XFINITY Center · at Maryland · Conference game
Closing line
ORE -1.5✓ ORE covered by 8.5
ORE -1.5✓ ORE covered by 8.5Closing total146.5Under by 28.5
| ORE | This season | MD |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | Record | 7-6 |
| 4-9 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 9-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORE 76–75 MD · ✓ ORE (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 34 | 30 | 64 |
| MD | 27 | 27 | 54 |
1st half: ORE 34, MD 27 (ORE by 7). The model had ORE by 1.1 and a total of 70.7 (actual 61).
Team stats
| ORE | MD | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-47 49% | Field goals | 18-65 28% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 7-35 20% |
| 13-21 62% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 40 7 off | Rebounds | 37 16 off |
| 12 | Assists | 7 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 7 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| ORE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Bittle C | 34 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6-10 | 1-3 |
| Kwame Evans Jr. F | 33 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Takai Simpkins G | 31 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Wei Lin G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Dez Lindsay F | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Drew Carter G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Sean Stewart F | 14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Devon Pryor G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jamari Phillips G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Ege Demir C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JJ Frakes, Rian Gonzales, Efe Vatan, Luke Johnson, Oleksandr Kobzystyi, Jackson Shelstad, Miles Stewart
| MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solomon Washington F | 38 | 17 | 12 | 0 | 6-14 | 1-4 |
| Darius Adams G | 32 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3-15 | 1-7 |
| Elijah Saunders F | 32 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Andre Mills G | 26 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1-10 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Watts G | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Coit G | 21 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Myles Rice G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| George Turkson Jr. G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Collin Metcalf C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lukas Sotell, Nick Blake, Aleks Alston, Guillermo Del Pino, Jaziah Harper, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketORE -1.5
ModelORE -1.6
Model edgeORE +0.1
W ORE covered
Total
Market146.5
Model150.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
L Under
Projected score
ORE 76.3 · MD 74.6
ORE 64 · MD 54
Win probability
ORE 56%
1st half
Spread
ORE -1.1
ORE -7.0
Total
70.7
61 points
Projected score
ORE 35.9 · MD 34.8
ORE 34 · MD 27
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenORE -2.5
1 → MD
CloseORE -1.5
1 pt toward MD
Total
Open151.5
▼ 5
Close146.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
ORE -120 · MD +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ORE -2.5 · closed ORE -1.5 · moved 1 toward MDmodel ORE -1.5 matches the line
model ORE -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 151.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 5 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORE | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| MD | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ORE 1–0 MDORE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ORE 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | MD 79 @ ORE 83 | ORE -4.5 | MD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oregon
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
4-9
31% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs HAW | W 60-59 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 7 | vs RICE | W 67-63 | -15.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 12 | vs SDST | W 83-69 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 17 | vs ORST | W 87-75 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 24 | vs AUB | L 73-84 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs SDSU | L 80-97 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 27 | vs CREI | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs USC | L 77-82 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCLA | L 63-74 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCD | W 104-62 | -13.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs PORT | W 94-69 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs GONZ | L 82-91 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | vs OMA | W 80-57 | -21.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−10.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−11.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
−2.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
−1.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
−6.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
−19.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−7.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
−2.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−2.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+28.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+5.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+3.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 9avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsHAW
HAWW 60-59
−25.5
7
vsRICE
RICEW 67-63
−15.5
12
vsSDST
SDSTW 83-69
+6.5
17
vsORST
ORSTW 87-75
+20.5
24
vsAUB
AUBL 73-84
+1.5
25
vsSDSU
SDSUL 80-97
+35.5
27
vsCREI
CREIL 66-76
−8.5
2
vsUSC
USCL 77-82
+4.5
6
@UCLA
UCLAL 63-74
−9.5
13
vsUCD
UCDW 104-62
+19.5
17
vsPORT
PORTW 94-69
+8.5
21
vsGONZ
GONZL 82-91
+17.5
28
vsOMA
OMAW 80-57
−14.5
over 8under 5avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Maryland
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg −4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-4
69% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COPP | W 83-61 | -28.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 7 | vs GTWN | L 60-70 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs ALCN | W 84-64 | -29.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | @ MARQ | W 89-82 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs MSM | W 95-90 | -17.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNLV | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vsGONZ | L 61-100 | +14.5 | L −24.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs ALA | L 72-105 | +14.5 | L −18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 2 | vs WAG | W 89-63 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 6 | @ IOWA | L 64-83 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 13 | vs MICH | L 83-101 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 20 | @ UVA | L 72-80 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 28 | vs ODU | W 73-58 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
−6.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
−9.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+15.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
−12.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
+4.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
−24.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
−18.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+3.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
−8.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+1.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
+8.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 83-61
+4.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNL 60-70
−14.5
11
vsALCN
ALCNW 84-64
+1.5
15
@MARQ
MARQW 89-82
+24.5
19
vsMSM
MSMW 95-90
+39.5
24
vsUNLV
UNLVW 74-67
−23.5
25
vsGONZ
GONZL 61-100
+3.5
26
vsALA
ALAL 72-105
+10.5
2
vsWAG
WAGW 89-63
+8.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAL 64-83
+9.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 83-101
+20.5
20
@UVA
UVAL 72-80
−1.5
28
vsODU
ODUW 73-58
−23.5
over 9under 4avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oregon
7-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Omaha80–57
- Lvs Gonzaga82–91
- Wvs Portland94–69
- Wvs UC Davis104–62
- L@ UCLA63–74
5 days since their last game.
Maryland
7-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Old Dominion73–58
- L@ Virginia72–80
- Lvs Michigan83–101
- L@ Iowa64–83
- Wvs Wagner89–63
5 days since their last game.