Maples Pavilion · at Stanford
Closing line
STAN -15.5✓ CSUN covered by 7.5
STAN -15.5✓ CSUN covered by 7.5Closing total160.5Over by 7.5
 CSUN | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 10-2 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 7-4 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUN 73–88 STAN · ✓ STAN (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 38 | 42 | 80 |
| STAN | 33 | 55 | 88 |
1st half: CSUN 38, STAN 33 (CSUN by 5). The model had STAN by 8.4 and a total of 75.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| CSUN | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-51 47% | Field goals | 25-52 48% |
| 8-17 47% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 24-30 80% | Free throws | 27-38 71% |
| 30 5 off | Rebounds | 33 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 24 | Fouls | 21 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| CSUN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua O'Garro G | 39 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Larry Hughes II G | 35 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 9-14 | 6-10 |
| Mahmoud Fofana F | 33 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Davis G | 28 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Davius Loury F | 27 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Brinson G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Grady Lewis F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Aleks Szymczyk C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| James Evans Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jai Chisolm G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joseph Barrio, Jalen Barbee, Robert Thibiant, Greg Gazarian, Quinton Webb, Max Rehl, Omer Dahan
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 37 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 9-18 | 4-9 |
| Benny Gealer G | 35 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 28 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Chisom Okpara F | 28 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 1-6 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Cammann F | 23 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 19 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Donavin Young F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Anthony Batson Jr., Ethan Kitch, Cameron Grant, Evan Stinson, Myles Jones, Kristers Skrinda, Tallis Toure
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTAN -15.5
ModelSTAN -14.2
Model edgeCSUN +1.3
W CSUN covered
Total
Market160.5
Model160.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
W Over
Projected score
CSUN 73.4 · STAN 87.6
CSUN 80 · STAN 88
Win probability
STAN 89%
1st half
Spread
STAN -8.4
CSUN -5.0
Total
75.3
71 points
Projected score
CSUN 33.5 · STAN 41.8
CSUN 38 · STAN 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -15.5
no move
CloseSTAN -15.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▼ 3
Close160.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
CSUN +900 · STAN -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -15.5 · unchangedmodel STAN -14
model STAN -14
Opened 163.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 3 downmodel 161
model 161
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| STAN | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CSUN 0–2 STANSTAN leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · STAN has won the last 2 meetings · CSUN 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2024-25 | CSUN 70 @ STAN 87 | STAN -7.5 | STAN W |
| Nov 6, 2023-24 | CSUN 79 @ STAN 88 | STAN -23 | CSUN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
CSU Northridge
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UNI | L 57-86 | +9.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ UND | W 93-85 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 11 | @ NDSU | L 68-90 | +4.5 | L −17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | vs TROY | W 94-85 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDHO | L 64-78 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDST | L 50-82 | +1.5 | L −30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 4 | vs CSUB | W 87-66 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCI | L 71-85 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs FRES | W 89-87 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 13 | @ DEL | W 88-66 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 22 | vs SAC | W 100-88 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−19.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+1.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
−17.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+13.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−12.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−30.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
+15.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
−6.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
−1.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+23.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+3.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UNI
UNIL 57-86
−10.5
9
@UND
UNDW 93-85
+19.5
11
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-90
+1.5
16
vsTROY
TROYW 94-85
+21.5
26
vsIDHO
IDHOL 64-78
−17.5
28
vsIDST
IDSTL 50-82
−16.5
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 87-66
−2.5
6
@UCI
UCIL 71-85
+3.5
10
vsFRES
FRESW 89-87
+14.5
13
@DEL
DELW 88-66
+9.5
22
vsSAC
SACW 100-88
+23.5
over 7under 4avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
12 games played
Straight up
10-2
83% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
over 5under 7avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
CSU Northridge
6-5 overall · 1-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacramento St100–88
- W@ Delaware88–66
- Wvs Fresno St89–87
- L@ UC Irvine71–85
- Wvs Bakersfield87–66
5 days since their last game.
Stanford
10-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colorado77–68
- Wvs UT Arlington76–60
- W@ San José St86–82
- Lvs UNLV74–75
- Wvs Portland94–72
A week or more of rest.