Q1 | 33–20 |
2024 · Week 3 |
MSU -42.5 | 53.5 | 14273040 | U | PV Q1 | 0–40 |
2024 · Week 3 |
MINN -17.5 | 44.5 | 6202727 | U | MINN Q2 | 0–27 |
2024 · Week 3 |
GT -42.5 | 53.5 | 17385266 | Q4 | GT Q3 | 7–59 |
2024 · Week 3 |
WVU -1.5 | 61.5 | 17344872 | Q4 | PITT Q1 Late cover flip Late over Lead lost |
34–38 |
2024 · Week 3 |
OHIO -24.5 | 45.5 | 17202727 | U | MORG Q1 | 6–21 |
2024 · Week 3 |
CCU -17.5 | 51.5 | 17314548 | U | TEM Q1 | 28–20 |
2024 · Week 3 |
BUFF -3.5 | 45.5 | 7133037 | U | BUFF Q1 | 3–34 |
2024 · Week 3 |
MIZ -14.5 | 51.5 | 10313848 | U | BC Q1 | 21–27 |
2024 · Week 3 |
ALA -15.5 | 47.5 | 10244552 | Q4 | ALA Q2 | 42–10 |
2024 · Week 3 |
OKST -17.5 | 62.5 | 7283855 | U | OKST Q2 | 45–10 |
2024 · Week 3 |
LSU -6.5 | 48.5 | 7404669 | Q4 | SC Q1 Lead lost |
36–33 |
2024 · Week 3 |
ILL -21.5 | 49.5 | 10192939 | U | CMU Q1 | 9–30 |
2024 · Week 3 |
FSU -6.5 | 54.5 | 3162932 | U | MEM Q1 | 20–12 |
2024 · Week 3 |
NCSU -20.5 | 47.5 | 3234050 | Q4 | LT Q1 | 20–30 |
2024 · Week 3 |
CIN -3.5 | 47.5 | 3132743 | U | CIN Q2 | 27–16 |
2024 · Week 3 |
KSU -9.5 | 61.5 | 14213538 | U | KSU Q3 | 7–31 |
2024 · Week 3 |
KU -10.5 | 57.5 | 10303343 | U | UNLV Q1 Lead lost |
23–20 |
When was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 56% 29
Q2 17% 9
Q3 10% 5
Q4 17% 9
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 86% and covered 70% of 50 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 90% and covered 71% of 49 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 9 | 100% 9 |
| 1–3 | 7 | 86% 6 |
| 4–7 | 2 | 50% 1 |
| 8–10 | 7 | 71% 5 |
| 11–14 | 5 | 80% 4 |
| 15–17 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 18–21 | 8 | 13% 1 |
| 22+ | 11 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.