Holmes Convocation Center · at App State · Conference game
Closing line
APP -5.5✓ APP covered by 2.5
APP -5.5✓ APP covered by 2.5Closing total131.5Under by 9.5
 USA | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 14-6 | Record | 13-9 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 14-8 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 8-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USA 64–67 APP · ✓ APP (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 23 | 34 | 57 |
| APP | 29 | 36 | 65 |
1st half: USA 23, APP 29 (APP by 6). The model had APP by 2.1 and a total of 61.3 (actual 52).
Team stats
| USA | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-54 37% | Field goals | 21-53 40% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 11-39 28% |
| 9-13 69% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 13 | Assists | 12 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 38 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-14 | 2-9 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 38 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 5-13 | 3-5 |
| Randy Brady F | 30 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Chaze Harris G | 27 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Broom G | 29 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| JJ Wheat G | 15 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Williams F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Samuel Shoptaw, Brian Hawthorne, Desmond Williams, Peyton Law, Maxwell Land
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Tot G | 39 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 8-18 | 7-17 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 38 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2-10 | 1-8 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 38 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 6-14 | 2-9 |
| Luke Wilson C | 33 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eren Banks G | 32 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Chad Moodie F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacari Brim G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrin Njock, KJ Vasser, Luke Ledford, Ted Neal, Tre McKinnon, Cameron O'Kelley, Grant Clayton, Jason Clarke Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPP -5.5
ModelAPP -3.7
Model edgeUSA +1.8
L APP covered
Total
Market131.5
Model130.8
Model edgeUnder 0.7
W Under
Projected score
USA 63.5 · APP 67.2
USA 57 · APP 65
Win probability
APP 63%
1st half
Spread
APP -2.1
APP -6.0
Total
61.3
52 points
Projected score
USA 29.6 · APP 31.7
USA 23 · APP 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -5.5
no move
CloseAPP -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open128.5
▲ 3
Close131.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
USA +205 · APP -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -5.5 · unchangedmodel APP -3.5
model APP -3.5
Opened 128.5 · closed 131.5 · moved 3 upmodel 131
model 131
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| APP | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USA 2–3 APPAPP leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · USA 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | APP 91 @ USA 84 | USA +2.5 | APP W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | APP 61 vs USA 68 | USA -3.5 | USA W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | APP 57 @ USA 74 | USA -3.5 | USA W |
| Feb 19, 2021-22 | USA 51 @ APP 69 | APP +1 | APP W |
| Jan 6, 2021-22 | APP 72 @ USA 64 | USA -5 | APP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Alabama
20 games played
Straight up
14-6
70% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @ TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @ UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @ TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vs GASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs ARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vs CCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vs GAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
over 10under 10avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
22 games played
Straight up
13-9
59% wins
Against the spread
14-8
64% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-14
36% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vsCCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vsGAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @ MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 10 | @CCU | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vsJMU | W 80-65 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsODU | L 73-75 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 22 | vsUL | W 72-58 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 23 | vsULM | W 59-43 | -16.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 102 |
| Jan 29 | @ USM | W 70-63 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | @TROY | W 66-44 | +7.5 | W +29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−6.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+12.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
−9.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−0.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
+5.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
+29.5
covered 14didn’t cover 8avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
10
@CCU
CCUL 62-67
−4.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 80-65
+11.5
17
vsODU
ODUL 73-75
+7.5
22
vsUL
ULW 72-58
+5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 59-43
−42.5
29
@USM
USMW 70-63
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYW 66-44
−27.5
over 8under 14avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Alabama
14-6 overall · 7-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia St69–67
- Wvs Coastal53–48
- W@ James Madison90–83
- Lvs Louisiana56–59
- Wvs Arkansas St91–87
4 days since their last game.
App State
13-9 overall · 8-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Troy66–44
- W@ Southern Miss70–63
- Wvs UL Monroe59–43
- Wvs Louisiana72–58
- Lvs Old Dominion73–75
4 days since their last game.