Murphy Center · at MTSU · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -6.5✓ WKU covered by 11.5
MTSU -6.5✓ WKU covered by 11.5Closing total140.5Under by 15.5
 WKU | This season | MTSU |
|---|---|---|
| 9-10 | Record | 8-9 |
| 10-9 | ATS | 7-10 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 7-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WKU 72–75 MTSU · ✗ MTSU (60%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 30 | 35 | 65 |
| MTSU | 23 | 37 | 60 |
1st half: WKU 30, MTSU 23 (WKU by 7). The model had MTSU by 1.6 and a total of 68.9 (actual 53).
Team stats
| WKU | MTSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-64 38% | Field goals | 20-50 40% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 4-19 21% |
| 8-10 80% | Free throws | 16-29 55% |
| 37 10 off | Rebounds | 42 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| WKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kade Unseld G | 30 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-13 | 5-12 |
| Terrion Murdix G | 30 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| LJ Hackman G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jack Edelen G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Leeroy Odiahi F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Blaise Keita F | 29 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Armelo Boone G | 24 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 2-4 |
| Grant Newell F | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Ryan Myers G | 22 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Cade Stinnett G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cam Haffner, Lawson Rice, Noah Boyde, Louie Semona III, Teagan Moore, Bryant Selebangue
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston F | 37 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Kamari Lands G | 34 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 8-14 | 2-6 |
| Chris Loofe F | 32 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 31 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-1 |
| Alec Oglesby G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Green G | 16 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Marcus Whitlock Jr. G | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Sean Smith G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Savon Wykle, Brandon Oloumou, Jax Howard, Charvez Ambrose, Jarred Hall
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTSU -6.5
ModelMTSU -2.9
Model edgeWKU +3.6
W WKU covered
Total
Market140.5
Model147.1
Model edgeOver 6.6
L Under
Projected score
WKU 72.1 · MTSU 75
WKU 65 · MTSU 60
Win probability
MTSU 60%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -1.6
WKU -7.0
Total
68.9
53 points
Projected score
WKU 33.6 · MTSU 35.2
WKU 30 · MTSU 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -7.5
1 → WKU
CloseMTSU -6.5
1 pt toward WKU
Total
Open138.5
▲ 2
Close140.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
WKU +230 · MTSU -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -7.5 · closed MTSU -6.5 · moved 1 toward WKUmodel MTSU -3
model MTSU -3
Opened 138.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WKU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
| MTSU | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
WKU 3–6 MTSUMTSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · MTSU has won the last 2 meetings · WKU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | MTSU 87 @ WKU 77 | WKU -2.5 | MTSU W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | WKU 57 @ MTSU 71 | MTSU -5.5 | MTSU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | MTSU 54 vs WKU 85 | WKU -5.5 | WKU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | WKU 72 @ MTSU 74 | MTSU +3.5 | MTSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | MTSU 65 @ WKU 88 | WKU -6.5 | WKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Western KY
19 games played
Straight up
9-10
47% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TNTC | W 82-70 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ EKU | W 87-79 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | vs TNST | W 95-82 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs VAN | L 78-83 | +18.5 | W +13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs USF | L 91-97 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs WICH | W 75-70 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | vs EVAN | W 80-79 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ MRSH | L 61-77 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vs TLSA | L 81-82 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ JXST | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs SHSU | W 102-91 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | vs LT | W 66-61 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | @ NMSU | L 64-80 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ UTEP | W 68-56 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 14 | vs MOST | W 87-72 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 17 | vs KENN | L 65-81 | -7.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 21 | vs LIB | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | @SHSU | L 58-73 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | @KENN | L 69-72 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−2.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+6.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+0.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
+13.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+1.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
+9.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
−10.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−14.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+1.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
−13.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+5.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−4.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−13.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
+8.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−23.5
21
vsLIB
LIBL 69-76
−5.5
24
@SHSU
SHSUL 58-73
−9.5
28
@KENN
KENNL 69-72
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−1.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+3.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+9.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
−7.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+20.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
−10.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
+11.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−21.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+4.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
+2.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+24.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−18.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−10.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
−20.5
14
vsMOST
MOSTW 87-72
+10.5
17
vsKENN
KENNL 65-81
−19.5
21
vsLIB
LIBL 69-76
−3.5
24
@SHSU
SHSUL 58-73
−25.5
28
@KENN
KENNL 69-72
−19.5
over 8under 11avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
MTSU
17 games played
Straight up
8-9
47% wins
Against the spread
7-10
41% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vsKENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vsLT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vsSHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | @UTEP | L 80-83 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | @NMSU | W 59-55 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 14 | @LT | L 58-59 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 131.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | vsMOST | W 90-87 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 23 | @JXST | L 58-75 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 29 | vsLIB | L 65-81 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
−6.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
+7.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−4.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
−2.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−18.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
−14.5
covered 7didn’t cover 10avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
8
@UTEP
UTEPL 80-83
+25.5
10
@NMSU
NMSUW 59-55
−30.5
14
@LT
LTL 58-59
−14.5
17
vsMOST
MOSTW 90-87
+39.5
23
@JXST
JXSTL 58-75
−0.5
29
vsLIB
LIBL 65-81
+9.5
over 7under 10avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Western KY
9-10 overall · 4-6 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kennesaw St69–72
- L@ Sam Houston58–73
- Lvs Liberty69–76
- Lvs Kennesaw St65–81
- Wvs Missouri St87–72
3 days since their last game.
MTSU
8-9 overall · 5-4 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Liberty65–81
- L@ Jax State58–75
- Wvs Missouri St90–87
- L@ Louisiana Tech58–59
- W@ New Mexico St59–55
2 days since their last game.