Physical Education Complex · at Coppin St
Closing line
UMBC -10.5✓ UMBC covered by 23.5
UMBC -10.5✓ UMBC covered by 23.5Closing total148.5Over by 3.5
| UMBC | This season | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 1-14 |
| 4-6 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 4-6 | O/U | 10-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMBC 80–70 COPP · ✓ UMBC (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 40 | 53 | 93 |
| COPP | 34 | 25 | 59 |
1st half: UMBC 40, COPP 34 (UMBC by 6). The model had UMBC by 6.2 and a total of 70.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| UMBC | COPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-63 52% | Field goals | 21-57 37% |
| 14-29 48% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 13-23 57% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 45 12 off | Rebounds | 28 6 off |
| 22 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UMBC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine G | 33 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 8-10 | 3-4 |
| Caden Diggs F | 32 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-2 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. G | 30 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 10-16 | 8-14 |
| Josh Odunowo F | 23 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Riley Jacobs F | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cougar Downing G | 17 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn F | 16 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Daylon Dickerson F | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Tim Eze F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Paul Greene F | 5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Saahil Thakkar G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jah'Likai King, Jake Stout, Regimantas Ciunys, Devin Ceaser
| COPP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baasil Saunders G | 30 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Khali Horton F | 25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Torrin Andrews G | 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Taj Thweatt F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Chris Morgan F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamari Piercy G | 26 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-2 |
| Hassan Perkins G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Hussain Williams G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Tyler Koenig F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Favour Aire C | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Nelson Lamizana F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Daveyon Lydner G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Brown G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Demariontay Hall, Camaren Sparrow, Macahi Nelson, Elijah Taylor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUMBC -10.5
ModelUMBC -10.0
Model edgeCOPP +0.5
L UMBC covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
W Over
Projected score
UMBC 80 · COPP 70
UMBC 93 · COPP 59
Win probability
UMBC 81%
1st half
Spread
UMBC -6.2
UMBC -6.0
Total
70.2
74 points
Projected score
UMBC 38.2 · COPP 32
UMBC 40 · COPP 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUMBC -11.5
1 → COPP
CloseUMBC -10.5
1 pt toward COPP
Total
Open151.5
▼ 3
Close148.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UMBC -625 · COPP +455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UMBC -11.5 · closed UMBC -10.5 · moved 1 toward COPPmodel UMBC -10
model UMBC -10
Opened 151.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 3 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMBC | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| COPP | 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UMBC 2–1 COPPUMBC leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · UMBC 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024-25 | COPP 67 @ UMBC 92 | UMBC -12.5 | UMBC W |
| Nov 30, 2023-24 | UMBC 70 @ COPP 89 | COPP +9.5 | COPP W |
| Nov 30, 2022-23 | COPP 82 @ UMBC 109 | UMBC -1.5 | UMBC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UMBC
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ DAY | L 71-77 | +25.5 | W +19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ MORG | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 16 | vs WAG | W 71-70 | -6.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 19 | @ GW | L 52-89 | +22.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 29 | vs DSU | W 71-57 | -13.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | @ GTWN | L 81-90 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 149.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 6 | @ BUCK | W 73-66 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs BUF | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 12 | vs ARMY | L 60-63 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 21 | @ USF | L 69-94 | +22.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
+19.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
−5.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−14.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
+0.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+10.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
+8.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
−0.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−10.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
−2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@DAY
DAYL 71-77
−6.5
11
@MORG
MORGW 81-79
−2.5
16
vsWAG
WAGW 71-70
+0.5
19
@GW
GWL 52-89
−19.5
29
vsDSU
DSUW 71-57
−10.5
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 81-90
+21.5
6
@BUCK
BUCKW 73-66
−4.5
9
vsBUF
BUFL 79-83
+16.5
12
vsARMY
ARMYL 60-63
−23.5
21
@USF
USFL 69-94
+2.5
over 4under 6avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Coppin St
15 games played
Straight up
1-14
7% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MD | L 61-83 | +28.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 5 | @ LAS | L 59-87 | +17.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 9 | @ JMU | L 70-84 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 12 | @USF | L 50-100 | +34.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs CMU | L 59-82 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 15 | vs USA | L 62-72 | +18.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 22 | @ VCU | L 58-101 | +32.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | @ RID | W 68-65 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 30 | @ L-MD | L 84-95 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ WVU | L 49-91 | +31.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 6 | @ LIB | L 50-92 | +30.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 9 | @ JOES | L 65-87 | +22.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 14 | @ RAD | L 77-107 | +20.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 19 | @ NAVY | L 55-88 | +20.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | @GTWN | L 67-97 | +33.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMD
MDL 61-83
+6.5
5
@LAS
LASL 59-87
−10.5
9
@JMU
JMUL 70-84
+4.5
12
@USF
USFL 50-100
−15.5
14
vsCMU
CMUL 59-82
−12.5
15
vsUSA
USAL 62-72
+8.5
22
@VCU
VCUL 58-101
−10.5
25
@RID
RIDW 68-65
+11.5
30
@L-MD
L-MDL 84-95
−1.5
3
@WVU
WVUL 49-91
−10.5
6
@LIB
LIBL 50-92
−11.5
9
@JOES
JOESL 65-87
+0.5
14
@RAD
RADL 77-107
−9.5
19
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-88
−12.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 67-97
+3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMD
MDL 61-83
+4.5
5
@LAS
LASL 59-87
+6.5
9
@JMU
JMUL 70-84
+12.5
12
@USF
USFL 50-100
−17.5
14
vsCMU
CMUL 59-82
−1.5
15
vsUSA
USAL 62-72
+0.5
22
@VCU
VCUL 58-101
+7.5
25
@RID
RIDW 68-65
−6.5
30
@L-MD
L-MDL 84-95
+35.5
3
@WVU
WVUL 49-91
+5.5
6
@LIB
LIBL 50-92
−1.5
9
@JOES
JOESL 65-87
+5.5
14
@RAD
RADL 77-107
+29.5
19
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-88
−2.5
22
@GTWN
GTWNL 67-97
+13.5
over 10under 5avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UMBC
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Florida69–94
- Lvs Army60–63
- Lvs Buffalo79–83
- W@ Bucknell73–66
- L@ Georgetown81–90
A week or more of rest.
Coppin St
1-14 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Georgetown67–97
- L@ Navy55–88
- L@ Radford77–107
- L@ Saint Joseph's65–87
- L@ Liberty50–92
A week or more of rest.