UConn Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 25, 7:00 PM ETT-Mobile Arena · Neutral site

#6CONNUConn AP #4

#3DUKEDuke AP #2

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: UConn and Duke
CONN	This season	DUKE
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUKE 74–69 · win probability DUKE 67%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 143.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DUKE has more of the edges

CONN 0, DUKE 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

DUKEBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: CONN 29.9, DUKE 38.2. Allowed: CONN 40.7, DUKE 22.8

DUKESmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: CONN 35.7%, DUKE 38.4%. Defensive: CONN 71.2%, DUKE 74.8%

Even

CONN offense vs DUKE defense

Offense 25th of 366 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: CONN 54.3 and allows 45.7; DUKE 56.6 and allows 46.2

Context

Schedule so far

CONN has played the 4th-hardest schedule, DUKE the 23rd. A record against a soft schedule means less

Context

Tempo

About 66 possessions: CONN plays 66.1 a game (307th fastest), DUKE 66.8 (285th). Faster games mean more points

Even

DUKE offense vs CONN defense

Offense 11th of 366 against a defense 2nd, on the model’s ratings

Context

Neutral floor

No home court: the model takes it out of the line

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: CONN 51%, DUKE 47%. Transfers in: CONN 7, DUKE 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: CONN 16.4%, DUKE 16.0%. Forced: CONN 17.8%, DUKE 17.2%

Even

Three-pointers

CONN hits 34.4% and allows 30.1%; DUKE hits 34.7% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 40.9% and 43.5% of their shots

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DUKE -4.9	—
Total	—	143.1	—
Projected score	—	CONN 69.1 · DUKE 74

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DUKE -2.8	—
1H total	67.0	—
1H projected score	CONN 32.1 · DUKE 34.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
CONN WWWWW	17-23	43%	8-3	—
DUKE LLWLL	21-17	55%	5-7	—

Venue/role: CONN neutral site; DUKE neutral site. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
CONN UUOUU	19-21	48%	34-6
DUKE OUUOO	14-24	37%	35-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
CONN	7-3 70%	7-3 70%	3-7 30%
DUKE	9-1 90%	4-6 40%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

UConn

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 30	vs RID	No recent meeting
Dec 4	vs ILL	W71–62WU
Dec 8	vs MVSU	W87–53LU

Duke

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 1	@ FLA	W67–66LU
Dec 4	vs HARV	No recent meeting
Dec 8	vs UGA	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

CONN 1–0 DUKECONN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CONN 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Mar 29, 2025-26	CONN 73 vs DUKE 72	DUKE -4.5	CONN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

UConn

40 games played

Straight up

34-6

85% wins

Against the spread

17-23

43% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-21

48% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

34-685%

W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W L W W L W W W L W W L W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-2343%

