Memorial Gymnasium (TN) · at Vanderbilt · Conference game
Closing line
VAN -3.5✓ VAN covered by 2.5
VAN -3.5✓ VAN covered by 2.5Closing total176.5Over by 9.5
 ALA | This season | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3 | Record | 14-0 |
| 7-7 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALA 89–90 VAN · ✓ VAN (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 43 | 47 | 90 |
| VAN | 43 | 53 | 96 |
1st half: ALA 43, VAN 43 (tied). The model had VAN by 0.2 and a total of 84.0 (actual 86).
Team stats
| ALA | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-70 37% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 9-40 23% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 29-38 76% | Free throws | 35-50 70% |
| 49 18 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 35 | Fouls | 29 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| ALA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amari Allen G | 34 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. G | 31 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4-12 | 3-9 |
| Aden Holloway G | 27 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 9-18 | 3-7 |
| Labaron Philon Jr. G | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Keitenn Bristow F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taylor Bol Bowen F | 23 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Houston Mallette G | 21 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| London Jemison F | 21 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-6 |
| Jalil Bethea G | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Noah Williamson C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Preston Murphy Jr., Jacob Martin, Collins Onyejiaka, Klark James, Jack Fagan, Davion Hannah, Aiden Sherrell
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 33 | 29 | 3 | 7 | 8-15 | 1-4 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 29 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| AK Okereke F | 27 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 27 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Duke Miles G | 25 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Harris F | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-9 | 1-5 |
| Jalen Washington F | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Chandler Bing F | 15 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mike James G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Miles Keeffe, Jayden Leverett, George Kimble III, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson, Frankie Collins
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -3.5
ModelVAN -0.6
Model edgeALA +2.9
L VAN covered
Total
Market176.5
Model179.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
W Over
Projected score
ALA 89.4 · VAN 90
ALA 90 · VAN 96
Win probability
VAN 52%
1st half
Spread
VAN -0.2
tied
Total
84.0
86 points
Projected score
ALA 41.9 · VAN 42.1
ALA 43 · VAN 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -4.5
1 → ALA
CloseVAN -3.5
1 pt toward ALA
Total
Open176.5
no move
Close176.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ALA +130 · VAN -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -4.5 · closed VAN -3.5 · moved 1 toward ALAmodel VAN -0.5
model VAN -0.5
Opened 176.5 · unchangedmodel 179.5
model 179.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALA | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| VAN | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
ALA 5–1 VANALA leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · ALA has won the last 4 meetings · ALA 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | VAN 87 @ ALA 103 | ALA -11.5 | ALA W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | ALA 78 @ VAN 75 | VAN +13.5 | VAN W |
| Jan 31, 2022-23 | VAN 44 @ ALA 101 | ALA -15.5 | ALA W |
| Jan 17, 2022-23 | ALA 78 @ VAN 66 | VAN +8.5 | ALA W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | VAN 82 vs ALA 76 | ALA -5.5 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UND | W 91-62 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ SJU | W 103-96 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 13 | vs PUR | L 80-87 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 19 | vs ILL | W 90-86 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 180.5 | U 176 |
| Nov 24 | vs GONZ | L 85-95 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 178.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs UNLV | W 115-76 | -13.5 | W +25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 26 | vs MD | W 105-72 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 166.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLEM | W 90-84 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 7 | vs UTSA | W 97-55 | -33.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARIZ | L 75-96 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 17 | vs USF | W 104-93 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 178.5 | O 197 |
| Dec 21 | vs KENN | W 92-81 | -20.5 | L −9.5 | 182.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 29 | vs YALE | W 102-78 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 171.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs UK | W 89-74 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−7.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+11.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−10.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
+6.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
−5.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+25.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+18.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
−2.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
+8.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−18.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
−3.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
+9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUND
UNDW 91-62
−17.5
8
@SJU
SJUW 103-96
+26.5
13
vsPUR
PURL 80-87
−5.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 90-86
−4.5
24
vsGONZ
GONZL 85-95
+1.5
25
vsUNLV
UNLVW 115-76
+9.5
26
vsMD
MDW 105-72
+10.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEMW 90-84
+8.5
7
vsUTSA
UTSAW 97-55
−19.5
13
vsARIZ
ARIZL 75-96
−7.5
17
vsUSF
USFW 104-93
+18.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 92-81
−9.5
29
vsYALE
YALEW 102-78
+8.5
3
vsUK
UKW 89-74
−10.5
over 7under 7avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
14 games played
Straight up
14-0
100% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
over 8under 6avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama
11-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kentucky89–74
- Wvs Yale102–78
- Wvs Kennesaw St92–81
- Wvs South Florida104–93
- Lvs Arizona75–96
4 days since their last game.
Vanderbilt
14-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ South Carolina83–71
- Wvs New Haven96–53
- W@ Wake Forest98–67
- W@ Memphis77–70
- Wvs C Arkansas83–72
4 days since their last game.