M&T Bank Arena · at Quinnipiac · Conference game
Closing line
QUIN -3.5✓ MRMK covered by 10.5
QUIN -3.5✓ MRMK covered by 10.5Closing total141.5Under by 36.5
 MRMK | This season | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| 17-9 | Record | 17-9 |
| 17-9 | ATS | 12-14 |
| 9-17 | O/U | 9-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRMK 69–72 QUIN · ✗ QUIN (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 21 | 35 | 56 |
| QUIN | 21 | 28 | 49 |
1st half: MRMK 21, QUIN 21 (tied). The model had QUIN by 1.4 and a total of 66.2 (actual 42).
Team stats
| MRMK | QUIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-49 35% | Field goals | 17-61 28% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 1-16 6% |
| 18-20 90% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 23 3 off | Rebounds | 46 22 off |
| 7 | Assists | 8 |
| 13 | Steals | 4 |
| 7 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MRMK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevair Kennedy G | 40 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 6-15 | 0-0 |
| Tye Dorset G | 40 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Ernest Shelton G | 39 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-15 | 2-10 |
| Todd Brogna F | 28 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Andrés Marrero G | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KC Ugwuakazi F | 29 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Veillette F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacob Moore, Quinn Kwasniak, Aliou Cisse, Malik Edmead, David Munro, Brendan Johnson, Brandon Legris, Jaylen Stinson
| QUIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarri Monroe F | 38 | 10 | 15 | 1 | 3-14 | 0-3 |
| Jaden Zimmerman G | 35 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-13 | 1-6 |
| Grant Randall F | 35 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 6-16 | 0-5 |
| Spence Wewe F | 19 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Asim Jones G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tai Turnage G | 34 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Keith McKnight F | 27 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Nate Guerengomba G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Samson Reilly, Sam Nosakhare, Christopher Skenderi, Jayden Reid, Akintola Akinniyi, Braylan Ritvo, Ronell Giles Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketQUIN -3.5
ModelQUIN -2.5
Model edgeMRMK +1.0
W MRMK covered
Total
Market141.5
Model141.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
W Under
Projected score
MRMK 69.4 · QUIN 71.9
MRMK 56 · QUIN 49
Win probability
QUIN 59%
1st half
Spread
QUIN -1.4
tied
Total
66.2
42 points
Projected score
MRMK 32.4 · QUIN 33.8
MRMK 21 · QUIN 21
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenQUIN -1.5
2 → QUIN
CloseQUIN -3.5
2 pts toward QUIN
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
MRMK +145 · QUIN -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened QUIN -1.5 · closed QUIN -3.5 · moved 2 toward QUINmodel QUIN -2.5
model QUIN -2.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5 matches the line
model 141.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRMK | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| QUIN | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRMK 2–1 QUINMRMK leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · MRMK has won the last 2 meetings · MRMK 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | QUIN 71 @ MRMK 83 | MRMK +1.5 | MRMK W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | QUIN 63 @ MRMK 73 | MRMK +1.5 | MRMK W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | MRMK 76 @ QUIN 81 | QUIN -4.5 | QUIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Merrimack
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
17-9
65% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-17
35% overs · avg −3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SDST | L 66-75 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 6 | @ AUB | L 57-95 | +23.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | @ TAR | L 62-76 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BU | W 91-79 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 19 | vs ME | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ FLA | L 45-80 | +36.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | @ PENN | L 65-77 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOF | L 58-78 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs LAS | W 66-60 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 68-66 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAIR | W 74-63 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 10 | @ PRIN | W 59-56 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 14 | @ UVM | L 59-66 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 29 | @ SHU | W 80-72 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs MSM | W 75-65 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | vs MAN | W 73-66 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 9 | @ SIE | W 63-59 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ SPU | L 63-76 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 133.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 17 | vsQUIN | W 83-71 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @ MRST | W 68-55 | +6.5 | W +19.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 22 | @ IONA | L 60-61 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 24 | vsSPU | W 67-59 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 1 | vsSHU | W 75-58 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 5 | @MSM | W 87-70 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 134.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @RID | W 73-47 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 12 | vsMRST | W 81-56 | -2.5 | W +22.5 | 128.5 | O 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
