United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech · Conference game
Closing line
HOU -1.5✓ TTU covered by 5.5
HOU -1.5✓ TTU covered by 5.5Closing total141.5Over by 34.5
| HOU | This season | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| 17-1 | Record | 15-4 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 8-10 | O/U | 9-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOU 71–69 TTU · ✗ HOU (58%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 49 | 37 | 86 |
| TTU | 55 | 35 | 90 |
1st half: HOU 49, TTU 55 (TTU by 6). The model had HOU by 1.5 and a total of 65.8 (actual 104).
Team stats
| HOU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-60 48% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 11-28 39% | 3-pointers | 12-29 41% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 24-30 80% |
| 28 11 off | Rebounds | 44 21 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 1 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 25 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston Flemings G | 38 | 42 | 2 | 6 | 15-26 | 4-9 |
| Milos Uzan G | 38 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 35 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 6-16 | 3-8 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 23 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 18 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Isiah Harwell G | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Chase McCarty F | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Cedric Lath, Bryce Jackson, Jacob McFarland, Kordel Jefferson, Mercy Miller
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 40 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| JT Toppin F | 40 | 31 | 12 | 3 | 12-24 | 0-5 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 37 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 5-8 | 5-8 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 31 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 22 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyeree Bryan G | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Moseley F | 10 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Nolan Groves, Leon Horner, Marial Akuentok, Jazz Henderson Jr., LaTrell Hoover, Jack Francis, Luke Bamgboye
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOU -1.5
ModelHOU -2.2
Model edgeHOU +0.7
L TTU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model140.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
L Over
Projected score
HOU 71.3 · TTU 69.1
HOU 86 · TTU 90
Win probability
HOU 58%
1st half
Spread
HOU -1.5
TTU -6.0
Total
65.8
104 points
Projected score
HOU 33.6 · TTU 32.2
HOU 49 · TTU 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -3.5
2 → TTU
CloseHOU -1.5
2 pts toward TTU
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
HOU -115 · TTU -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -3.5 · closed HOU -1.5 · moved 2 toward TTUmodel HOU -2
model HOU -2
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 10-0 100% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
| TTU | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
HOU 4–1 TTUHOU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · HOU has won the last 2 meetings · HOU 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025-26 | TTU 65 @ HOU 69 | HOU -7.5 | TTU W |
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | HOU 69 @ TTU 61 | TTU +4.5 | HOU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | TTU 82 @ HOU 81 | HOU -9.5 | TTU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | TTU 59 vs HOU 82 | HOU -10.5 | HOU W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | TTU 54 @ HOU 77 | HOU -13.5 | HOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Houston
18 games played
Straight up
17-1
94% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @ CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vsTTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vs WVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vs ASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
over 8under 10avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas Tech
19 games played
Straight up
15-4
79% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vsNOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vsARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DUKE | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs WIN | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs OKST | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | @HOU | L 65-69 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ COLO | W 73-71 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | vs UTAH | W 88-74 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs BYU | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 20 | @BAY | W 92-73 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
+12.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+9.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
+3.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−3.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
−3.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
+10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+17.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
−19.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+14.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
−8.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−17.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
+2.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
−10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+10.5
over 9under 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Houston
17-1 overall · 5-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arizona St103–73
- Wvs West Virginia77–48
- W@ Baylor77–55
- Wvs Texas Tech69–65
- W@ Cincinnati67–60
6 days since their last game.
Texas Tech
15-4 overall · 5-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Baylor92–73
- Wvs BYU84–71
- Wvs Utah88–74
- W@ Colorado73–71
- L@ Houston65–69
4 days since their last game.