Zidian Family Arena at Beeghly Center · at Youngstown St · Conference game
Closing line
YSU -4.5✓ PFW covered by 6.5
YSU -4.5✓ PFW covered by 6.5Closing total145.5Under by 5.5
 PFW | This season | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-8 | Record | 6-8 |
| 5-9 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PFW 72–77 YSU · ✗ YSU (67%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 42 | 29 | 71 |
| YSU | 42 | 27 | 69 |
1st half: PFW 42, YSU 42 (tied). The model had YSU by 2.8 and a total of 69.7 (actual 84).
Team stats
| PFW | YSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-53 42% | Field goals | 25-60 42% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 8-27 30% |
| 17-22 77% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 31 9 off | Rebounds | 41 15 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| PFW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Hadnot II G | 35 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5-13 | 0-4 |
| Mikale Stevenson G | 31 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4-13 | 1-4 |
| DeAndre Craig Jr. G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-4 |
| Maximus Nelson F | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Deangelo Elisee F | 14 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Darius Duffy F | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Yuval Levin F | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| EJ Mosley G | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Chris Morgan G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Mason Shrout G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Ja'Corey Lipkins, Danny Kelly, Solomon Richard, Quentin Morgan, Ebrahim Kaba
| YSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll F | 35 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 5-13 | 2-8 |
| Rich Rolf F | 31 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Jason Nelson G | 24 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol F | 18 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Bryson Dawkins G | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cam Polak G | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Vlad Salaridze F | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Drew King G | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaiden Haynes G | 14 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Shaheed Solebo, Tyler Robinett, Derrick Anderson, Markus Navarra, Connor Swider, Tae Blackshear
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketYSU -4.5
ModelYSU -5.0
Model edgeYSU +0.5
L PFW covered
Total
Market145.5
Model148.7
Model edgeOver 3.2
L Under
Projected score
PFW 71.9 · YSU 76.8
PFW 71 · YSU 69
Win probability
YSU 67%
1st half
Spread
YSU -2.8
tied
Total
69.7
84 points
Projected score
PFW 33.4 · YSU 36.2
PFW 42 · YSU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenYSU -5.5
1 → PFW
CloseYSU -4.5
1 pt toward PFW
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PFW +190 · YSU -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened YSU -5.5 · closed YSU -4.5 · moved 1 toward PFWmodel YSU -5
model YSU -5
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PFW | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| YSU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PFW 5–4 YSUPFW leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · YSU has won the last 2 meetings · PFW 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | PFW 67 @ YSU 72 | YSU -0.5 | YSU W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | PFW 71 @ YSU 93 | YSU +1.5 | YSU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | YSU 81 @ PFW 90 | PFW -5.5 | PFW W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | YSU 78 @ PFW 82 | PFW +4.5 | PFW W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | PFW 85 @ YSU 93 | YSU -3.5 | YSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue FW
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
5-9
36% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GCU | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ OSU | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ WMU | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ UTAH | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ SLU | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs CHST | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ OAK | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs NKU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs EMU | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs DETM | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ ND | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @ MILW | L 55-77 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs GB | L 54-72 | -8.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 4 | vs CLE | W 74-71 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
−4.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
−1.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−15.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+5.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−11.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+0.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
−4.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+0.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
+11.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
−5.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
+14.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−18.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−26.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 9avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GCU
GCUL 71-90
+5.5
7
@OSU
OSUL 68-94
+2.5
12
@WMU
WMUL 71-83
−7.5
18
@UTAH
UTAHL 77-85
+0.5
21
@SLU
SLUL 60-91
−15.5
25
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-77
+17.5
3
@OAK
OAKL 92-101
+30.5
6
vsNKU
NKUW 79-77
+2.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 80-65
−2.5
14
vsDETM
DETMW 81-77
+4.5
21
@ND
NDW 72-69
−8.5
29
@MILW
MILWL 55-77
−24.5
1
vsGB
GBL 54-72
−19.5
4
vsCLE
CLEW 74-71
−14.5
over 7under 7avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Youngstown St
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ PITT | L 59-74 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | @GCU | W 90-81 | +15.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ SBU | L 80-84 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ TOL | L 75-92 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 23 | vs UNCG | L 62-68 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 24 | vs GASO | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 28 | vsCHST | W 87-64 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs WRST | W 69-68 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ IUIN | W 78-55 | -6.5 | W +16.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ RMU | L 77-80 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs UPST | W 74-65 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vsDETM | L 68-73 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 1 | vsOAK | L 83-85 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | @NKU | L 79-94 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−0.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+24.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+5.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
−15.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−11.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
+4.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+8.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−2.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
+16.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
−0.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
+2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−14.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
−3.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
−10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@PITT
PITTL 59-74
−12.5
7
@GCU
GCUW 90-81
+18.5
15
@SBU
SBUL 80-84
+17.5
19
@TOL
TOLL 75-92
+6.5
23
vsUNCG
UNCGL 62-68
−22.5
24
vsGASO
GASOW 67-61
−35.5
28
vsCHST
CHSTW 87-64
+4.5
3
vsWRST
WRSTW 69-68
−7.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 78-55
−38.5
17
@RMU
RMUL 77-80
+16.5
20
vsUPST
UPSTW 74-65
−2.5
29
vsDETM
DETML 68-73
−5.5
1
vsOAK
OAKL 83-85
+10.5
4
@NKU
NKUL 79-94
+26.5
over 7under 7avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Purdue FW
6-8 overall · 3-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cleveland St74–71
- Lvs Green Bay54–72
- L@ Milwaukee55–77
- W@ Notre Dame72–69
- Wvs Detroit Mercy81–77
3 days since their last game.
Youngstown St
6-8 overall · 2-4 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Kentucky79–94
- Lvs Oakland83–85
- Lvs Detroit Mercy68–73
- Wvs SC Upstate74–65
- L@ Robert Morris77–80
3 days since their last game.