GSU Convocation Center · at Georgia St · Conference game
Closing line
GASO -1.5✓ GAST covered by 3.5
GASO -1.5✓ GAST covered by 3.5Closing total154.5Under by 24.5
| GASO | This season | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| 13-12 | Record | 7-18 |
| 11-13 | ATS | 12-13 |
| 14-10 | O/U | 10-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GASO 78–79 GAST · ✓ GAST (53%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 27 | 37 | 64 |
| GAST | 37 | 29 | 66 |
1st half: GASO 27, GAST 37 (GAST by 10). The model had GAST by 0.3 and a total of 73.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| GASO | GAST | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-65 34% | Field goals | 21-64 33% |
| 10-36 28% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 18-19 95% |
| 39 10 off | Rebounds | 45 13 off |
| 11 | Assists | 8 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| GASO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spudd Webb G | 39 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-5 |
| Tyren Moore G | 32 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-11 | 4-8 |
| Alden Applewhite F | 31 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Nakavieon White F | 23 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Andres Burney F | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khayri Dunn G | 18 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-11 | 2-7 |
| Shainen Carter F | 18 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly G | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Tsvet Sotirov F | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Dwayne Williams Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Pavle Ridesic, Jayden Williams, Sean Van Dorn Jr., Cullen Schreiner, Amare Neal, Cade Lomas, Dallas Gardner
| GAST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Brown G | 34 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 7-18 | 3-7 |
| Jelani Hamilton G | 32 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 4-12 | 2-5 |
| Micah Tucker G | 31 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Christian Beam C | 25 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Joah Chappelle F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Scott F | 19 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Enoh F | 14 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ayouba Berthe G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Chris Jones G | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-1 |
| James Cooper F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kwame Tanic, Clash Peters, Manos Koveos, Isaiah Sherrard, Jakai Newton
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGASO -1.5
ModelGAST -0.8
Model edgeGAST +2.3
W GAST covered
Total
Market154.5
Model157.0
Model edgeOver 2.5
L Under
Projected score
GASO 78.1 · GAST 78.9
GASO 64 · GAST 66
Win probability
GAST 53%
1st half
Spread
GAST -0.3
GAST -10.0
Total
73.4
64 points
Projected score
GASO 36.5 · GAST 36.9
GASO 27 · GAST 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGAST -1.5
3 → GASO
CloseGASO -1.5
3 pts toward GASO
Total
Open153.5
▲ 1
Close154.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
GASO -125 · GAST +105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GAST -1.5 · closed GASO -1.5 · moved 3 toward GASOmodel GAST -1
model GAST -1
Opened 153.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GASO | 3-7 30% | 1-8 11% | 5-4 56% |
| GAST | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
GASO 4–6 GASTGAST leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · GASO 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025-26 | GAST 67 @ GASO 90 | GASO -9.5 | GASO W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | GASO 71 vs GAST 80 | GAST +2.5 | GAST W |
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | GAST 75 @ GASO 76 | GASO -5.5 | GAST W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | GASO 78 @ GAST 82 | GAST -2.5 | GAST W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | GAST 70 @ GASO 86 | GASO +2.5 | GASO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
GA Southern
25 games played
Straight up
13-12
52% wins
Against the spread
11-13
46% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-10
58% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ECU | L 89-92 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | vs UNCA | W 93-90 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | @ FGCU | W 95-94 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 18 | @ GT | L 66-68 | +10.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 21 | @ FSU | L 72-98 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 175.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 24 | vs YSU | L 61-67 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTSA | L 64-77 | -3.5 | L −16.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs HCU | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 3 | vs LT | W 77-69 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ GWEB | W 88-84 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ WGA | W 91-85 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 18 | vsGAST | W 90-67 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs JMU | W 96-92 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 1 | @ CCU | W 82-81 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ ODU | W 93-86 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 10 | @ USA | L 71-87 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsODU | W 87-84 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | vsCCU | L 75-79 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 22 | vs ARST | L 68-85 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 172.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 24 | vs TROY | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 30 | vs ULM | W 79-76 | — | — | — | — |
| Jan 31 | @ UL | L 60-69 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | vs TXST | L 71-77 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 11 | vs APP | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 14 | vs MRSH | W 101-87 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 162.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+2.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