L W L L L L W W L L L W W W L L L L L L L W W L L L L W W L L W W L L W W W W W

5 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-2148%

U O U O U U U U O O U U U O U O U O U O O O O O O O O U U O U O U U O U U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsNHVN	W 79-55	-42.5	L −18.5	145.5	U 134
Nov 7	vsUML	W 110-47	-36.5	W +26.5	151.5	O 157
Nov 10	vsCOLU	W 89-62	-32.5	L −5.5	155.5	U 151
Nov 15	vsBYU	W 86-84	-6.5	L −4.5	156.5	O 170
Nov 19	vsARIZ	L 67-71	-4.5	L −8.5	156.5	U 138
Nov 23	vsBRY	W 72-49	-36.5	L −13.5	147.5	U 121
Nov 28	vsILL	W 74-61	-4.5	W +8.5	150.5	U 135
Dec 2	@KU	W 61-56	-3.5	W +1.5	141.5	U 117
Dec 5	vsETAM	W 83-59	-36.5	L −12.5	141.5	O 142
Dec 9	vsFLA	W 77-73	-4.5	L −0.5	145.5	O 150
Dec 12	vsTEX	W 71-63	-11.5	L −3.5	145.5	U 134
Dec 16	vsBTLR	W 79-60	-15.5	W +3.5	144.5	U 139
Dec 21	@DEP	W 72-54	-12.5	W +5.5	133.5	U 126
Dec 31	@XAV	W 90-67	-11.5	W +11.5	144.5	O 157
Jan 4	vsMARQ	W 73-57	-17.5	L −1.5	144.5	U 130
Jan 7	@PROV	W 103-98	-9.5	L −4.5	152.5	O 201
Jan 10	vsDEP	W 72-60	-19.5	L −7.5	137.5	U 132
Jan 13	@HALL	W 69-64	-6.5	L −1.5	132.5	O 133
Jan 17	@GTWN	W 64-62	-11.5	L −9.5	141.5	U 126
Jan 24	vsVILL	W 75-67	-11.5	L −3.5	137.5	O 142
Jan 27	vsPROV	W 87-81	-15.5	L −9.5	152.5	O 168
Jan 31	@CREI	W 85-58	-6.5	W +20.5	142.5	O 143
Feb 3	vsXAV	W 92-60	-16.5	W +15.5	147.5	O 152
Feb 6	@SJU	L 72-81	-1.5	L −10.5	143.5	O 153
Feb 11	@BTLR	W 80-70	-11.5	L −1.5	143.5	O 150
Feb 14	vsGTWN	W 79-75	-16.5	L −12.5	138.5	O 154
Feb 18	vsCREI	L 84-91	-15.5	L −22.5	143.5	O 175
Feb 21	@VILL	W 73-63	-3.5	W +6.5	141.5	U 136
Feb 25	vsSJU	W 72-40	-5.5	W +26.5	145.5	U 112
Feb 28	vsHALL	W 71-67	-12.5	L −8.5	130.5	O 138
Mar 7	@MARQ	L 62-68	-9.5	L −15.5	143.5	U 130
Mar 12	vsXAV	W 93-68	-17.5	W +7.5	150.5	O 161
Mar 13	vsGTWN	W 67-51	-14.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 118
Mar 14	@SJU	L 52-72	-2.5	L −22.5	139.5	U 124
Mar 20	vsFUR	W 82-71	-20.5	L −9.5	133.5	O 153
Mar 22	vsUCLA	W 73-57	-5.5	W +10.5	135.5	U 130
Mar 27	vsMSU	W 67-63	-2.5	W +1.5	136.5	U 130
Mar 29	vsDUKE	W 73-72	+4.5	W +5.5	135.5	O 145
Apr 4	vsILL	W 71-62	+1.5	W +10.5	139.5	U 133
Apr 6	vsMICH	L 63-69	+6.5	W +0.5	146.5	U 132

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NHVN

W 79-55

−18.5

UML

W 110-47

+26.5

COLU

W 89-62

−5.5

BYU

W 86-84

−4.5

ARIZ

L 67-71

−8.5

BRY

W 72-49

−13.5

ILL

W 74-61

+8.5

W 61-56

+1.5

ETAM

W 83-59

−12.5

FLA

W 77-73

−0.5

TEX

W 71-63

−3.5

BTLR

W 79-60

+3.5

DEP

W 72-54

+5.5

XAV

W 90-67

+11.5

MARQ

W 73-57

−1.5

PROV

W 103-98

−4.5

DEP

W 72-60

−7.5

HALL

W 69-64

−1.5

GTWN

W 64-62

−9.5

VILL

W 75-67

−3.5

PROV

W 87-81

−9.5

CREI

W 85-58

+20.5

XAV

W 92-60

+15.5

SJU

L 72-81

−10.5

BTLR

W 80-70

−1.5

GTWN

W 79-75

−12.5

CREI

L 84-91

−22.5

VILL

W 73-63

+6.5

SJU

W 72-40

+26.5

HALL

W 71-67

−8.5

MARQ

L 62-68

−15.5

XAV

W 93-68

+7.5

GTWN

W 67-51

+1.5

SJU

L 52-72

−22.5

FUR

W 82-71

−9.5

UCLA

W 73-57

+10.5

MSU

W 67-63

+1.5

DUKE

W 73-72

+5.5

ILL

W 71-62

+10.5

MICH

L 63-69

+0.5

covered 17didn’t cover 23avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NHVN

