Moby Arena · at Colorado St · Conference game
Closing line
CSU -1.5✓ BOIS covered by 12.5
Closing total143.5Over by 1.5
| This season | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-10 | Record | 19-10 |
| 16-12 | ATS | 18-11 |
| 15-13 | O/U | 16-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BOIS 73–72 CSU · ✓ BOIS (54%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BOIS | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| CSU | 28 | 39 | 67 |
1st half: BOIS 36, CSU 28 (BOIS by 8). The model had BOIS by 0.8 and a total of 67.9 (actual 64).
Team stats
| BOIS | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-51 51% | Field goals | 26-52 50% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 9-14 64% |
| 37 13 off | Rebounds | 21 6 off |
| 6 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| BOIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Keene II G | 33 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Dylan Andrews G | 30 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Andrew Meadow F | 29 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Drew Fielder F | 28 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 10-15 | 1-5 |
| Javan Buchanan F | 22 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pearson Carmichael F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Dominic Parolin F | 13 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Spencer Ahrens F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Aginaldo Neto G | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bhan Buom F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Noah Bendinger, Brennan Ramirez, Julian Bowie, Rayzhon Bergersen, Ethan Lathan
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz G | 38 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Jase Butler G | 37 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Carey Booth F | 28 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 28 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Darnez Slater G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Docker Tedeschi, Charlie Dortch, Jon Mekonnen, Nikola Djapa, Josh Pascarelli
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCSU -1.5
ModelBOIS -1.1
Model edgeBOIS +2.6
W BOIS covered
Total
Market143.5
Model145.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
W Over
Projected score
BOIS 73.1 · CSU 72
BOIS 78 · CSU 67
Win probability
BOIS 54%
1st half
Spread
BOIS -0.8
BOIS -8.0
Total
67.9
64 points
Projected score
BOIS 34.4 · CSU 33.6
BOIS 36 · CSU 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -1.5
no move
CloseCSU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▲ 1
Close143.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BOIS -108 · CSU -112
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -1.5 · unchangedmodel BOIS -1
model BOIS -1
Opened 142.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | |
| 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
BOIS 4–6 CSUCSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · BOIS 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025-26 | CSU 73 @ BOIS 79 | BOIS -5.5 | BOIS W |
| Mar 15, 2024-25 | BOIS 56 vs CSU 69 | CSU +1.5 | CSU W |
| Mar 7, 2024-25 | CSU 83 @ BOIS 73 | BOIS -5.5 | CSU W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | BOIS 72 @ CSU 75 | CSU +1.5 | CSU W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | BOIS 62 @ CSU 75 | CSU -5.5 | CSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Boise St
28 games played
Straight up
18-10
64% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs | W 101-77 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 85-65 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 62-58 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 62-59 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 67-70 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 70-81 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 86-64 | -14.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 68-67 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 66-81 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 62-53 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 107-110 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | O 217 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 58-75 | -8.5 | L −25.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 85-89 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 16 | vs | W 79-73 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 96-54 | -23.5 | W +18.5 | 137.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 27 | @ | W 89-58 | -12.5 | W +18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 30 | @ | L 69-86 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 141.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 91-87 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 91-90 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 13 | vs | L 83-86 | -10.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 56-75 | +9.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 84-69 | -18.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 72-62 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 69-53 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 122 |