−14.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−9.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+14.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+0.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
+1.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−9.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
−14.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
+8.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−7.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
+7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
+5.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−0.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+9.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
+6.5
4
vsMAN
MANW 73-66
+0.5
9
@SIE
SIEW 63-59
+9.5
11
@SPU
SPUL 63-76
−11.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINW 83-71
+13.5
19
@MRST
MRSTW 68-55
+19.5
22
@IONA
IONAL 60-61
−2.5
24
vsSPU
SPUW 67-59
+5.5
1
vsSHU
SHUW 75-58
+11.5
5
@MSM
MSMW 87-70
+14.5
7
@RID
RIDW 73-47
+17.5
12
vsMRST
MRSTW 81-56
+22.5
covered 17didn’t cover 9avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 66-75
−2.5
6
@AUB
AUBL 57-95
+3.5
11
@TAR
TARL 62-76
−4.5
15
@BU
BUW 91-79
+34.5
19
vsME
MEW 72-65
+6.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 45-80
−33.5
28
@PENN
PENNL 65-77
−10.5
29
vsHOF
HOFL 58-78
+0.5
30
vsLAS
LASW 66-60
−6.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 68-66
−4.5
7
vsFAIR
FAIRW 74-63
−7.5
10
@PRIN
PRINW 59-56
−19.5
14
@UVM
UVML 59-66
−11.5
29
@SHU
SHUW 80-72
+7.5
2
vsMSM
MSMW 75-65
−1.5
4
vsMAN
MANW 73-66
−9.5
9
@SIE
SIEW 63-59
−10.5
11
@SPU
SPUL 63-76
+5.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINW 83-71
+12.5
19
@MRST
MRSTW 68-55
−10.5
22
@IONA
IONAL 60-61
−22.5
24
vsSPU
SPUW 67-59
−8.5
1
vsSHU
SHUW 75-58
−14.5
5
@MSM
MSMW 87-70
+22.5
7
@RID
RIDW 73-47
−17.5
12
vsMRST
MRSTW 81-56
+8.5
over 9under 17avg −3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Quinnipiac
26 games played
Straight up
17-9
65% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-17
35% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SJU | L 74-108 | +26.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 6 | vs CCSU | W 71-49 | -9.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | vs YALE | L 60-97 | +6.5 | L −30.5 | 156.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 16 | @ME | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | @ PITT | W 83-75 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 25 | @ UCF | L 91-102 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 30 | vs STO | W 76-62 | -15.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | @IONA | W 89-68 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vsRID | W 72-58 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 13 | vs UML | W 75-71 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 17 | @ MONM | W 85-75 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @HOF | L 66-74 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 29 | vsMRST | W 64-58 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 2 | @MAN | L 79-80 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 4 | vsMSM | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 11 | @SHU | W 70-60 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | vsSPU | L 70-74 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 17 | @MRMK | L 71-83 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | vsMAN | W 98-92 | -13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 22 | @MSM | W 77-62 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | @MRST | L 64-71 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 30 | vsSHU | L 91-98 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 1 | @FAIR | W 72-65 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | vs CAN | W 75-60 | -15.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 7 | vs NIA | W 56-55 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 13 | @SIE | W 74-62 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SJU
SJUL 74-108
−7.5
6
vsCCSU
CCSUW 71-49
+12.5
11
vsYALE
YALEL 60-97
−30.5
16
@ME
MEW 70-64
+2.5
23
@PITT
PITTW 83-75
+20.5
25
@UCF
UCFL 91-102
+2.5
30
vsSTO
STOW 76-62
−1.5
5
@IONA
IONAW 89-68
+23.5
7
vsRID
RIDW 72-58
−0.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 75-71
−8.5
17
@MONM
MONMW 85-75
+11.5
21
@HOF
HOFL 66-74
−0.5
29
vsMRST
MRSTW 64-58
+3.5
2
@MAN
MANL 79-80
−8.5
4
vsMSM
MSMW 80-69
+3.5
11
@SHU
SHUW 70-60
+4.5
14
vsSPU
SPUL 70-74
−10.5
17
@MRMK
MRMKL 71-83
−13.5
19
vsMAN
MANW 98-92
−7.5
22
@MSM
MSMW 77-62
+10.5
24
@MRST
MRSTL 64-71
−3.5
30
vsSHU
SHUL 91-98
−15.5
1
@FAIR
FAIRW 72-65
+4.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 75-60
−0.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 56-55
−11.5
13
@SIE
SIEW 74-62
+15.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SJU
SJUL 74-108
+25.5
6
vsCCSU
CCSUW 71-49
−30.5
11
vsYALE
YALEL 60-97
+0.5
16
@ME
MEW 70-64
−3.5
23
@PITT
PITTW 83-75
+17.5
25
@UCF
UCFL 91-102
+30.5
30
vsSTO
STOW 76-62
−10.5
5
@IONA
IONAW 89-68
−6.5
7
vsRID
RIDW 72-58
−17.5
13
vsUML
UMLW 75-71
−7.5
17
@MONM
MONMW 85-75
+14.5
21
@HOF
HOFL 66-74
−7.5
29
vsMRST
MRSTW 64-58
−23.5
2
@MAN
MANL 79-80
−0.5
4
vsMSM
MSMW 80-69
−1.5
11
@SHU
SHUW 70-60
−22.5
14
vsSPU
SPUL 70-74
+3.5
17
@MRMK
MRMKL 71-83
+12.5
19
vsMAN
MANW 98-92
+36.5
22
@MSM
MSMW 77-62
−9.5
24
@MRST
MRSTL 64-71
−4.5
30
vsSHU
SHUL 91-98
+32.5
1
@FAIR
FAIRW 72-65
−17.5
5
vsCAN
CANW 75-60
−6.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 56-55
−26.5
13
@SIE
SIEW 74-62
−8.5
over 9under 17avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Merrimack
17-9 overall · 13-2 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marist81–56
- W@ Rider73–47
- W@ Mount St Marys87–70
- Wvs Sacred Heart75–58
- Wvs Saint Peter's67–59
3 days since their last game.
Quinnipiac
17-9 overall · 11-5 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Siena74–62
- Wvs Niagara56–55
- Wvs Canisius75–60
- W@ Fairfield72–65
- Lvs Sacred Heart91–98
2 days since their last game.