The Super Pit · at North Texas · Conference game
Closing line
UNT -10.5✓ ECU covered by 14.5
UNT -10.5✓ ECU covered by 14.5Closing total134.5Under by 12.5
 ECU | This season | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| 4-14 | Record | 10-7 |
| 5-13 | ATS | 11-6 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 6-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ECU 62–71 UNT · ✗ UNT (79%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 28 | 35 | 63 |
| UNT | 23 | 36 | 59 |
1st half: ECU 28, UNT 23 (ECU by 5). The model had UNT by 5.5 and a total of 62.2 (actual 51).
Team stats
| ECU | UNT | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-47 43% | Field goals | 22-63 35% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 4-20 20% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 43 13 off | Rebounds | 28 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 7 | Blocks | 2 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| ECU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley G | 39 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-2 |
| Giovanni Emejuru C | 39 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Corey Caulker G | 35 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Demitri Gardner G | 30 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Reid Cason F | 26 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli DeLaurier C | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Mbeng G | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Tybo Bailey G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vito Perkovic F | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trevion LaBeaux, Ladontae Felton, Luke Davis, Jayshayne Woodard, Daithi Quinn, Jake Baker, Patrick D'Arcy, Grant Smith
| UNT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Terrell Jr. G | 36 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4-15 | 1-4 |
| Dylan Arnett F | 36 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson G | 35 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 6-18 | 0-5 |
| Reece Robinson F | 25 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Cole Franklin G | 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cahmai Crosby G | 20 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. F | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| EJ Horton G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Demarion Watson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Will McClendon, Josiah Shackleford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNT -10.5
ModelUNT -9.4
Model edgeECU +1.1
W ECU covered
Total
Market134.5
Model132.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
W Under
Projected score
ECU 61.7 · UNT 71.1
ECU 63 · UNT 59
Win probability
UNT 79%
1st half
Spread
UNT -5.5
ECU -5.0
Total
62.2
51 points
Projected score
ECU 28.4 · UNT 33.8
ECU 28 · UNT 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNT -9.5
1 → UNT
CloseUNT -10.5
1 pt toward UNT
Total
Open134.5
no move
Close134.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ECU +440 · UNT -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNT -9.5 · closed UNT -10.5 · moved 1 toward UNTmodel UNT -9.5
model UNT -9.5
Opened 134.5 · unchangedmodel 132.5
model 132.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ECU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| UNT | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ECU 0–3 UNTUNT leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UNT has won the last 3 meetings · ECU 1-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | UNT 69 @ ECU 60 | ECU +2.5 | UNT W |
| Mar 3, 2023-24 | ECU 69 @ UNT 84 | UNT -9.5 | UNT W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | UNT 60 @ ECU 59 | ECU +2.5 | ECU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
East Carolina
18 games played
Straight up
4-14
22% wins
Against the spread
5-13
28% covers · avg −5.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs GASO | W 92-89 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | @ RICH | L 72-87 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNCW | L 60-85 | +6.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs CHSO | L 65-77 | -13.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSU | L 56-89 | +19.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs SBU | L 58-67 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 2 | vs UMES | W 68-56 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCG | L 78-82 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 11 | vs APP | L 54-67 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs BUF | W 73-70 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRES | W 74-53 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 22 | @ UNC | L 51-99 | +25.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 31 | vs TULN | L 70-79 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 7 | @ TEM | L 67-75 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 11 | vs UAB | L 85-87 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | @ USF | L 71-82 | +18.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 18 | vs CLT | L 70-73 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 21 | @ WICH | L 60-77 | +12.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
−2.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
−9.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−18.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−25.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
−13.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
+1.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−0.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
−11.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 54-67
−17.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
+1.5
17
vsPRES
PRESW 74-53
+16.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 51-99
−22.5
31
vsTULN
TULNL 70-79
−7.5
7
@TEM
TEML 67-75
−0.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 85-87
+5.5
14
@USF
USFL 71-82
+7.5
18
vsCLT
CLTL 70-73
−4.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 60-77
−4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 13avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
+29.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
+15.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−0.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−15.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
+4.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
−19.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−3.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
+20.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 54-67
−9.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
−3.5
17
vsPRES
PRESW 74-53
−4.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 51-99
+5.5
31
vsTULN
TULNL 70-79
+3.5
7
@TEM
TEML 67-75
−1.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 85-87
+21.5
14
@USF
USFL 71-82
−5.5
18
vsCLT
CLTL 70-73
+3.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 60-77
−7.5
over 8under 10avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Texas
17 games played
Straight up
10-7
59% wins
Against the spread
11-6
65% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-11
35% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs NWST | W 80-53 | -11.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 9 | vs LUC | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORST | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ SMC | L 49-80 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | O 129 |
| Nov 20 | vs CARK | W 74-56 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs EWU | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs PV | W 72-69 | -16.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 2 | vs HCU | W 77-75 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 127.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 7 | vs TCU | L 55-65 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 14 | @ USA | W 58-57 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | vs SCU | L 60-63 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @ MEM | L 48-57 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Jan 4 | vs TLSA | W 72-67 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 7 | vsUSF | L 70-74 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 11 | @WICH | L 67-78 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 18 | @TULN | W 71-63 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 21 | vs UTSA | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
+15.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
+3.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
+1.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
−16.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
+1.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
−4.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−13.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
−9.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−0.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
+2.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
+9.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
+0.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAW 72-67
+7.5
7
vsUSF
USFL 70-74
+0.5
11
@WICH
WICHL 67-78
−2.5
18
@TULN
TULNW 71-63
+9.5
21
vsUTSA
UTSAW 81-62
+3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 6avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsNWST
NWSTW 80-53
−4.5
9
vsLUC
LUCW 64-62
−12.5
12
@ORST
ORSTL 64-66
−4.5
14
@SMC
SMCL 49-80
+0.5
20
vsCARK
CARKW 74-56
−4.5
25
vsEWU
EWUW 79-71
+8.5
30
vsPV
PVW 72-69
−0.5
2
vsHCU
HCUW 77-75
+24.5
7
vsTCU
TCUL 55-65
−15.5
14
@USA
USAW 58-57
−20.5
17
vsSCU
SCUL 60-63
−16.5
31
@MEM
MEML 48-57
−32.5
4
vsTLSA
TLSAW 72-67
+0.5
7
vsUSF
USFL 70-74
−3.5
11
@WICH
WICHL 67-78
+9.5
18
@TULN
TULNW 71-63
−3.5
21
vsUTSA
UTSAW 81-62
+4.5
over 6under 11avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
East Carolina
4-14 overall · 0-6 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wichita St60–77
- Lvs Charlotte70–73
- L@ South Florida71–82
- Lvs UAB85–87
- L@ Temple67–75
2 days since their last game.
North Texas
10-7 overall · 3-3 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTSA81–62
- W@ Tulane71–63
- L@ Wichita St67–78
- Lvs South Florida70–74
- Wvs Tulsa72–67
2 days since their last game.