Alico Arena · at FGCU · Conference game
Closing line
FGCU -1.5✓ QUC covered by 12.5
FGCU -1.5✓ QUC covered by 12.5Closing total166.5Under by 7.5
 QUC | This season | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-8 | Record | 5-10 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 4-11 |
| 11-5 | O/U | 10-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: QUC 82–85 FGCU · ✗ FGCU (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 41 | 44 | 85 |
| FGCU | 33 | 41 | 74 |
1st half: QUC 41, FGCU 33 (QUC by 8). The model had FGCU by 1.4 and a total of 78.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| QUC | FGCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-60 45% | Field goals | 24-66 36% |
| 9-32 28% | 3-pointers | 4-21 19% |
| 22-28 79% | Free throws | 22-22 100% |
| 41 11 off | Rebounds | 37 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| QUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoav Berman F | 36 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Carson Schwieger F | 31 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 5-15 | 4-12 |
| Chris Ashby G | 31 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0-8 | 0-7 |
| Nasir Mann G | 20 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Avantae Parker F | 17 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maban Jabriel G | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 6-10 | 3-5 |
| Jordan Watford G | 19 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Gus Larson F | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kam Clark G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Henry G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Matthew Walter, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Reid Celestin, Jimma James, Tyler Crider, Seamus Wilson, Saif-Allah Zatari, Colby Christiansen, Jacob Brandly
| FGCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rahmir Barno G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-14 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Malone F | 28 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| J.R. Konieczny F | 26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Michael Duax F | 22 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Darren Williams G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Ellerbee G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Rory Stewart F | 20 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Jack Reddick G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tristen Guillouette C | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Matt McCarthy G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Konieczny, Gabe Tanner, Evan Barlow, BB Washington, Brandon Dwyer, George Washington III
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFGCU -1.5
ModelFGCU -2.5
Model edgeFGCU +1.0
L QUC covered
Total
Market166.5
Model167.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
QUC 82.4 · FGCU 84.9
QUC 85 · FGCU 74
Win probability
FGCU 59%
1st half
Spread
FGCU -1.4
QUC -8.0
Total
78.3
74 points
Projected score
QUC 38.5 · FGCU 39.9
QUC 41 · FGCU 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFGCU -3.5
2 → QUC
CloseFGCU -1.5
2 pts toward QUC
Total
Open168.5
▼ 2
Close166.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
QUC +110 · FGCU -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FGCU -3.5 · closed FGCU -1.5 · moved 2 toward QUCmodel FGCU -2.5
model FGCU -2.5
Opened 168.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 2 downmodel 167.5
model 167.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| FGCU | 2-8 20% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
QUC 6–2 FGCUQUC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · QUC 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | QUC 71 @ FGCU 65 | FGCU -4.5 | QUC W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | QUC 47 @ FGCU 60 | FGCU -5.5 | FGCU W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | FGCU 83 @ QUC 92 | QUC +3.5 | QUC W |
| Mar 4, 2023-24 | QUC 69 @ FGCU 63 | FGCU -3.5 | QUC W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | QUC 81 @ FGCU 90 | FGCU -3.5 | FGCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Queens University Royals
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg +1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-5
69% overs · avg +7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIN | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 8 | @ VILL | L 74-94 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ DUQ | L 81-87 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHU | W 81-64 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNCG | W 101-94 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | @ FUR | L 79-90 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 28 | @ UVA | L 69-94 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | vs GWEB | W 107-74 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 12 | vs SCST | W 102-78 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ WAKE | L 73-111 | +18.5 | L −19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 16 | @ ARK | L 80-108 | +23.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ AUB | L 65-106 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 1 | vs EKU | W 91-89 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs BELL | W 98-76 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 169.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 8 | @ JAX | W 77-51 | -4.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNF | W 89-82 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−3.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
−2.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+6.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
+11.5
20
vsUNCG
UNCGW 101-94
−0.5
23
@FUR
FURL 79-90
−2.5
28
@UVA
UVAL 69-94
+0.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 107-74
+18.5
12
vsSCST
SCSTW 102-78
+5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-111
−19.5
16
@ARK
ARKL 80-108
−4.5
29
@AUB
AUBL 65-106
−15.5
1
vsEKU
EKUW 91-89
−2.5
3
vsBELL
BELLW 98-76
+14.5
8
@JAX
JAXW 77-51
+21.5
10
@UNF
UNFW 89-82
−4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−8.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
+17.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+5.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
−20.5
20
vsUNCG
UNCGW 101-94
+44.5
23
@FUR
FURL 79-90
+15.5
28
@UVA
UVAL 69-94
+2.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 107-74
+19.5
12
vsSCST
SCSTW 102-78
+22.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-111
+18.5
16
@ARK
ARKL 80-108
+18.5
29
@AUB
AUBL 65-106
−0.5
1
vsEKU
EKUW 91-89
+15.5
3
vsBELL
BELLW 98-76
+4.5
8
@JAX
JAXW 77-51
−26.5
10
@UNF
UNFW 89-82
−2.5
over 11under 5avg +7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
FGCU
15 games played
Straight up
5-10
33% wins
Against the spread
4-11
27% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ ILL | L 70-113 | +29.5 | L −13.5 | 160.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs GASO | L 94-95 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTC | W 91-73 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SAM | W 77-62 | +5.5 | W +20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORU | W 93-88 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 25 | vs RICE | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs KENN | L 100-102 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | O 202 |
| Dec 3 | @ FIU | L 83-89 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | vs FAU | L 76-81 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 14 | @ UNM | L 59-75 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 20 | @ UCF | L 80-102 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 1 | @ CARK | L 83-85 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNA | W 72-55 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | vs APSU | L 71-82 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | vs LIP | L 77-84 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
−13.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
−4.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+19.5
19
@SAM
SAMW 77-62
+20.5
24
vsORU
ORUW 93-88
−6.5
25
vsRICE
RICEW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsKENN
KENNL 100-102
−3.5
3
@FIU
FIUL 83-89
−7.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 76-81
−2.5
14
@UNM
UNML 59-75
−0.5
20
@UCF
UCFL 80-102
−4.5
1
@CARK
CARKL 83-85
−4.5
3
@UNA
UNAW 72-55
+14.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 71-82
−14.5
10
vsLIP
LIPL 77-84
−9.5
covered 4didn’t cover 11avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@ILL
ILLL 70-113
+22.5
11
vsGASO
GASOL 94-95
+25.5
15
vsUTC
UTCW 91-73
+11.5
19
@SAM
SAMW 77-62
−15.5
24
vsORU
ORUW 93-88
+27.5
25
vsRICE
RICEW 78-63
−8.5
26
vsKENN
KENNL 100-102
+41.5
3
@FIU
FIUL 83-89
+17.5
7
vsFAU
FAUL 76-81
+6.5
14
@UNM
UNML 59-75
−25.5
20
@UCF
UCFL 80-102
+20.5
1
@CARK
CARKL 83-85
+11.5
3
@UNA
UNAW 72-55
−20.5
8
vsAPSU
APSUL 71-82
−0.5
10
vsLIP
LIPL 77-84
+3.5
over 10under 5avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Queens University Royals
8-8 overall · 4-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ North Florida89–82
- W@ Jacksonville77–51
- Wvs Bellarmine98–76
- Wvs E Kentucky91–89
- L@ Auburn65–106
5 days since their last game.
FGCU
5-10 overall · 1-3 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Lipscomb77–84
- Lvs Austin Peay71–82
- W@ North Alabama72–55
- L@ C Arkansas83–85
- L@ UCF80–102
5 days since their last game.