W 79-55

−11.5

UML

W 110-47

+5.5

COLU

W 89-62

−4.5

BYU

W 86-84

+13.5

ARIZ

L 67-71

−18.5

BRY

W 72-49

−26.5

ILL

W 74-61

−15.5

W 61-56

−24.5

ETAM

W 83-59

+0.5

FLA

W 77-73

+4.5

TEX

W 71-63

−11.5

BTLR

W 79-60

−5.5

DEP

W 72-54

−7.5

XAV

W 90-67

+12.5

MARQ

W 73-57

−14.5

PROV

W 103-98

+48.5

DEP

W 72-60

−5.5

HALL

W 69-64

+0.5

GTWN

W 64-62

−15.5

VILL

W 75-67

+4.5

PROV

W 87-81

+15.5

CREI

W 85-58

+0.5

XAV

W 92-60

+4.5

SJU

L 72-81

+9.5

BTLR

W 80-70

+6.5

GTWN

W 79-75

+15.5

CREI

L 84-91

+31.5

VILL

W 73-63

−5.5

SJU

W 72-40

−33.5

HALL

W 71-67

+7.5

MARQ

L 62-68

−13.5

XAV

W 93-68

+10.5

GTWN

W 67-51

−20.5

SJU

L 52-72

−15.5

FUR

W 82-71

+19.5

UCLA

W 73-57

−5.5

MSU

W 67-63

−6.5

DUKE

W 73-72

+9.5

ILL

W 71-62

−6.5

MICH

L 63-69

−14.5

over 19under 21avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Duke

38 games played

Straight up

35-3

92% wins

Against the spread

21-17

55% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-24

37% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

35-392%

W W W W W W W W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

21-1755%

W W W W W W L L L W L L L L W L W W W W W L L L W W W W W W L L W L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-2437%

U U O U U U U U U U O O O O U O U U O U U U U U U O U O U O U O U O U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsTEX	W 75-60	-10.5	W +4.5	153.5	U 135
Nov 8	vsWCU	W 95-54	-36.5	W +4.5	152.5	U 149
Nov 11	@ARMY	W 114-59	-33.5	W +21.5	152.5	O 173
Nov 14	vsINST	W 100-62	-37.5	W +0.5	163.5	U 162
Nov 18	vsKU	W 78-66	-10.5	W +1.5	149.5	U 144
Nov 21	vsNIA	W 100-42	-39.5	W +18.5	146.5	U 142
Nov 23	vsHOW	W 93-56	-43.5	L −6.5	154.5	U 149
Nov 27	vsARK	W 80-71	-12.5	L −3.5	159.5	U 151
Dec 2	vsFLA	W 67-66	-9.5	L −8.5	157.5	U 133
Dec 6	@MSU	W 66-60	-1.5	W +4.5	141.5	U 126
Dec 16	vsLIP	W 97-73	-32.5	L −8.5	151.5	O 170
Dec 20	vsTTU	L 81-82	-9.5	L −10.5	152.5	O 163
Dec 31	vsGT	W 85-79	-27.5	L −21.5	153.5	O 164
Jan 3	@FSU	W 91-87	-16.5	L −12.5	163.5	O 178
Jan 6	@LOU	W 84-73	-1.5	W +9.5	161.5	U 157
Jan 10	vsSMU	W 82-75	-15.5	L −8.5	155.5	O 157
Jan 14	@CAL	W 71-56	-14.5	W +0.5	149.5	U 127
Jan 17	@STAN	W 80-50	-11.5	W +18.5	148.5	U 130
Jan 24	vsWAKE	W 90-69	-19.5	W +1.5	153.5	O 159
Jan 26	vsLOU	W 83-52	-8.5	W +22.5	157.5	U 135
Jan 31	@VT	W 72-58	-13.5	W +0.5	148.5	U 130
Feb 3	vsBC	W 67-49	-26.5	L −8.5	141.5	U 116
Feb 7	@UNC	L 68-71	-6.5	L −9.5	152.5	U 139
Feb 10	@PITT	W 70-54	-17.5	L −1.5	136.5	U 124
Feb 14	vsCLEM	W 67-54	-12.5	W +0.5	134.5	U 121
Feb 16	vsSYR	W 101-64	-20.5	W +16.5	144.5	O 165
Feb 21	vsMICH	W 68-63	+3.5	W +8.5	151.5	U 131
Feb 24	@ND	W 100-56	-16.5	W +27.5	141.5	O 156
Feb 28	vsUVA	W 77-51	-9.5	W +16.5	143.5	U 128
Mar 2	@NCSU	W 93-64	-8.5	W +20.5	150.5	O 157
Mar 7	vsUNC	W 76-61	-18.5	L −3.5	147.5	U 137
Mar 12	vsFSU	W 80-79	-16.5	L −15.5	150.5	O 159
Mar 13	vsCLEM	W 73-61	-10.5	W +1.5	134.5	U 134
Mar 14	vsUVA	W 74-70	-6.5	L −2.5	140.5	O 144
Mar 19	vsSIE	W 71-65	-28.5	L −22.5	137.5	U 136
Mar 21	vsTCU	W 81-58	-12.5	W +10.5	140.5	U 139
Mar 27	vsSJU	W 80-75	-6.5	L −1.5	140.5	O 155
Mar 29	vsCONN	L 72-73	-4.5	L −5.5	135.5	O 145

