Alex G. Spanos Center · at Pacific · Conference game
Closing line
PAC -8.5✓ USD covered by 1.5
PAC -8.5✓ USD covered by 1.5Closing total147.5Under by 0.5
 USD | This season | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| 6-10 | Record | 9-7 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 7-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USD 71–78 PAC · ✓ PAC (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 34 | 36 | 70 |
| PAC | 24 | 53 | 77 |
1st half: USD 34, PAC 24 (USD by 10). The model had PAC by 4.4 and a total of 69.7 (actual 58).
Team stats
| USD | PAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 23-66 35% |
| 8-27 30% | 3-pointers | 8-33 24% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 23-28 82% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 50 21 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| USD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty-Laur Johnson G | 36 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 7-16 | 1-4 |
| Adrian McIntyre G | 31 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Tim Moore Jr. F | 23 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Dominique Ford G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Assane Diop F | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Toneari Lane G | 22 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Vuk Boskovic F | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Juanse Gorosito G | 17 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Alejandro Aviles F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Gavin Ripp F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon Benjamin, D'Arrae Goodwin, Boden Grant, Caleb Versher, Piotr Winkowski, Nick Del Bosque, Kjay Bradley, Josh Hecht, Emmanuel Callas, Neel Beniwal
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph F | 36 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1-9 | 1-5 |
| Jaden Clayton G | 36 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 1-10 | 1-7 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 35 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 35 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 8-18 | 5-14 |
| Isaac Jack F | 24 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaion Pitt F | 17 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Clayton Mpiana, Eyal Harel, Emmanuel Manyuon, Augustas Brazdeikis, Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -8.5
ModelPAC -7.5
Model edgeUSD +1.0
W USD covered
Total
Market147.5
Model148.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
L Under
Projected score
USD 70.7 · PAC 78.2
USD 70 · PAC 77
Win probability
PAC 74%
1st half
Spread
PAC -4.4
USD -10.0
Total
69.7
58 points
Projected score
USD 32.7 · PAC 37
USD 34 · PAC 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -7.5
1 → PAC
ClosePAC -8.5
1 pt toward PAC
Total
Open149.5
▼ 2
Close147.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
USD +320 · PAC -410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -7.5 · closed PAC -8.5 · moved 1 toward PACmodel PAC -7.5
model PAC -7.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| PAC | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
USD 7–3 PACUSD leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · USD has won the last 2 meetings · USD 7-2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025-26 | PAC 54 @ USD 66 | USD +2.5 | USD W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | USD 81 vs PAC 77 | PAC -1.5 | USD W |
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | USD 69 @ PAC 71 | PAC -3.5 | USD W |
| Dec 30, 2024-25 | PAC 65 @ USD 75 | USD -1.5 | USD W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | PAC 69 @ USD 81 | USD -10.5 | USD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs IDST | L 68-71 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 12 | vs IDHO | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs GRAM | W 78-68 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCR | L 71-85 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | vs CBU | L 61-76 | +7.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | @ LBSU | L 72-76 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 5 | @ SJSU | L 69-86 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs USC | L 81-94 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | vs NAU | W 78-69 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCSD | W 82-80 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 22 | @ WASH | L 56-86 | +18.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 28 | vsPAC | W 66-54 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | vs GONZ | L 93-99 | +29.5 | W +23.5 | 160.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 2 | @ SF | L 64-74 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 4 | @ SCU | L 70-98 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 8 | vs PEPP | W 83-63 | -4.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−7.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
+5.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
+3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
−21.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−7.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
−6.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
−10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+1.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
+4.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+14.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−11.5
28
vsPAC
PACW 66-54
+14.5
30
vsGONZ
GONZL 93-99
+23.5
2
@SF
SFL 64-74
+2.5
4
@SCU
SCUL 70-98
−10.5
8
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-63
+15.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsIDST
IDSTL 68-71
−13.5
12
vsIDHO
IDHOW 78-74
−3.5
18
vsGRAM
GRAMW 78-68
−3.5
21
vsUCR
UCRL 71-85
+3.5
25
vsCBU
CBUL 61-76
−9.5
30
@LBSU
LBSUL 72-76
+0.5
5
@SJSU
SJSUL 69-86
+10.5
9
vsUSC
USCL 81-94
+16.5
13
vsNAU
NAUW 78-69
−2.5
19
@UCSD
UCSDW 82-80
+5.5
22
@WASH
WASHL 56-86
−17.5
28
vsPAC
PACW 66-54
−30.5
30
vsGONZ
GONZL 93-99
+31.5
2
@SF
SFL 64-74
−14.5
4
@SCU
SCUL 70-98
+6.5
8
vsPEPP
PEPPW 83-63
−3.5
over 7under 9avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacific
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vsLBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @ LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORST | W 84-53 | -4.5 | W +26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | vsPEPP | W 74-69 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @ PORT | L 89-90 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 179 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
+26.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
−6.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
−4.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
−0.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
+4.5
8
@PORT
PORTL 89-90
+34.5
over 7under 9avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego
6-10 overall · 2-3 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pepperdine83–63
- L@ Santa Clara70–98
- L@ San Francisco64–74
- Lvs Gonzaga93–99
- Wvs Pacific66–54
2 days since their last game.
Pacific
9-7 overall · 2-3 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Portland89–90
- Wvs Pepperdine74–69
- Wvs Oregon St84–53
- L@ LMU71–80
- L@ San Diego54–66
2 days since their last game.