Amica Mutual Pavilion · at Providence · Conference game
Closing line
CREI -2.5✓ PROV covered by 7.5
CREI -2.5✓ PROV covered by 7.5Closing total161.5Over by 19.5
| CREI | This season | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 8-9 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 9-8 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 12-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CREI 83–83 PROV · ✗ PROV (50%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CREI | 46 | 42 | 88 |
| PROV | 45 | 48 | 93 |
1st half: CREI 46, PROV 45 (CREI by 1). The model had CREI by 0.2 and a total of 77.9 (actual 91).
Team stats
| CREI | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-66 41% | Field goals | 31-69 45% |
| 10-30 33% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 24-29 83% | Free throws | 25-35 71% |
| 37 14 off | Rebounds | 46 19 off |
| 15 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| CREI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasen Green F | 35 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 8-10 | 1-1 |
| Josh Dix G | 33 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Austin Swartz G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-13 | 0-8 |
| Isaac Traudt F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Ty Davis G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Blake Harper G | 26 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Nik Graves G | 25 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Fedor Zugic G | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Kerem Konan F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Hudson Greer G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Townley-Thomas, Aleksa Dimitrijevic, Liam McChesney, Shane Thomas, Jackson McAndrew, Owen Freeman
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks G | 37 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 8-18 | 2-10 |
| Jamier Jones G | 34 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 8-16 | 0-0 |
| Duncan Powell F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Ryan Mela G | 24 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Jaylin Sellers G | 18 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 29 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 23 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Nilavan Daniels G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peteris Pinnis, Jack Williams, Jason Edwards, Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron, Cole Hargrove, Daquan Davis
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCREI -2.5
ModelCREI -0.1
Model edgePROV +2.4
W PROV covered
Total
Market161.5
Model166.3
Model edgeOver 4.8
W Over
Projected score
CREI 83.2 · PROV 83.1
CREI 88 · PROV 93
Win probability
PROV 50%
1st half
Spread
CREI -0.2
CREI -1.0
Total
77.9
91 points
Projected score
CREI 39 · PROV 38.8
CREI 46 · PROV 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCREI -1.5
1 → CREI
CloseCREI -2.5
1 pt toward CREI
Total
Open163.5
▼ 2
Close161.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CREI -142 · PROV +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CREI -1.5 · closed CREI -2.5 · moved 1 toward CREImodel CREI -0
model CREI -0
Opened 163.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 2 downmodel 166.5
model 166.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CREI | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| PROV | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
CREI 5–4 PROVCREI leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · CREI has won the last 2 meetings · CREI 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | CREI 80 @ PROV 69 | PROV +3.5 | CREI W |
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | PROV 64 @ CREI 84 | CREI -8.5 | CREI W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | PROV 78 vs CREI 73 | CREI -8.5 | PROV W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | CREI 87 @ PROV 91 | PROV +2.5 | PROV W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | PROV 60 @ CREI 69 | CREI -11.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Creighton
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs SDAK | W 92-76 | -29.5 | L −13.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ GONZ | L 63-90 | +12.5 | L −14.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 14 | vs UMES | W 84-45 | -33.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 19 | vs UND | W 75-60 | -29.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 24 | vs BAY | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs ISU | L 60-78 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 27 | vs ORE | W 76-66 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 2 | vs NICH | W 96-76 | -18.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ NEB | L 50-71 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs KSU | L 76-83 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 17 | @ XAV | W 98-57 | +2.5 | W +43.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 20 | vs MARQ | W 84-63 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 22 | vs UTU | W 92-69 | -19.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | vs BTLR | W 89-85 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 4 | @ HALL | L 54-56 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 7 | @ VILL | W 76-72 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs SJU | L 73-90 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 13 | vs GTWN | W 86-83 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsSDAK
SDAKW 92-76
−13.5
11
@GONZ
GONZL 63-90
−14.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 84-45
+5.5
19
vsUND
UNDW 75-60
−14.5
24
vsBAY
BAYL 74-81
−3.5
25
vsISU
ISUL 60-78
−8.5
27
vsORE
OREW 76-66
+7.5
2
vsNICH
NICHW 96-76
+1.5
7
@NEB
NEBL 50-71
−15.5
13
vsKSU
KSUL 76-83
−11.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 98-57
+43.5
20
vsMARQ
MARQW 84-63
+14.5
22
vsUTU
UTUW 92-69
+3.5
30
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-85
−1.5
4
@HALL
HALLL 54-56
+1.5
7
@VILL
VILLW 76-72
+8.5
10
vsSJU
SJUL 73-90
−14.5
13
vsGTWN
GTWNW 86-83
−5.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsSDAK
SDAKW 92-76
−1.5
11
@GONZ
GONZL 63-90
−11.5
14
vsUMES
UMESW 84-45
−6.5
19
vsUND
UNDW 75-60
−20.5
24
vsBAY
BAYL 74-81
+0.5
25
vsISU
ISUL 60-78
−14.5
27
vsORE
OREW 76-66
−8.5
2
vsNICH
NICHW 96-76
+28.5
7
@NEB
NEBL 50-71
−34.5
13
vsKSU
KSUL 76-83
−0.5
17
@XAV
XAVW 98-57
+3.5
20
vsMARQ
MARQW 84-63
−4.5
22
vsUTU
UTUW 92-69
+13.5
30
vsBTLR
BTLRW 89-85
+17.5
4
@HALL
HALLL 54-56
−33.5
7
@VILL
VILLW 76-72
+5.5
10
vsSJU
SJUL 73-90
+10.5
13
vsGTWN
GTWNW 86-83
+21.5
over 8under 10avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Providence
17 games played
Straight up
8-9
47% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-5
71% overs · avg +13 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vs UNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs URI | W 90-71 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 9 | vs BRWN | W 86-79 | -19.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @BTLR | L 110-113 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 223 |
| Dec 19 | vsHALL | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @SJU | W 77-71 | +14.5 | W +20.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs CONN | L 98-103 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 201 |
| Jan 10 | @XAV | L 84-97 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 165.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 13 | vsVILL | L 82-88 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+11.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
−12.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+0.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−6.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
+20.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+4.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
−14.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
−3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+1.5
9
vsBRWN
BRWNW 86-79
+19.5
13
@BTLR
BTLRL 110-113
+58.5
19
vsHALL
HALLL 67-72
−13.5
3
@SJU
SJUW 77-71
−18.5
7
vsCONN
CONNL 98-103
+48.5
10
@XAV
XAVL 84-97
+15.5
13
vsVILL
VILLL 82-88
+13.5
over 12under 5avg +13 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Creighton
11-7 overall · 5-2 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgetown86–83
- Lvs St John's73–90
- W@ Villanova76–72
- L@ Seton Hall54–56
- Wvs Butler89–85
3 days since their last game.
Providence
8-9 overall · 1-5 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Villanova82–88
- L@ Xavier84–97
- Lvs UConn98–103
- W@ St John's77–71
- Lvs Seton Hall67–72
3 days since their last game.