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TEX

W 75-60

+4.5

WCU

W 95-54

+4.5

ARMY

W 114-59

+21.5

INST

W 100-62

+0.5

W 78-66

+1.5

NIA

W 100-42

+18.5

HOW

W 93-56

−6.5

ARK

W 80-71

−3.5

FLA

W 67-66

−8.5

MSU

W 66-60

+4.5

LIP

W 97-73

−8.5

TTU

L 81-82

−10.5

W 85-79

−21.5

FSU

W 91-87

−12.5

LOU

W 84-73

+9.5

SMU

W 82-75

−8.5

CAL

W 71-56

+0.5

STAN

W 80-50

+18.5

WAKE

W 90-69

+1.5

LOU

W 83-52

+22.5

W 72-58

+0.5

W 67-49

−8.5

UNC

L 68-71

−9.5

PITT

W 70-54

−1.5

CLEM

W 67-54

+0.5

SYR

W 101-64

+16.5

MICH

W 68-63

+8.5

W 100-56

+27.5

UVA

W 77-51

+16.5

NCSU

W 93-64

+20.5

UNC

W 76-61

−3.5

FSU

W 80-79

−15.5

CLEM

W 73-61

+1.5

UVA

W 74-70

−2.5

SIE

W 71-65

−22.5

TCU

W 81-58

+10.5

SJU

W 80-75

−1.5

CONN

L 72-73

−5.5

covered 21didn’t cover 17avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TEX

W 75-60

−18.5

WCU

W 95-54

−3.5

ARMY

W 114-59

+20.5

INST

W 100-62

−1.5

W 78-66

−5.5

NIA

W 100-42

−4.5

HOW

W 93-56

−5.5

ARK

W 80-71

−8.5

FLA

W 67-66

−24.5

MSU

W 66-60

−15.5

LIP

W 97-73

+18.5

TTU

L 81-82

+10.5

W 85-79

+10.5

FSU

W 91-87

+14.5

LOU

W 84-73

−4.5

SMU

W 82-75

+1.5

CAL

W 71-56

−22.5

STAN

W 80-50

−18.5

WAKE

W 90-69

+5.5

LOU

W 83-52

−22.5

W 72-58

−18.5

W 67-49

−25.5

UNC

L 68-71

−13.5

PITT

W 70-54

−12.5

CLEM

W 67-54

−13.5

SYR

W 101-64

+20.5

MICH

W 68-63

−20.5

W 100-56

+14.5

UVA

W 77-51

−15.5

NCSU

W 93-64

+6.5

UNC

W 76-61

−10.5

FSU

W 80-79

+8.5

CLEM

W 73-61

−0.5

UVA

W 74-70

+3.5

SIE

W 71-65

−1.5

TCU

W 81-58

−1.5

SJU

W 80-75

+14.5

CONN

L 72-73

+9.5

over 14under 24avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Duke has the better starters

Position by position: UConn 1, Duke 2, even 2

UConnBetterDuke

G N. Machowski TR17.8 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.6 ast Score 80

DUKESmall

G J. Blackwell TR19.1 pts · 5.1 reb · 2.3 ast Score 97

G S. Demary10.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 5.9 ast Score 98

CONNSmall

G C. Foster8.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76

G S. Ball12.8 pts · 3 reb · 1.5 ast Score 87

Even

G J. Theodosiou TR12.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.6 ast Score 86

G B. Mullins12 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.4 ast Score 88

Even

G C. Boozer7.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 3 ast Score 85

G J. Nash TR5.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.1 ast Score 26

