Illinois Fighting Illini at Duke Blue Devils: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ETCameron Indoor Stadium · at Duke

#3DUKEDuke AP #2

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Illinois and Duke
ILL	This season	DUKE
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUKE 78–74 · win probability DUKE 64%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 152.0

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DUKE has more of the edges

ILL 0, DUKE 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

DUKESmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: ILL 33.2, DUKE 38.2. Allowed: ILL 19.7, DUKE 22.8

DUKESmall

Home court

DUKE at home. This season: DUKE 0-0 at home, ILL 0-0 away

DUKESmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: ILL 13.1%, DUKE 16.0%. Forced: ILL 11.6%, DUKE 17.2%

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: ILL 63%, DUKE 47%. Transfers in: ILL 1, DUKE 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: ILL 54.7 and allows 47.3; DUKE 56.6 and allows 46.2

Even

Three-pointers

ILL hits 34.5% and allows 31.3%; DUKE hits 34.7% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 49.7% and 43.5% of their shots

Even

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: ILL 39.2%, DUKE 38.4%. Defensive: ILL 73.3%, DUKE 74.8%

Context

Schedule so far

ILL has played the 18th-hardest schedule, DUKE the 23rd. A record against a soft schedule means less

Context

Tempo

About 67 possessions: ILL plays 66.5 a game (292nd fastest), DUKE 66.8 (285th). Faster games mean more points

Even

DUKE offense vs ILL defense

Offense 11th of 366 against a defense 8th, on the model’s ratings

Even

ILL offense vs DUKE defense

Offense 3rd of 366 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DUKE -4.0	—
Total	—	152.0	—
Projected score	—	ILL 74 · DUKE 78

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DUKE -2.3	—
1H total	71.1	—
1H projected score	ILL 34.4 · DUKE 36.7	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
ILL WWWWL	22-15	59%	6-4	—
DUKE LLWLL	21-17	55%	8-7	—

Venue/role: ILL away; DUKE home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
ILL OUUUU	15-22	41%	28-9
DUKE OUUOO	14-24	37%	35-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
ILL	6-4 60%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%
DUKE	9-1 90%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Illinois

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 20	vs EIU	W112–67WO
Nov 23	vs WIN	No recent meeting
Nov 27	vs WKU	No recent meeting

Duke

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 21	vs WSU	No recent meeting
Nov 25	vs CONN	L72–73LO
Dec 1	@ FLA	W67–66LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

ILL 0–1 DUKEDUKE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ILL 0-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 22, 2024-25	DUKE 110 vs ILL 67	ILL +8.5	DUKE W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Illinois

37 games played

Straight up

28-9

76% wins

Against the spread

22-15

59% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-22

41% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

28-976%

W W W W L W W L W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W L L W W L L W W L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

22-1559%

W W W L L W L L W W L W W L W W W L W W L W W L L W W L L W L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