−2.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+4.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
+8.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−7.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−4.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−16.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
+10.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+6.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
−6.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+2.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
+13.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+1.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+2.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+5.5
10
@USA
USAL 71-87
−13.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 87-84
−2.5
17
vsCCU
CCUL 75-79
−10.5
22
vsARST
ARSTL 68-85
−15.5
24
vsTROY
TROYL 78-83
−0.5
31
@UL
ULL 60-69
−11.5
4
vsTXST
TXSTL 71-77
−10.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 65-81
−14.5
14
vsMRSH
MRSHW 101-87
+16.5
covered 11didn’t cover 13avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ECU
ECUL 89-92
+29.5
8
vsUNCA
UNCAW 93-90
+20.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUW 95-94
+25.5
18
@GT
GTL 66-68
−30.5
21
@FSU
FSUL 72-98
−5.5
24
vsYSU
YSUL 61-67
−35.5
25
vsUTSA
UTSAL 64-77
−19.5
29
vsHCU
HCUW 80-62
−6.5
3
vsLT
LTW 77-69
+0.5
6
@GWEB
GWEBW 88-84
+9.5
13
@WGA
WGAW 91-85
+21.5
18
vsGAST
GASTW 90-67
−2.5
20
vsJMU
JMUW 96-92
+34.5
1
@CCU
CCUW 82-81
+5.5
3
@ODU
ODUW 93-86
+17.5
10
@USA
USAL 71-87
+9.5
15
vsODU
ODUW 87-84
+8.5
17
vsCCU
CCUL 75-79
−3.5
22
vsARST
ARSTL 68-85
−19.5
24
vsTROY
TROYL 78-83
+1.5
31
@UL
ULL 60-69
−15.5
4
vsTXST
TXSTL 71-77
−3.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 65-81
+2.5
14
vsMRSH
MRSHW 101-87
+25.5
over 14under 10avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia St
25 games played
Straight up
7-18
28% wins
Against the spread
12-13
48% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ EMU | L 49-71 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 7 | @ CIN | L 64-74 | +29.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs PRES | L 61-63 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 17 | @ ASU | L 62-75 | +18.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ SDST | L 58-105 | +12.5 | L −34.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 25 | vs SAM | L 63-78 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs NMSU | L 58-77 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 2 | @ MER | L 67-78 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ KENN | L 69-92 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 13 | vs JXST | W 77-73 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 18 | @GASO | L 67-90 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 20 | @APP | W 70-63 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @MRSH | L 80-84 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | @CCU | W 89-71 | +6.5 | W +24.5 | 148.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsAPP | L 50-52 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | vsMRSH | W 81-73 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ULM | W 77-57 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 22 | vs USM | W 69-62 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | vsARST | W 82-81 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 29 | @UL | L 72-82 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | @USA | L 67-69 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | vsTROY | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vs NIU | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 12 | @JMU | L 79-81 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ODU | L 55-78 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−18.5
7
@CIN
CINL 64-74
+19.5
10
vsPRES
PRESL 61-63
−5.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 62-75
+5.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 58-105
−34.5
25
vsSAM
SAML 63-78
−9.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUL 58-77
−6.5
2
@MER
MERL 67-78
−0.5
6
@KENN
KENNL 69-92
−8.5
13
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-73
+7.5
18
@GASO
GASOL 67-90
−13.5
20
@APP
APPW 70-63
+14.5
31
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+9.5
3
@CCU
CCUW 89-71
+24.5
8
vsAPP
APPL 50-52
−0.5
10
vsMRSH
MRSHW 81-73
+12.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 77-57
+13.5
22
vsUSM
USMW 69-62
+5.5
24
vsARST
ARSTW 82-81
+5.5
29
@UL
ULL 72-82
−11.5
31
@USA
USAL 67-69
+3.5
4
vsTROY
TROYL 63-74
−4.5
7
vsNIU
NIUL 74-75
−5.5
12
@JMU
JMUL 79-81
+3.5
14
@ODU
ODUL 55-78
−19.5
covered 12didn’t cover 13avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@EMU
EMUL 49-71
−29.5
7
@CIN
CINL 64-74
−13.5
10
vsPRES
PRESL 61-63
−17.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 62-75
−8.5
21
@SDST
SDSTL 58-105
+19.5
25
vsSAM
SAML 63-78
−5.5
26
vsNMSU
NMSUL 58-77
−1.5
2
@MER
MERL 67-78
−10.5
6
@KENN
KENNL 69-92
+2.5
13
vsJXST
JXSTW 77-73
+10.5
18
@GASO
GASOL 67-90
−2.5
20
@APP
APPW 70-63
−4.5
31
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+12.5
3
@CCU
CCUW 89-71
+11.5
8
vsAPP
APPL 50-52
−38.5
10
vsMRSH
MRSHW 81-73
+0.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 77-57
−21.5
22
vsUSM
USMW 69-62
−13.5
24
vsARST
ARSTW 82-81
+5.5
29
@UL
ULL 72-82
+24.5
31
@USA
USAL 67-69
−4.5
4
vsTROY
TROYL 63-74
−7.5
7
vsNIU
NIUL 74-75
+5.5
12
@JMU
JMUL 79-81
+15.5
14
@ODU
ODUL 55-78
−14.5
over 10under 15avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
GA Southern
13-12 overall · 7-7 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marshall101–87
- Lvs App State65–81
- Lvs Texas St71–77
- L@ Louisiana60–69
- Wvs UL Monroe79–76
5 days since their last game.
Georgia St
7-18 overall · 6-8 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Old Dominion55–78
- L@ James Madison79–81
- Lvs N Illinois74–75
- Lvs Troy63–74
- L@ South Alabama67–69
5 days since their last game.