Kennedy Family Athletic Complex · at UMass Lowell · Conference game
Closing line
UVM -4.5✓ UVM covered by 4.5
UVM -4.5✓ UVM covered by 4.5Closing total145.5Under by 0.5
| UVM | This season | UML |
|---|---|---|
| 9-8 | Record | 5-11 |
| 7-10 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 12-5 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVM 77–74 UML · ✓ UVM (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 40 | 37 | 77 |
| UML | 29 | 39 | 68 |
1st half: UVM 40, UML 29 (UVM by 11). The model had UVM by 1.9 and a total of 70.6 (actual 69).
Team stats
| UVM | UML | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-64 48% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 8-22 36% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 7-8 88% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 2 |
| 4 | Blocks | 6 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Hurley G | 31 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 10-19 | 5-11 |
| Ben Johnson G | 30 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Sean Blake G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Gus Yalden F | 26 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 7-18 | 0-4 |
| Benjamin Michaels F | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Mari G | 23 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Noah Barnett F | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| David Simon F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Wesson, Drew Bessette, Sincere Clemons, Chris Kuzemka, Trey Woodyard, Momo Nkugwa, TJ Long
| UML | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrel Yepdo G | 40 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 4-16 | 4-9 |
| Angel Montas Jr. G | 36 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| Austin Green F | 34 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Spencer G | 31 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Shawn Simmons II F | 23 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JJ Massaquoi F | 13 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Khalil Farmer G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Victor Okojie F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jared Frey G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Kris Johnson, Isaiah Walter, Keenan Bey, Jerrell Roberson II
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVM -4.5
ModelUVM -3.0
Model edgeUML +1.5
L UVM covered
Total
Market145.5
Model150.7
Model edgeOver 5.2
L Under
Projected score
UVM 76.8 · UML 73.8
UVM 77 · UML 68
Win probability
UVM 60%
1st half
Spread
UVM -1.9
UVM -11.0
Total
70.6
69 points
Projected score
UVM 36.2 · UML 34.3
UVM 40 · UML 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVM -4.5
no move
CloseUVM -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open145.5
no move
Close145.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UVM -198 · UML +164
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVM -4.5 · unchangedmodel UVM -3
model UVM -3
Opened 145.5 · unchangedmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UML | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UVM 9–1 UMLUVM leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UVM has won the last 7 meetings · UVM 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | UML 61 @ UVM 85 | UVM -4.5 | UVM W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | UVM 67 @ UML 63 | UML -5.5 | UVM W |
| Mar 16, 2023-24 | UML 61 @ UVM 66 | UVM -8.5 | UML W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | UML 62 @ UVM 74 | UVM -6.5 | UVM W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | UVM 72 @ UML 65 | UML -2.5 | UVM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
17 games played
Straight up
9-8
53% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-5
71% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ BRWN | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | @ NE | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ BUF | L 90-94 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIB | L 73-79 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs URI | L 65-80 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs PRIN | W 79-74 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs YALE | L 74-77 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ORST | L 58-80 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ PEPP | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs MRMK | W 66-59 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | vs SIE | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 20 | vs IONA | L 78-83 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | @PRIN | L 69-75 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNH | W 80-61 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs BING | W 60-59 | -20.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 15 | vs ME | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 19 | @ UALB | L 68-75 | -5.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
−0.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+12.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
−5.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+2.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
−10.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
−0.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−18.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
+7.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
+0.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+11.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
−11.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
−9.5
3
@UNH
UNHW 80-61
+11.5
8
vsBING
BINGW 60-59
−19.5
15
vsME
MEW 67-62
−9.5
19
@UALB
UALBL 68-75
−12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
+41.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+24.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
+42.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+10.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
+0.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
+12.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−5.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
−21.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
−11.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+17.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
+8.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
+7.5
3
@UNH
UNHW 80-61
+1.5
8
vsBING
BINGW 60-59
−21.5
15
vsME
MEW 67-62
−1.5
19
@UALB
UALBL 68-75
+3.5
over 12under 5avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UMass Lowell
16 games played
Straight up
5-11
31% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ CONN | L 47-110 | +36.5 | L −26.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 10 | vs NHVN | L 67-73 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 13 | @ COLU | L 72-86 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 16 | @ WAKE | L 75-109 | +30.5 | L −3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 19 | @ BRAD | L 77-87 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | @ SPU | L 66-68 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | @ STO | W 75-64 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ MASS | L 60-80 | +11.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ QUIN | L 71-75 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs SHU | W 87-82 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | @ BU | L 76-88 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 29 | @ IOWA | L 62-90 | +33.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vsUALB | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 8 | @ BRY | W 77-63 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @BING | W 73-68 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 15 | vs NJIT | L 64-73 | -8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
−26.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−16.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
−0.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
−3.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+11.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
+6.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
+13.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−8.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
+8.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+7.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
−6.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+5.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+9.5
8
@BRY
BRYW 77-63
+16.5
10
@BING
BINGW 73-68
−1.5
15
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-73
−17.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@CONN
CONNL 47-110
+5.5
10
vsNHVN
NHVNL 67-73
−2.5
13
@COLU
COLUL 72-86
+1.5
16
@WAKE
WAKEL 75-109
+18.5
19
@BRAD
BRADL 77-87
+14.5
22
@SPU
SPUL 66-68
−13.5
26
@STO
STOW 75-64
−9.5
6
@MASS
MASSL 60-80
−15.5
13
@QUIN
QUINL 71-75
−7.5
16
vsSHU
SHUW 87-82
+17.5
21
@BU
BUL 76-88
+18.5
29
@IOWA
IOWAL 62-90
+6.5
3
vsUALB
UALBW 83-71
+3.5
8
@BRY
BRYW 77-63
−3.5
10
@BING
BINGW 73-68
−5.5
15
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-73
−8.5
over 8under 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vermont
9-8 overall · 3-1 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UAlbany68–75
- Wvs Maine67–62
- Wvs Binghamton60–59
- W@ New Hampshire80–61
- L@ Princeton69–75
3 days since their last game.
UMass Lowell
5-11 overall · 3-1 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NJIT64–73
- W@ Binghamton73–68
- W@ Bryant77–63
- Wvs UAlbany83–71
- L@ Iowa62–90
A week or more of rest.