| Mar 3 | vs | W 86-77 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vs
UVU
W 101-77
+11.5
11
vs
RGV
W 85-65
+3.5
15
vs
MTST
W 62-58
−12.5
18
vs
WICH
W 62-59
−6.5
24
vs
USC
L 67-70
+0.5
25
vs
NCSU
L 70-81
−4.5
6
@
BTLR
W 77-68
+11.5
10
vs
DUQ
W 86-64
+7.5
14
vs
SMC
W 68-67
+3.5
20
@
NEV
L 66-81
−18.5
30
vs
UNM
W 62-53
+3.5
3
@
SDSU
L 107-110
+1.5
7
vs
GCU
L 58-75
−25.5
10
vs
USU
L 68-93
−23.5
13
@
UNLV
L 85-89
−5.5
16
vs
CSU
W 79-73
+0.5
20
@
WYO
W 81-65
+14.5
24
vs
AF
W 96-54
+18.5
27
@
SJSU
W 89-58
+18.5
30
@
GCU
L 69-86
−15.5
3
vs
NEV
W 91-87
−2.5
7
@
UNM
W 91-90
+5.5
13
vs
UNLV
L 83-86
−13.5
18
@
USU
L 56-75
−9.5
21
vs
SJSU
W 84-69
−3.5
24
vs
WYO
W 72-62
+1.5
28
@
FRES
W 69-53
+8.5
3
vs
SDSU
W 86-77
+7.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vs
UVU
W 101-77
+26.5
11
vs
RGV
W 85-65
−11.5
15
vs
MTST
W 62-58
−27.5
18
vs
WICH
W 62-59
−29.5
24
vs
USC
L 67-70
−18.5
25
vs
NCSU
L 70-81
−1.5
6
@
BTLR
W 77-68
−3.5
10
vs
DUQ
W 86-64
−0.5
14
vs
SMC
W 68-67
−4.5
20
@
NEV
L 66-81
+5.5
30
vs
UNM
W 62-53
−31.5
3
@
SDSU
L 107-110
+78.5
7
vs
GCU
L 58-75
−7.5
10
vs
USU
L 68-93
+11.5
13
@
UNLV
L 85-89
+23.5
16
vs
CSU
W 79-73
+11.5
20
@
WYO
W 81-65
+0.5
24
vs
AF
W 96-54
+12.5
27
@
SJSU
W 89-58
+5.5
30
@
GCU
L 69-86
+13.5
3
vs
NEV
W 91-87
+36.5
7
@
UNM
W 91-90
+28.5
13
vs
UNLV
L 83-86
+15.5
18
@
USU
L 56-75
−20.5
21
vs
SJSU
W 84-69
+6.5
24
vs
WYO
W 72-62
−12.5
28
@
FRES
W 69-53
−27.5
3
vs
SDSU
W 86-77
+19.5
over 15under 13avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
18-11
62% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vs | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 70-60 | +6.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 70-80 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 9 | vs | W 70-62 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 69-79 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 16 | @ | L 73-79 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 81-52 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vs | L 61-65 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 50-73 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 57-68 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 65-57 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 91-74 | -16.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 79-68 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 18 | @ | W 91-86 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 83-74 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 74-70 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 85-73 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Mar 4 | @ | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UIW
W 98-64
+23.5
9
vs
OMA
W 97-74
+8.5
12
vs
CP
W 93-79
−4.5
16
@
LUC
W 80-67
+9.5
21
vs
DEN
L 81-83
−20.5
26
vs
VT
L 64-66
+2.5
27
vs
WICH
W 76-70
+4.5
28
vs
USF
W 83-68
+17.5
6
vs
COLO
W 91-86
+3.5
9
vs
DART
W 76-55
+0.5
20
@
USU
L 58-100
−31.5
30
vs
NEV
L 62-75
−14.5
3
@
GCU
W 70-60
+16.5
6
vs
UNM
L 70-80
−8.5
9
vs
UNLV
W 70-62
+1.5
13
@
FRES
L 69-79
−13.5
16
@
BOIS
L 73-79
−0.5
20
vs
AF
W 81-52
+9.5
23
vs
USU
L 61-65
+1.5
28
@
SDSU
L 50-73
−13.5
31
@
WYO
L 57-68
−9.5
7
vs
SJSU
W 65-57
−7.5
10
@
AF
W 91-74
+0.5
14
vs
WYO
W 79-68
+7.5
18
@
UNLV
W 91-86
+7.5
21
vs
SDSU
W 83-74
+12.5
24
vs
FRES
W 74-70
−4.5
28
@
SJSU
W 85-73
+7.5
4
@
UNM
W 82-74
+16.5
covered 18didn’t cover 11avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UIW
W 98-64
+14.5
9
vs
OMA
W 97-74
+17.5
12
vs
CP
W 93-79
+6.5
16
@
LUC
W 80-67
−4.5
21
vs
DEN
L 81-83
+14.5
26
vs
VT
L 64-66
−23.5
27
vs
WICH
W 76-70
+3.5
28
vs
USF
W 83-68
−4.5
6
vs
COLO
W 91-86
+27.5
9
vs
DART
W 76-55
−22.5
20
@
USU
L 58-100
+10.5
30
vs
NEV
L 62-75
−2.5
3
@
GCU
W 70-60
−13.5
6
vs
UNM
L 70-80
+6.5
9
vs
UNLV
W 70-62
−19.5
13
@
FRES
L 69-79
+8.5
16
@
BOIS
L 73-79
+11.5
20
vs
AF
W 81-52
−0.5
23
vs
USU
L 61-65
−23.5
28
@
SDSU
L 50-73
−16.5
31
@
WYO
L 57-68
−17.5
7
vs
SJSU
W 65-57
−16.5
10
@
AF
W 91-74
+27.5
14
vs
WYO
W 79-68
+6.5
18
@
UNLV
W 91-86
+29.5
21
vs
SDSU
W 83-74
+17.5
24
vs
FRES
W 74-70
−5.5
28
@
SJSU
W 85-73
+6.5
4
@
UNM
W 82-74
+5.5
over 16under 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Boise St
18-10 overall · 11-8 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Diego St86–77
- W@ Fresno St69–53
- Wvs Wyoming72–62
- Wvs San José St84–69
- L@ Utah State56–75
4 days since their last game.
Colorado St
19-10 overall · 11-8 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ New Mexico82–74
- W@ San José St85–73
- Wvs Fresno St74–70
- Wvs San Diego St83–74
- W@ UNLV91–86
3 days since their last game.