McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona · Conference game
Closing line
ARIZ -21.5✓ ASU covered by 14.5
ARIZ -21.5✓ ASU covered by 14.5Closing total167.5Over by 3.5
 ASU | This season | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | Record | 16-0 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 10-6 |
| 10-6 | O/U | 10-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ASU 71–92 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 39 | 43 | 82 |
| ARIZ | 38 | 51 | 89 |
1st half: ASU 39, ARIZ 38 (ASU by 1). The model had ARIZ by 12.0 and a total of 76.3 (actual 77).
Team stats
| ASU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-67 48% | Field goals | 32-59 54% |
| 11-25 44% | 3-pointers | 4-11 36% |
| 7-11 64% | Free throws | 21-26 81% |
| 28 10 off | Rebounds | 39 11 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 7 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| ASU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Odum G | 32 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 9-24 | 4-11 |
| Massamba Diop C | 29 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Johnson G | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-11 | 0-2 |
| Santiago Trouet F | 25 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Allen Mukeba F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Meeusen G | 30 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 4-5 | 4-5 |
| Bryce Ford G | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Andrija Grbovic F | 22 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
Did not play: Jovan Icitovic, Vijay Wallace, Dame Salane, Trevor Best, Quentin McCoy, Kash Polk, Marcus Adams Jr., Adante' Holiman
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koa Peat F | 35 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 9-15 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 32 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 6-15 | 0-1 |
| Brayden Burries G | 30 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 29 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 24 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 8-11 | 1-1 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 18 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Sidi Gueye, Sven Djopmo, Jackson Cook, Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Addison Arnold, Evan Nelson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -21.5
ModelARIZ -20.4
Model edgeASU +1.1
W ASU covered
Total
Market167.5
Model163.0
Model edgeUnder 4.5
L Over
Projected score
ASU 71.3 · ARIZ 91.7
ASU 82 · ARIZ 89
Win probability
ARIZ 96%
1st half
Spread
ARIZ -12.0
ASU -1.0
Total
76.3
77 points
Projected score
ASU 32.2 · ARIZ 44.2
ASU 39 · ARIZ 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -21.5
no move
CloseARIZ -21.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▲ 4
Close167.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
ASU +1600 · ARIZ -4000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -21.5 · unchangedmodel ARIZ -20.5
model ARIZ -20.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 4 upmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| ARIZ | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ASU 1–8 ARIZARIZ leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ARIZ has won the last 5 meetings · ASU 3-5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | ASU 100 @ ARIZ 113 | ARIZ -18.5 | ASU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | ARIZ 81 @ ASU 72 | ASU +6.5 | ARIZ W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | ARIZ 85 @ ASU 67 | ASU +11.5 | ARIZ W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | ASU 60 @ ARIZ 105 | ARIZ -18.5 | ARIZ W |
| Mar 10, 2022-23 | ASU 59 vs ARIZ 78 | ARIZ -6.5 | ARIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona St
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs SUU | W 81-64 | -17.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 9 | vs UTU | W 81-66 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs GONZ | L 65-77 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 17 | vs GAST | W 75-62 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 20 | @ HAW | W 83-76 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEX | W 87-86 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 25 | vs WSU | W 100-94 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 26 | vs USC | L 75-88 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs OU | W 86-70 | +5.5 | W +21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 9 | vs NAU | W 73-48 | -16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs SCU | W 82-79 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCLA | L 77-90 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 21 | vs ORST | L 75-78 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs COLO | L 89-95 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | @ BYU | L 76-104 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs KSU | W 87-84 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−0.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
+2.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
+1.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−5.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+8.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+7.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+1.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
−8.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
+21.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
+8.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+4.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
−3.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
−15.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
−7.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
−10.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsSUU
SUUW 81-64
−6.5
9
vsUTU
UTUW 81-66
−5.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 65-77
−16.5
17
vsGAST
GASTW 75-62
−8.5
20
@HAW
HAWW 83-76
+15.5
24
vsTEX
TEXW 87-86
+19.5
25
vsWSU
WSUW 100-94
+36.5
26
vsUSC
USCL 75-88
+1.5
6
vsOU
OUW 86-70
−1.5
9
vsNAU
NAUW 73-48
−33.5
13
vsSCU
SCUW 82-79
+6.5
17
@UCLA
UCLAL 77-90
+24.5
21
vsORST
ORSTL 75-78
+5.5
3
vsCOLO
COLOL 89-95
+27.5
7
@BYU
BYUL 76-104
+11.5
10
vsKSU
KSUW 87-84
+1.5
over 10under 6avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
16 games played
Straight up
16-0
100% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-6
63% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vsUTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vsNAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vsUCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vsKSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
over 10under 6avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona St
10-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas St87–84
- L@ BYU76–104
- Lvs Colorado89–95
- Lvs Oregon St75–78
- L@ UCLA77–90
4 days since their last game.
Arizona
16-0 overall · 3-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ TCU86–73
- Wvs Kansas St101–76
- W@ Utah97–78
- Wvs S Dakota St99–71
- Wvs Bethune107–71
4 days since their last game.