15-2241%

O O U U U U U U U O O U U U U O U O O O U U U O O U O O U U O O O U U U U

4 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsJKST	W 113-55	-28.5	W +29.5	157.5	O 168
Nov 7	vsFGCU	W 113-70	-29.5	W +13.5	160.5	O 183
Nov 11	vsTTU	W 81-77	-3.5	W +0.5	168.5	U 158
Nov 14	vsCOLG	W 84-65	-30.5	L −11.5	164.5	U 149
Nov 19	vsALA	L 86-90	-2.5	L −6.5	180.5	U 176
Nov 22	vsLIU	W 98-58	-34.5	W +5.5	160.5	U 156
Nov 24	vsRGV	W 87-73	-33.5	L −19.5	164.5	U 160
Nov 28	vsCONN	L 61-74	+4.5	L −8.5	150.5	U 135
Dec 6	vsTENN	W 75-62	+1.5	W +14.5	149.5	U 137
Dec 9	@OSU	W 88-80	-3.5	W +4.5	162.5	O 168
Dec 13	vsNEB	L 80-83	-9.5	L −12.5	156.5	O 163
Dec 22	vsMIZ	W 91-48	-8.5	W +34.5	153.5	U 139
Dec 29	vsSOU	W 90-55	-33.5	W +1.5	163.5	U 145
Jan 3	@PSU	W 73-65	-14.5	L −6.5	156.5	U 138
Jan 8	vsRUTG	W 81-55	-22.5	W +3.5	149.5	U 136
Jan 11	@IOWA	W 75-69	-1.5	W +4.5	142.5	O 144
Jan 14	@NU	W 79-68	-9.5	W +1.5	151.5	U 147
Jan 17	vsMINN	W 77-67	-15.5	L −5.5	142.5	O 144
Jan 21	vsMD	W 89-70	-18.5	W +0.5	152.5	O 159
Jan 24	@PUR	W 88-82	+5.5	W +11.5	152.5	O 170
Jan 29	vsWASH	W 75-66	-12.5	L −3.5	153.5	U 141
Feb 1	@NEB	W 78-69	+1.5	W +10.5	154.5	U 147
Feb 4	vsNU	W 84-44	-16.5	W +23.5	149.5	U 128
Feb 7	@MSU	L 82-85	+1.5	L −1.5	142.5	O 167
Feb 10	vsWIS	L 90-92	-9.5	L −11.5	153.5	O 182
Feb 15	vsIU	W 71-51	-8.5	W +11.5	153.5	U 122
Feb 18	@USC	W 101-65	-8.5	W +27.5	151.5	O 166
Feb 21	@UCLA	L 94-95	-6.5	L −7.5	146.5	O 189
Feb 27	vsMICH	L 70-84	+1.5	L −12.5	159.5	U 154
Mar 3	vsORE	W 80-54	-17.5	W +8.5	147.5	U 134
Mar 8	@MD	W 78-72	-14.5	L −8.5	145.5	O 150
Mar 13	vsWIS	L 88-91	-8.5	L −11.5	158.5	O 179
Mar 19	vsPENN	W 105-70	-25.5	W +9.5	150.5	O 175
Mar 21	vsVCU	W 76-55	-12.5	W +8.5	151.5	U 131
Mar 26	vsHOU	W 65-55	+2.5	W +12.5	141.5	U 120
Mar 28	vsIOWA	W 71-59	-6.5	W +5.5	138.5	U 130
Apr 4	vsCONN	L 62-71	-1.5	L −10.5	139.5	U 133

