Global Credit Union Arena · at Grand Canyon · Conference game
Closing line
GCU -6.5✓ CSU covered by 16.5
GCU -6.5✓ CSU covered by 16.5Closing total143.5Under by 13.5
 CSU | This season | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | Record | 8-4 |
| 8-4 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 7-5 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSU 70–74 GCU · ✗ GCU (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| GCU | 29 | 31 | 60 |
1st half: CSU 35, GCU 29 (CSU by 6). The model had GCU by 1.9 and a total of 67.5 (actual 64).
Team stats
| CSU | GCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-51 43% | Field goals | 22-56 39% |
| 9-26 35% | 3-pointers | 8-28 29% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 8-13 62% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 29 10 off |
| 12 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carey Booth F | 34 | 19 | 12 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Jevin Muniz G | 32 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 31 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 5-14 | 3-8 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 29 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 27 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 27 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jon Mekonnen F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Rashaan Mbemba, Darnez Slater, Charlie Dortch, Kyle Jorgensen, Docker Tedeschi
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 37 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Jaden Henley G | 33 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4-13 | 2-7 |
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 23 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Shaw G | 19 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Efe Demirel C | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dusty Stromer G | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Makaih Williams G | 24 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 7-15 | 3-9 |
| Dennis Evans C | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kaleb Smith F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Sawyer, Braylon Johnson, Luke Shaw, Evan Boisdur, Cole Pepe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGCU -6.5
ModelGCU -3.4
Model edgeCSU +3.1
W CSU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model144.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
L Under
Projected score
CSU 70.4 · GCU 73.7
CSU 70 · GCU 60
Win probability
GCU 62%
1st half
Spread
GCU -1.9
CSU -6.0
Total
67.5
64 points
Projected score
CSU 32.8 · GCU 34.7
CSU 35 · GCU 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGCU -3.5
3 → GCU
CloseGCU -6.5
3 pts toward GCU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 2
Close143.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSU +215 · GCU -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GCU -3.5 · closed GCU -6.5 · moved 3 toward GCUmodel GCU -3.5
model GCU -3.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| GCU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado St
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UIW | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs OMA | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs CP | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ LUC | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs DEN | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs VT | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs WICH | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs USF | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs COLO | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 9 | vs DART | W 76-55 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 20 | @ USU | L 58-100 | +10.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 30 | vs NEV | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
+17.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+3.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
+0.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
−31.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
28
vsUSF
USFW 83-68
−4.5
6
vsCOLO
COLOW 91-86
+27.5
9
vsDART
DARTW 76-55
−22.5
20
@USU
USUL 58-100
+10.5
30
vsNEV
NEVL 62-75
−2.5
over 7under 5avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Grand Canyon
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg −2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs PFW | W 90-71 | -14.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | vs YSU | L 81-90 | -15.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 10 | vs NIU | W 88-59 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 15 | @ SLU | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs NWST | W 85-72 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs UTAH | W 68-58 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 26 | vs IOWA | L 46-59 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | vs STET | W 67-45 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 6 | vs OKST | L 78-84 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 13 | vs CCU | W 82-61 | -17.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 20 | @ WYO | W 82-70 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs IUIN | W 91-78 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 169.5 | U 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−5.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
−5.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
+4.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−4.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−2.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
−4.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
+3.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+14.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
15
@SLU
SLUL 64-78
−25.5
21
vsNWST
NWSTW 85-72
+9.5
25
vsUTAH
UTAHW 68-58
−27.5
26
vsIOWA
IOWAL 46-59
−38.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 67-45
−29.5
6
vsOKST
OKSTL 78-84
+6.5
13
vsCCU
CCUW 82-61
−0.5
20
@WYO
WYOW 82-70
+4.5
22
vsIUIN
IUINW 91-78
−0.5
over 5under 7avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado St
8-4 overall · 0-2 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nevada62–75
- L@ Utah State58–100
- Wvs Dartmouth76–55
- Wvs Colorado91–86
- Wvs South Florida83–68
4 days since their last game.
Grand Canyon
8-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs IU Indy91–78
- W@ Wyoming82–70
- Wvs Coastal82–61
- Lvs Oklahoma St78–84
- Wvs Stetson67–45
A week or more of rest.