Mackey Arena · at Purdue · Conference game
Closing line
PUR -16.5✓ WASH covered by 8.5
PUR -16.5✓ WASH covered by 8.5Closing total154.5Under by 0.5
 WASH | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | Record | 13-1 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 5-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WASH 68–85 PUR · ✓ PUR (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 28 | 45 | 73 |
| PUR | 45 | 36 | 81 |
1st half: WASH 28, PUR 45 (PUR by 17). The model had PUR by 9.6 and a total of 71.7 (actual 73).
Team stats
| WASH | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-63 44% | Field goals | 34-60 57% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 5-15 33% |
| 9-12 75% | Free throws | 8-12 67% |
| 25 9 off | Rebounds | 37 11 off |
| 18 | Assists | 19 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimari Peterson G | 35 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 5-14 | 5-12 |
| Hannes Steinbach F | 29 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 28 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5-9 | 1-1 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 27 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Desmond Claude G | 25 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryson Tucker F | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| JJ Mandaquit G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Nikola Dzepina F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Courtland Muldrew G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Christian Nitu, BJ Roy, Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Lathan Sommerville, Wesley Yates III, Jacob Ognacevic
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 33 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 30 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| C.J. Cox G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Braden Smith G | 28 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 10-15 | 1-2 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gicarri Harris G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Omer Mayer G | 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Jack Benter G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Sam King, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr, Liam Murphy, Raleigh Burgess
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -16.5
ModelPUR -16.3
Model edgeWASH +0.2
W WASH covered
Total
Market154.5
Model153.1
Model edgeUnder 1.4
W Under
Projected score
WASH 68.4 · PUR 84.7
WASH 73 · PUR 81
Win probability
PUR 92%
1st half
Spread
PUR -9.6
PUR -17.0
Total
71.7
73 points
Projected score
WASH 31 · PUR 40.7
WASH 28 · PUR 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -15.5
1 → PUR
ClosePUR -16.5
1 pt toward PUR
Total
Open151.5
▲ 3
Close154.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
WASH +1000 · PUR -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -15.5 · closed PUR -16.5 · moved 1 toward PURmodel PUR -16.5 matches the line
model PUR -16.5 = line ✓
Opened 151.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 3 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| PUR | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
WASH 0–1 PURPUR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · WASH 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | PUR 69 @ WASH 58 | WASH +7.5 | PUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Washington
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UAPB | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs DEN | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ BAY | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ WSU | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs SOU | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs NEV | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLO | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vs UCLA | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ USC | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs SUU | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ SEA | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs USD | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs UTAH | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ IU | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
+9.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
−13.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−2.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
+3.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
−17.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+13.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−15.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+0.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+12.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+10.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−11.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
+11.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−3.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUAPB
UAPBW 94-50
−16.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 84-70
+0.5
9
@BAY
BAYL 69-78
−9.5
14
@WSU
WSUW 81-69
−8.5
18
vsSOU
SOUW 99-93
+34.5
27
vsNEV
NEVW 83-66
+3.5
28
vsCOLO
COLOL 68-81
−2.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 80-82
+20.5
6
@USC
USCW 84-76
+5.5
13
vsSUU
SUUW 105-69
+20.5
19
@SEA
SEAL 66-70
−15.5
22
vsUSD
USDW 86-56
−17.5
29
vsUTAH
UTAHW 74-65
−18.5
4
@IU
IUL 80-90
+17.5
over 7under 7avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
14 games played
Straight up
13-1
93% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-9
36% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs AUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
over 5under 9avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Washington
9-5 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Indiana80–90
- Wvs Utah74–65
- Wvs San Diego86–56
- L@ Seattle U66–70
- Wvs Southern Utah105–69
3 days since their last game.
Purdue
13-1 overall · 3-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Wisconsin89–73
- Wvs Kent State101–60
- Wvs Auburn88–60
- Wvs Marquette79–59
- Wvs Minnesota85–57
4 days since their last game.