Chiles Center · at Portland · Conference game
Closing line
PAC -3.5✓ PORT covered by 4.5
PAC -3.5✓ PORT covered by 4.5Closing total144.5Over by 34.5
| PAC | This season | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| 9-6 | Record | 5-10 |
| 9-6 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 6-9 | O/U | 7-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PAC 75–72 PORT · ✗ PAC (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 34 | 38 | 17 | 89 |
| PORT | 45 | 27 | 18 | 90 |
1st half: PAC 34, PORT 45 (PORT by 11). The model had PAC by 1.7 and a total of 69.0 (actual 79).
Team stats
| PAC | PORT | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-66 44% | Field goals | 31-66 47% |
| 9-22 41% | 3-pointers | 13-23 57% |
| 22-26 85% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 39 17 off | Rebounds | 34 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 1 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Rochelin G | 42 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 6-12 | 3-5 |
| Elias Ralph F | 42 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 5-10 | 1-4 |
| Jaden Clayton G | 36 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 35 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Jack F | 21 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 8-12 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaion Pitt F | 23 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kajus Kublickas G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young, Augustas Brazdeikis, Emmanuel Manyuon, Eyal Harel, Clayton Mpiana
| PORT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Foxwell G | 43 | 27 | 1 | 7 | 9-20 | 5-6 |
| Matus Hronsky F | 39 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 9-16 | 6-9 |
| Cameron Williams F | 31 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-0 |
| Mikah Ballew G | 22 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jermaine Ballisager Webb C | 20 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garrett Nuckolls G | 34 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| James O'Donnell F | 24 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Dante Censori-Hercules G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Preston Lee, NaVaughn Long, Carlin Briggs, Riley Parker, Kelson Gebbers, Timo George, Marchelo Moreira
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPAC -3.5
ModelPAC -2.7
Model edgePORT +0.8
W PORT covered
Total
Market144.5
Model147.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
W Over
Projected score
PAC 75 · PORT 72.3
PAC 89 · PORT 90
Win probability
PAC 59%
1st half
Spread
PAC -1.7
PORT -11.0
Total
69.0
79 points
Projected score
PAC 35.4 · PORT 33.6
PAC 34 · PORT 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPAC -2.5
1 → PAC
ClosePAC -3.5
1 pt toward PAC
Total
Open144.5
no move
Close144.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PAC -162 · PORT +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PAC -2.5 · closed PAC -3.5 · moved 1 toward PACmodel PAC -2.5
model PAC -2.5
Opened 144.5 · unchangedmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| PORT | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
PAC 1–7 PORTPORT leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · PORT has won the last 4 meetings · PAC 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | PORT 81 @ PAC 73 | PAC -2.5 | PORT W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | PAC 81 @ PORT 84 | PORT -3.5 | PAC W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | PORT 65 @ PAC 60 | PAC +2.5 | PORT W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | PAC 64 @ PORT 78 | PORT -10.5 | PORT W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | PORT 77 @ PAC 81 | PAC +2.5 | PAC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pacific
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NEV | L 77-78 | +13.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 12 | vs LBSU | W 69-66 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 15 | @ CSUF | W 85-73 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 20 | @ FAU | L 59-82 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs STBK | W 86-58 | -4.5 | W +23.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs JAX | W 68-53 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs SAC | W 68-54 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 3 | @ AF | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ CAL | L 61-67 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 16 | @ BYU | L 57-93 | +23.5 | L −12.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs NICH | W 95-82 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 28 | @ USD | L 54-66 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 30 | @ LMU | L 71-80 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 2 | vs ORST | W 84-53 | -4.5 | W +26.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | vs PEPP | W 74-69 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−15.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
+23.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
+12.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
+3.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+9.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
+1.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
−12.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+4.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−14.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
−5.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
+26.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
−6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
20
@FAU
FAUL 59-82
−13.5
24
vsSTBK
STBKW 86-58
−1.5
25
vsJAX
JAXW 68-53
−14.5
29
vsSAC
SACW 68-54
−24.5
3
@AF
AFW 80-65
+10.5
6
@CAL
CALL 61-67
−16.5
16
@BYU
BYUL 57-93
+0.5
21
vsNICH
NICHW 95-82
+37.5
28
@USD
USDL 54-66
−30.5
30
@LMU
LMUL 71-80
+11.5
2
vsORST
ORSTW 84-53
−0.5
4
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-69
+4.5
over 6under 9avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Portland
15 games played
Straight up
5-10
33% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs UAPB | W 83-74 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 9 | vs UCD | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ WYO | L 56-93 | +11.5 | L −25.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vsCSUF | W 103-85 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNCO | L 80-86 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs STMN | L 66-76 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vsLBSU | W 93-73 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 1 | @ STAN | L 72-94 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 14 | vs KENT | W 88-78 | +7.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORE | L 69-94 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | @ UCSB | L 61-79 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 28 | vs WSU | L 62-67 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCU | L 85-92 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 2 | @ SMC | L 57-78 | +18.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 4 | @ SF | L 68-73 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−3.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
+2.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−25.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+11.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
−2.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−4.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+14.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
−2.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+17.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
−5.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−8.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−1.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+6.5
2
@SMC
SMCL 57-78
−2.5
4
@SF
SFL 68-73
+6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsUAPB
UAPBW 83-74
−7.5
9
vsUCD
UCDW 67-63
−21.5
15
@WYO
WYOL 56-93
−11.5
21
vsCSUF
CSUFW 103-85
+23.5
22
vsUNCO
UNCOL 80-86
+8.5
23
vsSTMN
STMNL 66-76
−13.5
26
vsLBSU
LBSUW 93-73
+17.5
1
@STAN
STANL 72-94
+9.5
14
vsKENT
KENTW 88-78
+5.5
17
@ORE
OREL 69-94
+8.5
22
@UCSB
UCSBL 61-79
−7.5
28
vsWSU
WSUL 62-67
−23.5
30
vsSCU
SCUL 85-92
+19.5
2
@SMC
SMCL 57-78
−11.5
4
@SF
SFL 68-73
−6.5
over 7under 8avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pacific
9-6 overall · 2-2 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pepperdine74–69
- Wvs Oregon St84–53
- L@ LMU71–80
- L@ San Diego54–66
- Wvs Nicholls95–82
4 days since their last game.
Portland
5-10 overall · 0-4 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Francisco68–73
- L@ Saint Mary's57–78
- Lvs Santa Clara85–92
- Lvs Washington St62–67
- L@ Santa Barbara61–79
4 days since their last game.