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

JKST

W 113-55

+29.5

FGCU

W 113-70

+13.5

TTU

W 81-77

+0.5

COLG

W 84-65

−11.5

ALA

L 86-90

−6.5

LIU

W 98-58

+5.5

RGV

W 87-73

−19.5

CONN

L 61-74

−8.5

TENN

W 75-62

+14.5

OSU

W 88-80

+4.5

NEB

L 80-83

−12.5

MIZ

W 91-48

+34.5

SOU

W 90-55

+1.5

PSU

W 73-65

−6.5

RUTG

W 81-55

+3.5

IOWA

W 75-69

+4.5

W 79-68

+1.5

MINN

W 77-67

−5.5

W 89-70

+0.5

PUR

W 88-82

+11.5

WASH

W 75-66

−3.5

NEB

W 78-69

+10.5

W 84-44

+23.5

MSU

L 82-85

−1.5

WIS

L 90-92

−11.5

W 71-51

+11.5

USC

W 101-65

+27.5

UCLA

L 94-95

−7.5

MICH

L 70-84

−12.5

ORE

W 80-54

+8.5

W 78-72

−8.5

WIS

L 88-91

−11.5

PENN

W 105-70

+9.5

VCU

W 76-55

+8.5

HOU

W 65-55

+12.5

IOWA

W 71-59

+5.5

CONN

L 62-71

−10.5

covered 22didn’t cover 15avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

JKST

W 113-55

+10.5

FGCU

W 113-70

+22.5

TTU

W 81-77

−10.5

COLG

W 84-65

−15.5

ALA

L 86-90

−4.5

LIU

W 98-58

−4.5

RGV

W 87-73

−4.5

CONN

L 61-74

−15.5

TENN

W 75-62

−12.5

OSU

W 88-80

+5.5

NEB

L 80-83

+6.5

MIZ

W 91-48

−14.5

SOU

W 90-55

−18.5

PSU

W 73-65

−18.5

RUTG

W 81-55

−13.5

IOWA

W 75-69

+1.5

W 79-68

−4.5

MINN

W 77-67

+1.5

W 89-70

+6.5

PUR

W 88-82

+17.5

WASH

W 75-66

−12.5

NEB

W 78-69

−7.5

W 84-44

−21.5

MSU

L 82-85

+24.5

WIS

L 90-92

+28.5

W 71-51

−31.5

USC

W 101-65

+14.5

UCLA

L 94-95

+42.5

MICH

L 70-84

−5.5

ORE

W 80-54

−13.5

W 78-72

+4.5

WIS

L 88-91

+20.5

PENN

W 105-70

+24.5

VCU

W 76-55

−20.5

HOU

W 65-55

−21.5

IOWA

W 71-59

−8.5

CONN

L 62-71

−6.5

over 15under 22avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Duke

38 games played

Straight up

35-3

92% wins

Against the spread

21-17

55% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-24

37% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

35-392%

W W W W W W W W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

21-1755%

W W W W W W L L L W L L L L W L W W W W W L L L W W W W W W L L W L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-2437%

U U O U U U U U U U O O O O U O U U O U U U U U U O U O U O U O U O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsTEX	W 75-60	-10.5	W +4.5	153.5	U 135
Nov 8	vsWCU	W 95-54	-36.5	W +4.5	152.5	U 149
Nov 11	@ARMY	W 114-59	-33.5	W +21.5	152.5	O 173
Nov 14	vsINST	W 100-62	-37.5	W +0.5	163.5	U 162
Nov 18	vsKU	W 78-66	-10.5	W +1.5	149.5	U 144
Nov 21	vsNIA	W 100-42	-39.5	W +18.5	146.5	U 142
Nov 23	vsHOW	W 93-56	-43.5	L −6.5	154.5	U 149
Nov 27	vsARK	W 80-71	-12.5	L −3.5	159.5	U 151
Dec 2	vsFLA	W 67-66	-9.5	L −8.5	157.5	U 133
Dec 6	@MSU	W 66-60	-1.5	W +4.5	141.5	U 126
Dec 16	vsLIP	W 97-73	-32.5	L −8.5	151.5	O 170
Dec 20	vsTTU	L 81-82	-9.5	L −10.5	152.5	O 163
Dec 31	vsGT	W 85-79	-27.5	L −21.5	153.5	O 164
Jan 3	@FSU	W 91-87	-16.5	L −12.5	163.5	O 178
Jan 6	@LOU	W 84-73	-1.5	W +9.5	161.5	U 157
Jan 10	vsSMU	W 82-75	-15.5	L −8.5	155.5	O 157
Jan 14	@CAL	W 71-56	-14.5	W +0.5	149.5	U 127
Jan 17	@STAN	W 80-50	-11.5	W +18.5	148.5	U 130
Jan 24	vsWAKE	W 90-69	-19.5	W +1.5	153.5	O 159
Jan 26	vsLOU	W 83-52	-8.5	W +22.5	157.5	U 135
Jan 31	@VT	W 72-58	-13.5	W +0.5	148.5	U 130
Feb 3	vsBC	W 67-49	-26.5	L −8.5	141.5	U 116
Feb 7	@UNC	L 68-71	-6.5	L −9.5	152.5	U 139
Feb 10	@PITT	W 70-54	-17.5	L −1.5	136.5	U 124
Feb 14	vsCLEM	W 67-54	-12.5	W +0.5	134.5	U 121
Feb 16	vsSYR	W 101-64	-20.5	W +16.5	144.5	O 165
Feb 21	vsMICH	W 68-63	+3.5	W +8.5	151.5	U 131
Feb 24	@ND	W 100-56	-16.5	W +27.5	141.5	O 156
Feb 28	vsUVA	W 77-51	-9.5	W +16.5	143.5	U 128
Mar 2	@NCSU	W 93-64	-8.5	W +20.5	150.5	O 157
Mar 7	vsUNC	W 76-61	-18.5	L −3.5	147.5	U 137
Mar 12	vsFSU	W 80-79	-16.5	L −15.5	150.5	O 159
Mar 13	vsCLEM	W 73-61	-10.5	W +1.5	134.5	U 134
Mar 14	vsUVA	W 74-70	-6.5	L −2.5	140.5	O 144
Mar 19	vsSIE	W 71-65	-28.5	L −22.5	137.5	U 136
Mar 21	vsTCU	W 81-58	-12.5	W +10.5	140.5	U 139
Mar 27	vsSJU	W 80-75	-6.5	L −1.5	140.5	O 155
Mar 29	vsCONN	L 72-73	-4.5	L −5.5	135.5	O 145