DUKESmall

F D. Sarr6.4 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.1 ast Score 52

UConnBetterDuke

CONN offense25th of 366 · +7.1

Even

DUKE defense3rd of 366 · +11.4

CONN defense2nd of 366 · +11.5

Even

DUKE offense11th of 366 · +10.1

Backcourt+8.5 · 5 players

Even

Backcourt+9.2 · 4 players

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

No call

Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player

Bench+3.4 · 5 players

DUKEBig

Bench+7.0 · 2 players

Score, worst to bestCONN betterDUKE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

UConn

Guards

N. Machowski35 min · TRS. Demary28 minS. Ball28 minB. Mullins28 minJ. Nash26 min · TRJ. CountyNew

Forwards

N. Khamenia20 min · TRI. Shaw18 min · TRJ. Ross18 minJ. RossNewC. LandrewNewE. AmosovNew

Centers

N. Hines18 min · TRO. Giltay15 min · TRE. Dzafic2 min · TR

Duke

Guards

J. Blackwell34 min · TRC. Foster25 minJ. Theodosiou23 min · TRC. Boozer23 minB. DavisNewD. RippeyNew

Forwards

D. Sarr24 minD. Scharnowski22 min · TRS. WilkinsNewC. WilliamsNew

Centers

P. Ngongba22 minM. MeyerNewJ. Boumtje BoumtjeNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

CONN76.6 #129

DUKE81.6 #36

Points per possession

CONN1.16 #52

DUKE1.23 #4

Pace (possessions)

CONN66.1 #307

DUKE66.8 #285

Shooting

Effective FG%

CONN54.3 #59

DUKE56.6 #13

3-point %

CONN34.4 #150

DUKE34.7 #133

3-point attempt rate

CONN40.9 #149

DUKE43.5 #100

Free throw rate

CONN29.9 #313

DUKE38.2 #97

Possessions

Turnover rate

CONN16.4 #163

DUKE16.0 #139

Offensive rebound rate

CONN35.7 #30

DUKE38.4 #4

Assists per game

CONN18.1 #9

DUKE16.7 #32

Defense

Points allowed

CONN65.2 #6

DUKE63.6 #3

Points allowed per possession

CONN0.99 #17

DUKE0.95 #2

Opponent effective FG%

CONN45.7 #7

DUKE46.2 #13

Opponent 3-point %

CONN30.1 #8

DUKE30.6 #27

Turnovers forced

CONN17.8 #107

DUKE17.2 #133

Defensive rebound rate

CONN71.2 #99

DUKE74.8 #10

Steals per game

CONN6.8 #143

DUKE7.4 #92

Blocks per game

CONN5.0 #15

DUKE3.4 #164

CONN		DUKE
Scoring
76.6 #129	Points per game	81.6 #36
1.16 #52	Points per possession	1.23 #4
66.1 #307	Pace (possessions)	66.8 #285
Shooting
54.3 #59	Effective FG%	56.6 #13
34.4 #150	3-point %	34.7 #133
40.9 #149	3-point attempt rate	43.5 #100
29.9 #313	Free throw rate	38.2 #97
Possessions
16.4 #163	Turnover rate	16.0 #139
35.7 #30	Offensive rebound rate	38.4 #4
18.1 #9	Assists per game	16.7 #32
Defense
65.2 #6	Points allowed	63.6 #3
0.99 #17	Points allowed per possession	0.95 #2
45.7 #7	Opponent effective FG%	46.2 #13
30.1 #8	Opponent 3-point %	30.6 #27
17.8 #107	Turnovers forced	17.2 #133
71.2 #99	Defensive rebound rate	74.8 #10
6.8 #143	Steals per game	7.4 #92
5.0 #15	Blocks per game	3.4 #164

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UConn

34-6 in 2025-26 overall · 19-4 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Michigan63–69
Wvs Illinois71–62
Wvs Duke73–72
Wvs Michigan St67–63
Wvs UCLA73–57

A week or more of rest.

Duke

35-3 in 2025-26 overall · 20-1 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UConn72–73
Wvs St John's80–75
Wvs TCU81–58
Wvs Siena71–65
Wvs Virginia74–70

A week or more of rest.

UConn Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils

What could decide it: DUKE has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

UConn

Duke

Duke has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

UConn

Duke