Kohl Center · at Wisconsin · Conference game
Closing line
WIS -3.5✓ WIS covered by 4.5
WIS -3.5✓ WIS covered by 4.5Closing total152.5Under by 0.5
 UCLA | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 9-5 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCLA 76–77 WIS · ✓ WIS (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 31 | 41 | 72 |
| WIS | 45 | 35 | 80 |
1st half: UCLA 31, WIS 45 (WIS by 14). The model had WIS by 0.9 and a total of 71.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| UCLA | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 25-55 45% |
| 1-17 6% | 3-pointers | 10-30 33% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 40 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 31 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9-17 | 0-5 |
| Trent Perry G | 31 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Bilodeau F | 30 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Williams F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Freeny G | 22 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jamar Brown G | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Xavier Booker C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Skyy Clark, Jack Seidler, Markell Alston, Anthony Peoples Jr., Christian Horry, Evan Manjikian
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 39 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-9 |
| Nolan Winter F | 35 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Nick Boyd G | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 6-13 | 2-4 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 29 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Janicki G | 24 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Zach Kinziger G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Hayden Jones G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Will Garlock F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Austin Rapp, Riccardo Greppi, Jack Robison, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWIS -3.5
ModelWIS -1.7
Model edgeUCLA +1.8
L WIS covered
Total
Market152.5
Model153.2
Model edgeOver 0.7
L Under
Projected score
UCLA 75.7 · WIS 77.4
UCLA 72 · WIS 80
Win probability
WIS 56%
1st half
Spread
WIS -0.9
WIS -14.0
Total
71.7
76 points
Projected score
UCLA 35.4 · WIS 36.3
UCLA 31 · WIS 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -3.5
no move
CloseWIS -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
no move
Close152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UCLA +160 · WIS -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -3.5 · unchangedmodel WIS -1.5
model WIS -1.5
Opened 152.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| WIS | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UCLA 1–1 WISSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · UCLA 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | WIS 86 vs UCLA 70 | UCLA +1.5 | WIS W |
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | WIS 83 @ UCLA 85 | UCLA -3.5 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCLA
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vs ARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vs ASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
over 8under 6avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
14 games played
Straight up
9-5
64% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −3.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ NEB | L 60-90 | +1.5 | L −28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 19 | vs VILL | L 66-76 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs CMU | W 88-61 | -26.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 30 | vs MILW | W 80-60 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | vs PUR | L 73-89 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−28.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−13.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
+0.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
+0.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
−10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
10
@NEB
NEBL 60-90
−8.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 66-76
−10.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 88-61
−3.5
30
vsMILW
MILWW 80-60
−17.5
3
vsPUR
PURL 73-89
+8.5
over 8under 6avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCLA
10-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa61–74
- Wvs UC Riverside97–65
- Wvs Cal Poly108–87
- Wvs Arizona St90–77
- Lvs Gonzaga72–82
3 days since their last game.
Wisconsin
9-5 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue73–89
- Wvs Milwaukee80–60
- Wvs C Michigan88–61
- Lvs Villanova66–76
- L@ Nebraska60–90
3 days since their last game.