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TEX

W 75-60

+4.5

WCU

W 95-54

+4.5

ARMY

W 114-59

+21.5

INST

W 100-62

+0.5

W 78-66

+1.5

NIA

W 100-42

+18.5

HOW

W 93-56

−6.5

ARK

W 80-71

−3.5

FLA

W 67-66

−8.5

MSU

W 66-60

+4.5

LIP

W 97-73

−8.5

TTU

L 81-82

−10.5

W 85-79

−21.5

FSU

W 91-87

−12.5

LOU

W 84-73

+9.5

SMU

W 82-75

−8.5

CAL

W 71-56

+0.5

STAN

W 80-50

+18.5

WAKE

W 90-69

+1.5

LOU

W 83-52

+22.5

W 72-58

+0.5

W 67-49

−8.5

UNC

L 68-71

−9.5

PITT

W 70-54

−1.5

CLEM

W 67-54

+0.5

SYR

W 101-64

+16.5

MICH

W 68-63

+8.5

W 100-56

+27.5

UVA

W 77-51

+16.5

NCSU

W 93-64

+20.5

UNC

W 76-61

−3.5

FSU

W 80-79

−15.5

CLEM

W 73-61

+1.5

UVA

W 74-70

−2.5

SIE

W 71-65

−22.5

TCU

W 81-58

+10.5

SJU

W 80-75

−1.5

CONN

L 72-73

−5.5

covered 21didn’t cover 17avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TEX

W 75-60

−18.5

WCU

W 95-54

−3.5

ARMY

W 114-59

+20.5

INST

W 100-62

−1.5

W 78-66

−5.5

NIA

W 100-42

−4.5

HOW

W 93-56

−5.5

ARK

W 80-71

−8.5

FLA

W 67-66

−24.5

MSU

W 66-60

−15.5

LIP

W 97-73

+18.5

TTU

L 81-82

+10.5

W 85-79

+10.5

FSU

W 91-87

+14.5

LOU

W 84-73

−4.5

SMU

W 82-75

+1.5

CAL

W 71-56

−22.5

STAN

W 80-50

−18.5

WAKE

W 90-69

+5.5

LOU

W 83-52

−22.5

W 72-58

−18.5

W 67-49

−25.5

UNC

L 68-71

−13.5

PITT

W 70-54

−12.5

CLEM

W 67-54

−13.5

SYR

W 101-64

+20.5

MICH

W 68-63

−20.5

W 100-56

+14.5

UVA

W 77-51

−15.5

NCSU

W 93-64

+6.5

UNC

W 76-61

−10.5

FSU

W 80-79

+8.5

CLEM

W 73-61

−0.5

UVA

W 74-70

+3.5

SIE

W 71-65

−1.5

TCU

W 81-58

−1.5

SJU

W 80-75

+14.5

CONN

L 72-73

+9.5

over 14under 24avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Illinois has the better starters

Position by position: Illinois 2, Duke 1, even 2

IllinoisBetterDuke

G S. Vaaks TR15.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 86

Even

G J. Blackwell TR19.1 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 97

G A. Stojakovic13.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1 ast Score 95

ILLSmall

G C. Foster8.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76

F D. Mirkovic13.3 pts · 8 reb · 2.6 ast Score 94

Even

G J. Theodosiou TR12.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 86

F J. Davis5.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 58

DUKESmall

G C. Boozer7.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 3 ast Score 85

C T. Ivisic10.4 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.6 ast Score 79

