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College game flow: when games go over and when the cover is settled

When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?

Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. FBS games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.

When did they go over?

75 games · 2026 · Week 3 · pick one to list those games
Went overAll games75100%By halftime00%In Q31520%In Q42939%In OT00%Stayed under3141%
Last 5 minutesCover changed hands912%Over cashed1115%Leader lost the game34%
59% went over. Of the 44 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 34% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 22% of games.

All 75 games

2026 · Week 3 · newest first · showing 50
GameLineTotalPoints by quarterOverCover settledFinal
2026 · Week 3
 UCLA -13.5 53.5 28456990 Q3 UCLA Q4 38–52
MONT @ ORST
2026 · Week 3
 ORST -17.5 55.5 14385269 Q4 ORST Q2 17–52
2026 · Week 3
 FRES -4 47.5 391636 U FRES Q3 26–10
2026 · Week 3
 ARIZ -34.5 50.5 17384559 Q4 NIU Q1 17–42
2026 · Week 3
 NDSU -26.5 50.5 21313141 U SAC Q1 31–10
SDAK @ BOIS
2026 · Week 3
 BOIS -28.5 61.5 14354562 Q4 SDAK Q1
Late over
 24–38
2026 · Week 3
 SDSU -3 46.5 10192639 U JMU Q1 26–13
2026 · Week 3
 APP -16.5 52.5 3202647 U CLT Q1 21–26
2026 · Week 3
 BYU -17.5 54.5 28384564 Q4 BYU Q2 41–23
2026 · Week 3
 TEX -29.5 58.5 13232936 U UTSA Q1 6–30
2026 · Week 3
 TCU -18.5 56.5 7212838 U TCU Q4
Late cover flip
 7–31
ETAM @ TLSA
2026 · Week 3
 TLSA -41.5 55.5 7142842 U TLSA Q4
Late cover flip
 0–42
2026 · Week 3
 UL -7 55.5 7282835 U Push 14–21
2026 · Week 3
 TENN -35.5 60.5 18243851 U KENN Q1
Late cover flip
 9–42
2026 · Week 3
 ND -28.5 51.5 10273037 U MSU Q1 10–27
2026 · Week 3
 LSU -3 58.5 10314556 U MISS Q1 24–32
2026 · Week 3
 OU -21.5 45.5 0132020 U UNM Q1 6–14
2026 · Week 3
 UVA -10.5 51.5 21354965 Q4 WVU Q1 38–27
2026 · Week 3
 NU -3.5 47.5 7214248 Q4 NU Q1
Late over
 7–41
2026 · Week 3
 VT -2.5 53.5 7414961 Q4 VT Q1 35–26
UND @ NEB
2026 · Week 3
 NEB -27.5 56.5 14173141 U UND Q1 7–34
EWU @ WASH
2026 · Week 3
 WASH -42.5 58.5 17415164 Q4 EWU Q1
Late over
 16–48
2026 · Week 3
 MIZ -26.5 49.5 10414144 U TROY Q1 17–27
2026 · Week 3
 FLA -2.5 53.5 10375883 Q3 FLA Q1 44–39
2026 · Week 3
 UCF -17.5 50.5 24446174 Q3 GAST Q1 30–44
MUR @ OKST
2026 · Week 3
 OKST -56.5 70.5 14315259 U OKST Q4 0–59
2026 · Week 3
 CONN -3.5 54.5 17335468 Q4 CONN Q1 48–20
UTM @ MEM
2026 · Week 3
 MEM -33.5 58.5 10313866 Q4 UTM Q1 21–45
2026 · Week 3
 WMU -8.5 43.5 7212849 Q4 RICE Q1
Late over
 28–21
DSU @ USF
2026 · Week 3
 USF -37.5 59.5 21455976 Q4 USF Q4 17–59
2026 · Week 3
 NEV -3.5 50.5 14203447 U MTSU Q1 20–27
2026 · Week 3
 USA -7 49.5 21315277 Q3 OHIO Q4
Late cover flip
 36–41
2026 · Week 3
 JXST -3.5 51.5 3344458 Q4 JXST Q4 27–31
NICH @ SHSU
2026 · Week 3
 SHSU -21 50.5 10315259 Q3 SHSU Q2 0–59
2026 · Week 3
 MRSH -4 52.5 24275154 Q4 MRSH Q4 30–24
2026 · Week 3
 ODU -2.5 48.5 7273437 U ECU Q3 20–17
2026 · Week 3
 FAU -5.5 62.5 10172326 U FAU Q3 10–16
2026 · Week 3
 SC -3 59.5 13375475 Q4 MSST Q3 41–34
2026 · Week 3
 ALA -18.5 50.5 17476886 Q3 FSU Q1 36–50
SELA @ ULM
2026 · Week 3
 ULM -9.5 48.5 7375173 Q3 SELA Q1 38–35
2026 · Week 3
 IU -44.5 59.5 0143138 U WKU Q1 0–38
UNI @ IOWA
2026 · Week 3
 IOWA -37.5 48.5 21424955 Q3 IOWA Q2 0–55
2026 · Week 3
 DUKE -9.5 51.5 0213542 U DUKE Q3 7–35
2026 · Week 3
 LIB -14.5 49.5 20305266 Q3 LIB Q2 15–51
2026 · Week 3
 BAY -20.5 50.5 14273655 Q4 LT Q4
Late over
 19–36
2026 · Week 3
 TA&M -16.5 48.5 0143552 Q4 UK Q1
Late over
 31–21
2026 · Week 3
 USC -21 59.5 17346377 Q3 RUTG Q1 42–35
2026 · Week 3
 LOU -3 57.5 21315272 Q4 LOU Q3 31–41
2026 · Week 3
 UTAH -26.5 55.5 16263333 U UTAH Q3 0–33
2026 · Week 3
 MICH -34.5 48.5 7315969 Q3 MICH Q4
Late cover flip
 17–52
Final score is away–home. Points by quarter are combined points at the end of each quarter; the highlighted one is when the over cashed.Show 75

When was the cover settled?

From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 49% 37
Q2 9% 7
Q3 19% 14
Q4 21% 16
OT 0% 0
Push 1% 1
The team leading at halftime won 86% and covered 57% of 72 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 93% and covered 60% of 72 games

Going into the 4th quarter

Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
Points neededGamesWent over
Already over15100% 15
1–36100% 6
4–76100% 6
8–10683% 5
11–141050% 5
15–17863% 5
18–21633% 2
22+180% 0
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.