OceanFirst Bank Center · at Monmouth · Conference game
Closing line
W&M -2.5✓ MONM covered by 13.5
W&M -2.5✓ MONM covered by 13.5Closing total156.5Under by 5.5
| W&M | This season | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | Record | 6-8 |
| 11-2 | ATS | 6-8 |
| 6-7 | O/U | 6-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: W&M 79–77 MONM · ✗ W&M (56%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 34 | 36 | 70 |
| MONM | 37 | 44 | 81 |
1st half: W&M 34, MONM 37 (MONM by 3). The model had W&M by 1.1 and a total of 72.7 (actual 71).
Team stats
| W&M | MONM | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 30-64 47% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 7-15 47% | Free throws | 11-17 65% |
| 38 13 off | Rebounds | 38 12 off |
| 8 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 33 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Kyle Pulliam G | 26 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Chase Lowe G | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Cade Haskins F | 15 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reese Miller G | 27 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Finn Lally F | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Kaleb Spencer, Ethan Connery, Colin Lamine Ndaw, Kyle Frazier, Miles Hicks
| MONM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Collins G | 36 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Jason Rivera-Torres G | 35 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 6-16 | 4-10 |
| Cornelius Robinson III F | 34 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Justin Ray G | 30 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Stefanos Spartalis F | 20 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Andrew Ball F | 30 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 2-4 |
| Dok Muordar C | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Martinez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zubayr Griffin, Lucas Orchard, Kavion McClain, Jinup Dobuol, Quinn Peters, Jack Leahy, Corey Miller, O'Marion Harvey
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketW&M -2.5
ModelW&M -1.7
Model edgeMONM +0.8
W MONM covered
Total
Market156.5
Model155.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
W Under
Projected score
W&M 78.5 · MONM 76.8
W&M 70 · MONM 81
Win probability
W&M 56%
1st half
Spread
W&M -1.1
MONM -3.0
Total
72.7
71 points
Projected score
W&M 36.9 · MONM 35.8
W&M 34 · MONM 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -2.5
no move
CloseW&M -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
no move
Close156.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
W&M -148 · MONM +124
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -2.5 · unchangedmodel W&M -1.5
model W&M -1.5
Opened 156.5 · unchangedmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| W&M | 8-2 80% | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% |
| MONM | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
W&M 2–1 MONMW&M leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · W&M 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | MONM 73 @ W&M 78 | W&M -8.5 | MONM W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | W&M 64 @ MONM 68 | MONM -8.5 | W&M W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | MONM 62 @ W&M 74 | W&M -3.5 | W&M W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
William & Mary
13 games played
Straight up
9-4
69% wins
Against the spread
11-2
85% covers · avg +7.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-7
46% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vs RAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs TOW | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | vs STBK | W 76-57 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 5 | @ COFC | L 79-88 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
+12.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
+7.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
−6.5
covered 11didn’t cover 2avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
−3.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
−26.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
+1.5
over 6under 7avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Monmouth
14 games played
Straight up
6-8
43% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-8
43% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ LAS | L 60-73 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 13 | @ HALL | L 58-70 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 18 | @ SYR | L 73-78 | +21.5 | W +16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 23 | vs RMU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs BALL | W 80-73 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEM | L 79-83 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 30 | @ LAF | W 88-74 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 3 | vs PRIN | W 63-58 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 6 | @ GT | L 67-79 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 14 | @ FAIR | L 65-73 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs QUIN | L 75-85 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | vs LEH | W 76-62 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 31 | vs CAM | L 65-68 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @TOW | W 62-48 | +8.5 | W +22.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@LAS
LASL 60-73
−8.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 58-70
+3.5
18
@SYR
SYRL 73-78
+16.5
23
vsRMU
RMUW 71-70
−1.5
28
vsBALL
BALLW 80-73
+4.5
29
vsLEM
LEML 79-83
−10.5
30
@LAF
LAFW 88-74
+12.5
3
vsPRIN
PRINW 63-58
−0.5
6
@GT
GTL 67-79
−1.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 65-73
−10.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-85
−11.5
21
vsLEH
LEHW 76-62
+4.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 65-68
−4.5
3
@TOW
TOWW 62-48
+22.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@LAS
LASL 60-73
−10.5
13
@HALL
HALLL 58-70
−7.5
18
@SYR
SYRL 73-78
+5.5
23
vsRMU
RMUW 71-70
−7.5
28
vsBALL
BALLW 80-73
+16.5
29
vsLEM
LEML 79-83
+16.5
30
@LAF
LAFW 88-74
+20.5
3
vsPRIN
PRINW 63-58
−18.5
6
@GT
GTL 67-79
+1.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 65-73
−5.5
17
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-85
+14.5
21
vsLEH
LEHW 76-62
−5.5
31
vsCAM
CAML 65-68
−19.5
3
@TOW
TOWW 62-48
−26.5
over 6under 8avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
William & Mary
9-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Charleston79–88
- Wvs Stony Brook76–57
- Wvs Towson84–70
- Wvs Radford96–83
- L@ G Washington86–99
3 days since their last game.
Monmouth
6-8 overall · 1-1 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Towson62–48
- Lvs Campbell65–68
- Wvs Lehigh76–62
- Lvs Quinnipiac75–85
- L@ Fairfield65–73
5 days since their last game.