Colonial Life Arena · at South Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
LSU -2.5✓ LSU covered by 2.5
LSU -2.5✓ LSU covered by 2.5Closing total147.5Over by 31.5
| LSU | This season | SC |
|---|---|---|
| 13-8 | Record | 11-10 |
| 12-9 | ATS | 9-12 |
| 9-12 | O/U | 12-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 78–74 SC · ✓ LSU (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 36 | 42 | 14 | 92 |
| SC | 35 | 43 | 9 | 87 |
1st half: LSU 36, SC 35 (LSU by 1). The model had LSU by 2.4 and a total of 70.9 (actual 71).
Team stats
| LSU | SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-60 52% | Field goals | 28-69 41% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 21-25 84% | Free throws | 22-31 71% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 34 14 off |
| 23 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon G | 40 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6-15 | 3-6 |
| Rashad King G | 39 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-6 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 38 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 28 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 23 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 9-13 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| PJ Carter G | 23 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Robert Miller III F | 20 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Reece G | 14 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Matt Gilhool, Jaden Bobbett, Marcus Vaughn, Ron Zipper, Mazi Mosley, Jalen Reed, Dedan Thomas Jr.
| SC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Sharavjamts G | 39 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-11 | 1-2 |
| Meechie Johnson G | 37 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| Kobe Knox G | 37 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Strong F | 23 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Myles Stute G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli Ellis G | 31 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 3-5 |
| EJ Walker F | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Grant Polk G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Hayden Assemian F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Abu Yarmah, Nordin Kapic, Christ Essandoko, Eli Sparkman, Cam Scott, Jordan Butler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLSU -2.5
ModelLSU -3.8
Model edgeLSU +1.3
W LSU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model151.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
W Over
Projected score
LSU 77.7 · SC 73.8
LSU 92 · SC 87
Win probability
LSU 63%
1st half
Spread
LSU -2.4
LSU -1.0
Total
70.9
71 points
Projected score
LSU 36.7 · SC 34.3
LSU 36 · SC 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLSU -2.5
no move
CloseLSU -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
LSU -148 · SC +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LSU -2.5 · unchangedmodel LSU -4
model LSU -4
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| SC | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LSU 2–3 SCSC leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · LSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025-26 | SC 78 @ LSU 68 | LSU -7.5 | SC W |
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | SC 67 @ LSU 81 | LSU -2.5 | LSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | LSU 64 @ SC 63 | SC -7.5 | LSU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | SC 82 @ LSU 73 | LSU -7.5 | SC W |
| Feb 19, 2021-22 | LSU 75 @ SC 77 | SC +4.5 | SC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
21 games played
Straight up
13-8
62% wins
Against the spread
12-9
57% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-12
43% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs PV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vsSC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs UK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIZ | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | @ FLA | L 61-79 | +15.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ ARK | L 81-85 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 28 | vs MSST | L 66-80 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
+6.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−2.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+6.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−21.5
covered 12didn’t cover 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
−0.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−18.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+2.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−8.5
over 9under 12avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Carolina
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NCAT | W 91-72 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 9 | vsUSM | W 83-79 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | vs PRES | W 81-61 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs RAD | W 87-58 | -10.5 | W +18.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs BTLR | L 72-79 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs NU | L 77-79 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs CHSO | W 74-62 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs VT | L 83-86 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs STET | W 82-51 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIT | W 71-55 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | @ CLEM | L 61-68 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 22 | vs SCST | W 95-70 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 30 | vs UALB | W 96-67 | -19.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vsVAN | L 71-83 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 6 | @LSU | W 78-68 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs UGA | L 70-75 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ARK | L 74-108 | +12.5 | L −21.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 17 | @ AUB | L 67-71 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | vs OU | W 85-76 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @TA&M | L 69-92 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 28 | vsFLA | L 48-95 | +13.5 | L −33.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNCAT
NCATW 91-72
−3.5
9
vsUSM
USMW 83-79
−13.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 81-61
+3.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 87-58
+18.5
21
vsBTLR
BTLRL 72-79
−3.5
23
vsNU
NUL 77-79
+2.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOW 74-62
−5.5
2
vsVT
VTL 83-86
−5.5
6
vsSTET
STETW 82-51
+8.5
13
vsCIT
CITW 71-55
−6.5
16
@CLEM
CLEML 61-68
+5.5
22
vsSCST
SCSTW 95-70
−6.5
30
vsUALB
UALBW 96-67
+9.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 71-83
−2.5
6
@LSU
LSUW 78-68
+17.5
10
vsUGA
UGAL 70-75
−0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 74-108
−21.5
17
@AUB
AUBL 67-71
+9.5
20
vsOU
OUW 85-76
+11.5
24
@TA&M
TA&ML 69-92
−12.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 48-95
−33.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNCAT
NCATW 91-72
+19.5
9
vsUSM
USMW 83-79
+14.5
12
vsPRES
PRESW 81-61
+4.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 87-58
−8.5
21
vsBTLR
BTLRL 72-79
+0.5
23
vsNU
NUL 77-79
+9.5
28
vsCHSO
CHSOW 74-62
−14.5
2
vsVT
VTL 83-86
+19.5
6
vsSTET
STETW 82-51
−9.5
13
vsCIT
CITW 71-55
−15.5
16
@CLEM
CLEML 61-68
−13.5
22
vsSCST
SCSTW 95-70
+15.5
30
vsUALB
UALBW 96-67
+14.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 71-83
−1.5
6
@LSU
LSUW 78-68
+0.5
10
vsUGA
UGAL 70-75
−18.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 74-108
+26.5
17
@AUB
AUBL 67-71
−14.5
20
vsOU
OUW 85-76
+10.5
24
@TA&M
TA&ML 69-92
+5.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 48-95
−8.5
over 12under 9avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
13-8 overall · 1-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Mississippi St66–80
- L@ Arkansas81–85
- L@ Florida61–79
- Wvs Missouri78–70
- Lvs Kentucky74–75
3 days since their last game.
South Carolina
11-10 overall · 2-6 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida48–95
- L@ Texas A&M69–92
- Wvs Oklahoma85–76
- L@ Auburn67–71
- L@ Arkansas74–108
3 days since their last game.