Littlejohn Coliseum · at Clemson
Closing line
CLEM -22.5✓ MER covered by 15.5
CLEM -22.5✓ MER covered by 15.5Closing total152.5Under by 19.5
 MER | This season | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 7-3 |
| 6-1 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 4-3 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 66–87 CLEM · ✓ CLEM (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 39 | 24 | 63 |
| CLEM | 33 | 37 | 70 |
1st half: MER 39, CLEM 33 (MER by 6). The model had CLEM by 12.6 and a total of 71.9 (actual 72).
Team stats
| MER | CLEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 6-22 27% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 5-10 50% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 26 3 off | Rebounds | 36 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 9 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 37 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 8-17 | 1-4 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 36 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Zaire Williams G | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 6-14 | 2-8 |
| Armani Mighty C | 29 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 31 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Tristan Gross G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, Bendji Pierre, Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant
| CLEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Davidson F | 32 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Dillon Hunter G | 30 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Jestin Porter G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| RJ Godfrey F | 25 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Butta Johnson G | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zac Foster G | 20 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-7 |
| Jake Wahlin F | 18 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Carter Welling F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Chase Thompson F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Ace Buckner G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Blake Davidson, Trent Steinour, Dallas Thomas
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCLEM -22.5
ModelCLEM -21.1
Model edgeMER +1.4
W MER covered
Total
Market152.5
Model153.6
Model edgeOver 1.1
L Under
Projected score
MER 66.2 · CLEM 87.4
MER 63 · CLEM 70
Win probability
CLEM 97%
1st half
Spread
CLEM -12.6
MER -6.0
Total
71.9
72 points
Projected score
MER 29.6 · CLEM 42.3
MER 39 · CLEM 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCLEM -21.5
1 → CLEM
CloseCLEM -22.5
1 pt toward CLEM
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MER +1200 · CLEM -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CLEM -21.5 · closed CLEM -22.5 · moved 1 toward CLEMmodel CLEM -21
model CLEM -21
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% |
| CLEM | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
6-1
86% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vs
LIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@
WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@
EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vs
APP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@
ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vs
GAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
over 4under 3avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Clemson
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UNH | W 88-38 | -29.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 7 | vs GWEB | W 97-59 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 11 | vs MORE | W 83-56 | -29.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 15 | @ GTWN | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 17 | vs UNA | W 81-61 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs WVU | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs UGA | W 97-94 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 28 | vs AAMU | W 92-56 | -27.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 3 | @ ALA | L 84-90 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 9 | vs BYU | L 64-67 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
+20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+8.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−2.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
−6.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−5.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
−1.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+1.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+8.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+2.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
+1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUNH
UNHW 88-38
−20.5
7
vsGWEB
GWEBW 97-59
+10.5
11
vsMORE
MOREW 83-56
−12.5
15
@GTWN
GTWNL 74-79
+10.5
17
vsUNA
UNAW 81-61
−2.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 70-67
+4.5
23
vsUGA
UGAW 97-94
+38.5
28
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-56
+6.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 84-90
+8.5
9
vsBYU
BYUL 64-67
−21.5
over 6under 4avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia St78–67
- W@ Elon91–84
- Wvs App State75–67
- W@ E Kentucky95–83
- L@ Winthrop69–105
A week or more of rest.
Clemson
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs BYU64–67
- L@ Alabama84–90
- Wvs Alabama A&M92–56
- Wvs Georgia97–94
- Wvs West Virginia70–67
4 days since their last game.