ILLSmall

F D. Sarr6.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 52

IllinoisBetterDuke

ILL offense3rd of 366 · +11.7

Even

DUKE defense3rd of 366 · +11.4

ILL defense8th of 366 · +8.4

Even

DUKE offense11th of 366 · +10.1

Backcourt+5.7 · 2 players

DUKEBig

Backcourt+9.2 · 4 players

Frontcourt+6.7 · 3 players

ILLBig

Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player

Bench+2.9 · 3 players

DUKEBig

Bench+7.0 · 2 players

Score, worst to bestILL betterDUKE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Illinois

Guards

S. Vaaks32 min · TRA. Stojakovic26 minB. Fagbemi4 minQ. McCoyNewQ. ColemanNewL. WilliamsNew

Forwards

D. Mirkovic30 minJ. Davis20 minZ. Ivisic17 minL. DavisNewZ. ZensNew

Centers

T. Ivisic25 minJ. Jakstys5 min

Duke

Guards

J. Blackwell34 min · TRC. Foster25 minJ. Theodosiou23 min · TRC. Boozer23 minB. DavisNewD. RippeyNew

Forwards

D. Sarr24 minD. Scharnowski22 min · TRS. WilkinsNewC. WilliamsNew

Centers

P. Ngongba22 minM. MeyerNewJ. Boumtje BoumtjeNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

ILL83.2 #24

DUKE81.6 #36

Points per possession

ILL1.25 #1

DUKE1.23 #4

Pace (possessions)

ILL66.5 #292

DUKE66.8 #285

Shooting

Effective FG%

ILL54.7 #46

DUKE56.6 #13

3-point %

ILL34.5 #142

DUKE34.7 #133

3-point attempt rate

ILL49.7 #15

DUKE43.5 #100

Free throw rate

ILL33.2 #232

DUKE38.2 #97

Possessions

Turnover rate

ILL13.1 #9

DUKE16.0 #139

Offensive rebound rate

ILL39.2 #3

DUKE38.4 #4

Assists per game

ILL14.2 #133

DUKE16.7 #32

Defense

Points allowed

ILL68.8 #45

DUKE63.6 #3

Points allowed per possession

ILL1.03 #61

DUKE0.95 #2

Opponent effective FG%

ILL47.3 #26

DUKE46.2 #13

Opponent 3-point %

ILL31.3 #38

DUKE30.6 #27

Turnovers forced

ILL11.6 #365

DUKE17.2 #133

Defensive rebound rate

ILL73.3 #28

DUKE74.8 #10

Steals per game

ILL3.7 #365

DUKE7.4 #92

Blocks per game

ILL4.6 #28

DUKE3.4 #164

ILL		DUKE
Scoring
83.2 #24	Points per game	81.6 #36
1.25 #1	Points per possession	1.23 #4
66.5 #292	Pace (possessions)	66.8 #285
Shooting
54.7 #46	Effective FG%	56.6 #13
34.5 #142	3-point %	34.7 #133
49.7 #15	3-point attempt rate	43.5 #100
33.2 #232	Free throw rate	38.2 #97
Possessions
13.1 #9	Turnover rate	16.0 #139
39.2 #3	Offensive rebound rate	38.4 #4
14.2 #133	Assists per game	16.7 #32
Defense
68.8 #45	Points allowed	63.6 #3
1.03 #61	Points allowed per possession	0.95 #2
47.3 #26	Opponent effective FG%	46.2 #13
31.3 #38	Opponent 3-point %	30.6 #27
11.6 #365	Turnovers forced	17.2 #133
73.3 #28	Defensive rebound rate	74.8 #10
3.7 #365	Steals per game	7.4 #92
4.6 #28	Blocks per game	3.4 #164

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Illinois

28-9 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UConn62–71
Wvs Iowa71–59
Wvs Houston65–55
Wvs VCU76–55
Wvs Penn105–70

A week or more of rest.

Duke

35-3 in 2025-26 overall · 20-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UConn72–73
Wvs St John's80–75
Wvs TCU81–58
Wvs Siena71–65
Wvs Virginia74–70

A week or more of rest.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Duke Blue Devils

What could decide it: DUKE has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Illinois

Duke

Illinois has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Illinois

Duke